I am trying to figure out how long this will run. I am finding this show grows more and more on you as time goes by. Personally I don’t see this going beyond 5 years but I would love to see it. My gut tells me 2-3 years though. Thoughts.
I could see this show running for 4 years. I think that this is the type of show where they could get some known Broadway names to play the leads after the original cast leaves.
victoriafr said: "I think that this is the type of show where they could get some known Broadway names to play the leads after the original cast leaves."
From a sales perspective, there's really no such thing as "Broadway names" -- not in a way that brings meaningful income to the box office.
Think it'll run longer than Band's Visit and Fun Home, but it's hard to tell how long this post-Tony momentum will last. It's THE hot show right now, and will probably remain so until January. After that, who knows. It could last 2 years, it could last 4. Moulin Rouge has a lot of momentum, and other things are waiting in the wings to open.
Do you think the mixed reviews with Moulin Rouge could divert possible theatergoers to Hadestown? While Hadestown had its flaws, it got mostly positive reviews, while Moulin Rouge's reviews seem more polarizing.
MollyJeanneMusic said: "Do you think the mixed reviews with Moulin Rouge could divert possible theatergoers to Hadestown? While Hadestown had its flaws, it got mostly positive reviews, while Moulin Rouge's reviews seem more polarizing."
The grossings right now suggest awhile, but who knows how long that could last. I think seeing the grossings this time next year will give a good idea of if it's sustainable or not. Even with as good of a show it is, it doesn't seem like the show that will run forever like Phantom or Hamilton through.
It's a 4-5 year show. While it had a lot of momentum, I see non Broadway fans talking the more about it than any show since Hamilton, and there is more tourism based around people specifically coming to see this show, rather than just seeing it while they happen to be in town. It really taps into a major anti- capitalist moment in our time and really speaks to millennial culture and views in American society. Combine that, it's current tracking against other multi year hits, demand, and size of venue, I firmly give it 4-5 years. Probably not much more than that as it doesn't fit the family/spectacle mold of a neverending hit, and doesn't have the same elusive universal appeal that Hamilton tapped into.
I hope it runs for a long time but one of the things ive noticed is that a lot of the tickets for it (you pick the date, but take next Wednesday night July 31st for example) seem to be bought up by resellers. More so than any other show I’ve seen running. Almost half the house is up on the resale market.
Does this mean that scalpers are taking advantage of greater demand than supply, or are the scalpers making it appear like this show is in huge demand when it isn’t? I see resale tickets linger and it makes me wonder what happens to all those seats if the scalpers don’t sell them.
Piparoo said: "I hope it runs for a long time but one of the things ive noticed is that a lot of the tickets for it (you pick the date, but take next Wednesday night July 31st for example) seem to be bought up by resellers. More so than any other show I’ve seen running. Almost half the house is up on the resale market.
Does this mean that scalpers are taking advantage of greater demand than supply, or are the scalpers making it appear like this show is in huge demand when it isn’t? I see resale tickets linger and it makes me wonder what happens to all those seats if the scalpers don’t sell them."
I wonder that too. I saw it a few weeks ago and there were still seats available from resellers the day of the show (I bought my tickets months in advance) but when I saw it that night it was packed.
Chowd95 said: Does this mean that scalpers are taking advantage of greater demand than supply, or are the scalpers making it appear like this show is in huge demand when it isn’t? I see resale tickets linger and it makes me wonder what happens to all those seats if the scalpers don’t sell them."
I wonder that too. I saw it a few weeks ago and there were still seats available from resellers the day of the show (I bought my tickets months in advance) but when I saw it that night it was packed.
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I'd love to know as well. I did SRO last week, and all of Orch Row N was empty (of course we ran to those at intermission :) ). They were listed on Stubhub that night - I forget if they were so overpriced that noone bit, but we were all glad they were empty.
I think it depends on if they ever stunt cast. They won't have to for at least the OBC and maybe a year after that, but if they play their cards right, they could stunt cast this forever.
joined:6/4/11
joined:
6/4/11
Posted: 7/27/19 at 11:25am