Apologies if this thread was already posted - I didn't see it. But wanted to have a place for everyone to put their full list of predictions in one place. Wonder if anyone will be 100% right!
I posted some of mine in the early tony predictions thread, but ill go for a few more categories here. Going to only do plays right now too since Ive only seen 1 of the likely nominated musicals this season.
BEST PLAY:
The Ferryman
Choir Boy
Ink
To Kill A Mockingbird
What The Constitution Means To Me
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY:
All My Sons
Burn This
Torch Song
The Waverly Gallery
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY:
Glenda Jackson, King Lear
Lauren Donnely, The Ferryman
Elaine May, The Waverly Gallery
Heidi Schreck, What The Constitution Means To Me
Laurie Metcalf, Hillary and Clinton
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY:
Bryan Cranston, Network
Adam Driver, Burn This
Jeff Daniels, To Kill A Mockingbird
Paddy Considine, The Ferryman
Johnny Lee Miller, Ink
Jeremy Pope, Choir Boy
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A PLAY:
Celia Keenan Bolger, To Kill A Mockingbird
Joan Allen, The Waverly Gallery,
Fionulla Flanagan, The Ferryman
Julie White, Gary
Kristine Neielsen, Gary
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A PLAY:
Tom Glenn Carney, The Ferryman
Justin Edwards, The Ferryman
Bertie Carvel, Ink
Benjamin Walker, All My Sons
Brandon Uranowitz, Burn This
Should be a really fun day tomorrow and an exciting Tony night. I think the plays are the ones to watch this year, lots of stacked categories with many worthy nominees. Very exciting stuff!
I've seen all of the season's musicals expect for Head Over Heels and Gettin' the Band... and for the plays I've seen American Son, Choir Boy, Gary, The Ferryman, Lifespan of a Fact, Network, TKAM, Torch Song, Waverly Gallery, and What the Constitution Means to Me... so the play categories are more educated guesses. (Specifically on Ink, Burn This, and Hillary & Clinton which I expect to get nominations.)
BEST MUSICAL Ain’t Too Proud Beetlejuice Hadestown The Prom Tootsie
(Beetlejuice being the wild card... could be Be More Chill)
BEST PLAY Choir Boy The Ferryman Ink To Kill a Mockingbird What the Constitution Means to Me
BEST REVIVAL (...if this is its own category. If not, I expect both of these to make it into a general revival category.) Kiss Me Kate Oklahoma!
REVIVAL OF A PLAY All My Sons Burn This Torch Song The Waverly Gallery
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL Brooks Ashmanskas, The Prom Derrick Baskin, Ain’t Too Proud Alex Brightman, Beetlejuice Damon Daunno, Oklahoma! Santino Fontana, Tootsie
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Stephanie J Block, The Cher Show Rebecca Naomi Jones, Oklahoma! Beth Leavel, The Prom Eva Noblezada, Hadestown Kelli O’Hara, Kiss Me Kate
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY Paddy Considine, The Ferryman Bryan Cranston, Network Jeff Daniels, To Kill a Mockingbird John Lithgow, Hillary & Clinton Jonny Lee Miller, Ink Jeremy Pope, Choir Boy Michael Urie, Torch Song
(Yes, I have 7. This category is stressful, haha. And doesn’t even include others who I think are totally worthy of a nomination like Nathan Lane. Grabbing my popcorn for this category tomorrow.)
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY Laura Donnelly, The Ferryman Glenda Jackson, King Lear Elaine May, The Waverly Gallery Laurie Metcalf, Hillary & Clinton Heidi Schreck, What the Constitution Means to Me
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL John Behlmann, Tootsie Andre De Shields, Hadestown Patrick Page, Hadestown Ephraim Sykes, Ain’t Too Proud Patrick Vaill, Oklahoma!
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Amber Grey, Hadestown Leslie Kritzer, Beetlejuice Sarah Stiles, Tootsie Ali Stroker, Oklahoma! Mary Testa, Oklahoma!
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY Bertie Carvel, Ink Caleb Eberhardt, Choir Boy Justin Edwards, The Ferryman Tom Glynn-Carney, The Ferryman Brandon Uranowitz, Burn This
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY Joan Allen, The Waverly Gallery Celia Keenan-Bolger, To Kill a Mockingbird Fionnula Flanagan, The Ferryman Mercedes Ruehl, Torch Song Julie White, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus
BEST SCORE Adam Guettel, To Kill a Mockingbird Joe Iconis, Be More Chill Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown Matthew Sklar & Chad Beguelin, The Prom David Yazbek, Tootsie
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL Scott Brown & Anthony King, Beetlejuice Robert Horn, Tootsie Bob Martin & Chad Beguelin, The Prom Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown Dominique Morriseau, Ain’t Too Proud
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Rachel Chavkin, Hadestown Scott Ellis, Tootsie Daniel Fish, Oklahoma! Des McAnuff, Ain’t Too Proud Casey Nicholaw, The Prom
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY Trip Cullman, Choir Boy Rupert Goold, Ink Sam Mendes, The Ferryman Bartlett Sher, To Kill a Mockingbird Ivo Van Hove, Network
CHOREOGRAPHY Warren Carlyle, Kiss Me Kate Denis Jones, Tootsie David Neuman, Hadestown Casey Nicholaw, The Prom Sergio Trujillo, Ain’t Too Proud
ORCHESTRATIONS Michael Chorney & Todd Sickafoose, Hadestown Simon Hale, Tootsie Daniel Kluger, Oklahoma! Jason Michael Webb, Choir Boy (if it’s eligible?) Harold Wheeler, Ain’t Too Proud *The Prom if it’s not
SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Robert Brill & Peter Nigrini, Ain’t Too Proud Peter England, King Kong Rachel Hauck, Hadestown Laura Jellinek, Oklahoma! David Korins, Beetlejuice
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY Miriam Buether, To Kill a Mockingbird Bunny Christie, Ink Rob Howell, The Ferryman Santo Loquasto, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Jan Versweyveld & Tal Yarden, Network
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Howell Binkley, Ain’t Too Proud Bradley King, Hadestown Peter Mumford, King Kong Kenneth Posner, Beetlejuice Scott Zielinski, Oklahoma!
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY Neil Austin, Ink Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhower, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Peter Mumford, The Ferryman Jennifer Tipton, To Kill a Mockingbird Jan Versweyveld, Network
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Michael Krass, Hadestown William Ivey Long, Beetlejuice William Ivey Long, Tootsie Bob Mackie, The Cher Show Terese Wadden, Oklahoma!
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY Rob Howell, The Ferryman Clint Ramos, Torch Song Ann Roth, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Ann Roth, King Lear Ann Roth, To Kill a Mockingbird
SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Steve Canyon Kennedy, Ain’t Too Proud Peter Hylenski, Beetlejuice Peter Hylenski, King Kong Drew Levy, Oklahoma! Nevin Steinberg & Jessica Paz, Hadestown
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY Adam Cork, Ink Scott Lehrer, To Kill a Mockingbird Fitz Patton, Choir Boy Nick Powell, The Ferryman Eric Sleichim, Network
[Edit: forgot to italicize my predicted winners in a couple of categories.]
I have seen all of the seasons musicals. For plays, I have seen American Son, Burn This, Choir Boy, Ink, Network, Straight White Men, The Boys in the Band, The Ferryman, The Lifespan of a Fact, The Nap, The Waverly Gallery, and To Kill a Mockingbird. Educated like Judy, I've made educated guesses on the ones that I have not seen (mainly What the Constitution Means to Me, Gary, Hillary & Clinton, Torch Song). I have also borrowed Judy's template. Thanks Judy!
BEST MUSICAL Ain’t Too Proud Beetlejuice Hadestown The Prom Tootsie
BEST PLAY Choir Boy Ink The Ferryman To Kill a Mockingbird What the Constitution Means to Me
BEST REVIVAL Kiss Me Kate Oklahoma!
REVIVAL OF A PLAY All My Sons The Boys in the Band The Waverly Gallery Torch Song
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL Alex Brightman, Beetlejuice Brooks Ashmanskas, The Prom Damon Daunno, Oklahoma! Derrick Baskin, Ain’t Too Proud Santino Fontana, Tootsie
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Beth Leavel, The Prom Eva Noblezada, Hadestown Kelli O’Hara, Kiss Me Kate Sophia Anne Caruso, Beetlejuice Stephanie J. Block, The Cher Show
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY Adam Driver, Burn This Bryan Cranston, Network Jeff Daniels, To Kill a Mockingbird Jeremy Pope, Choir Boy Jonny Lee Miller, Ink Paddy Considine, The Ferryman
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY Elaine May, The Waverly Gallery Glenda Jackson, King Lear Heidi Schreck, What the Constitution Means to Me Laura Donnelly, The Ferryman Laurie Metcalf, Hillary & Clinton
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL Andre De Shields, Hadestown Andy Grotelueschen, Tootsie Ephraim Sykes, Ain’t Too Proud Patrick Page, Hadestown Patrick Vaill, Oklahoma!
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Ali Stroker, Oklahoma! Amber Grey, Hadestown Mary Testa, Oklahoma! Micaela Diamond, The Cher Show Sarah Stiles, Tootsie
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY Benjamin Walker, All My Sons Bertie Carvel, Ink Brandon Uranowitz, Burn This Gideon Glick, To Kill a Mockingbird Tom Glynn-Carney, The Ferryman
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY Celia Keenan-Bolger, To Kill a Mockingbird Fionnula Flanagan, The Ferryman Julie White, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Mercedes Ruehl, Torch Song Ruth Wilson, King Lear
BEST SCORE Joe Iconis, Be More Chill Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown Adam Cork, Ink Matthew Sklar & Chad Beguelin, The Prom David Yazbek, Tootsie
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL Dominique Morriseau, Ain’t Too Proud Joe Tracz, Be More Chill Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown Bob Martin & Chad Beguelin, The Prom Robert Horn, Tootsie
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Des McAnuff, Ain’t Too Proud Rachel Chavkin, Hadestown Daniel Fish, Oklahoma! Casey Nicholaw, The Prom Scott Ellis, Tootsie
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY Trip Cullman, Choir Boy George C. Wolfe, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Ivo Van Hove, Network Sam Mendes, The Ferryman Bartlett Sher, To Kill a Mockingbird
CHOREOGRAPHY Sergio Trujillo, Ain’t Too Proud Spencer Liff, Head Over Heels Warren Carlyle, Kiss Me Kate Christopher Gattelli, The Cher Show Casey Nicholaw, The Prom
ORCHESTRATIONS Michael Chorney & Todd Sickafoose, Hadestown Christopher Jahnke, King Kong Daniel Kluger, Oklahoma! Larry Hochman & John Clancy, The Prom Simon Hale, Tootsie
SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL David Korins, Beetlejuice Rachel Hauck, Hadestown Peter England, King Kong Christine Jones, Brett J. Banakis & Darrel Maloney, The Cher Show Scott Pask, The Prom
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY Santo Loquasto, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Bunny Christie, Ink David Zinn, The Boys in the Band Rob Howell, The Ferryman Miriam Buether, To Kill a Mockingbird
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Howell Binkley, Ain’t Too Proud Kenneth Posner, Beetlejuice Bradley King, Hadestown Kevin Adams, The Cher Show Natasha Katz, The Prom
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY Natasha Katz, Burn This Peter Kaczorowski, Choir Boy Neil Austin, Ink Peter Mumford, The Ferryman Jennifer Tipton, To Kill a Mockingbird
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL William Ivey Long, Beetlejuice Michael Krass, Hadestown Bob Mackie, The Cher Show Ann Roth, The Prom William Ivey Long, Tootsie
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY Clint Ramos, Burn This David Zinn, Choir Boy Ann Roth, Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus Rob Howell, The Ferryman Ann Roth, To Kill a Mockingbird
SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Steve Canyon Kennedy, Ain’t Too Proud Nevin Steinberg & Jessica Paz, Hadestown Peter Hylenski, King Kong Drew Levy, Oklahoma! Nevin Steinberg, The Cher Show
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY Fitz Patton, Choir Boy Adam Cork, Ink Eric Sleichim, Network Scott Lehrer, To Kill a Mockingbird Nick Powell, The Ferryman
ELP said: "Very impressive, Seth! (not your predictions, the # of shows you've attended this season!!)"
I have a serious addiction haha those numbers don't include revisits, Off-Broadway, shows from last season that I saw after the nominations came out, community and regional, and touring shows (I live in a Philly suburb ~35 minutes from Philly and ~90 minutes from NYC). I'm a freelance math tutor as a side-gig and I spend literally all of that money on theatre. I have a slight problem... But at least it's a healthy addiction! (That's what I tell myself to make myself feel better about spending all of this money)
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Corbin Bleu (Kiss Me, Kate) Patrick Page (Hadestown) George Salazar (Be More Chill) André De Shields (Hadestown) Patrick Vaill (Oklahoma!)
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Amber Gray (Hadestown) Sarah Stiles (Tootsie) Ali Stroker (Oklahoma!) Stephanie Styles (Kiss Me, Kate) Mary Testa (Oklahoma!)
sethepstein12 said: "ELP said: "Very impressive, Seth! (not your predictions, the # of shows you've attended this season!!)"
I have a serious addiction haha those numbers don't include revisits, Off-Broadway, shows from last season that I saw after the nominations came out, community andregional, and touring shows (I live in a Philly suburb ~35 minutes from Philly and ~90 minutes from NYC). I'm a freelance math tutor as a side-gig and I spend literally all of that money on theatre. I have a slight problem... But at least it's a healthy addiction! (That's what I tell myself to make myself feel better about spending all of this money)"
Apologies in advance for not listing all of the designers' and writers' names here:
BEST MUSICAL
Ain’t Too Proud Be More Chill Hadestown The Prom Tootsie
BEST PLAY
Choir Boy The Ferryman Ink To Kill A Mockingbird What The Constitution Means To Me
BEST REVIVAL Kiss Me Kate Oklahoma!
REVIVAL OF A PLAY
The Boys In The Band Burn This Torch Song The Waverly Gallery
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Brooks Ashmanskas, The Prom Derrick Baskin, Ain’t Too Proud Will Chase, Kiss Me Kate Damon Daunno, Oklahoma Santino Fontana, Tootsie
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Stephanie J. Block, The Cher Show Rebecca Naomi Jones, Oklahoma Beth Leavel, The Prom Eva Noblezada, Hadestown Kelli O’Hara, Kiss Me Kate
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY
Paddy Considine, The Ferryman Bryan Cranston, Network Jeff Daniels, To Kill A Mockingbird Johnny Lee Miller, Ink Jeremy Pope, Choir Boy
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Donnelly, The Ferryman Glenda Jackson, King Lear Elaine May, The Waverly Gallery Laurie Metcalf, Hilary and Clinton Heidi Schreck, What The Constitution Means To Me
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
John Behlmann, Tootsie Andre De Shields, Hadestown Patrick Page, Hadestown Christopher Sieber, The Prom Ephraim Sykes, Ain’t Too Proud
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Amber Gray, Hadestown Bonnie Milligan, Head Over Heels Sarah Stiles, Tootsie Ali Stroker, Oklahoma Mary Testa, Oklahoma
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Gbenga Akinnagbe, To Kill A Mockingbird Bertie Carvel, Ink Tom Glynn-Carney, The Ferryman Brandon Uranowitz, Burn This Benjamin Walker, All My Sons
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Joan Allen, The Waverly Gallery Fionnula Flanagan, The Ferryman Celia Keenan-Bolger, To Kill A Mockingbird Dearbhla Molloy, The Ferryman Mercedes Ruehl, Torch Song
BEST SCORE
Be More Chill Hadestown King Lear The Prom Tootsie
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Ain’t Too Proud Be More Chill Hadestown The Prom Tootsie
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Rachel Chavkin, Hadestown Scott Ellis, Tootsie Daniel Fish, Oklahoma Des McAnuff, Ain’t Too Proud Casey Nicholaw, The Prom
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Rupert Goold, Ink Sam Mendes, The Ferryman Lila Neugebauer, The Waverly Gallery Bartlett Sher, To Kill A Mockingbird Ivo van Hove, Network
CHOREOGRAPHY
Warren Carlyle, Kiss Me Kate Denis Jones, Tootsie David Neuman, Hadestown Casey Nicholaw, The Prom Sergio Trujillo, Ain’t Too Proud
ORCHESTRATIONS
Hadestown Kiss Me Kate Oklahoma The Prom Tootsie
SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Beetlejuice Be More Chill Hadestown Oklahoma Tootsie
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
The Ferryman Gary Ink Network To Kill A Mockingbird
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Beetlejuice Be More Chill Hadestown Oklahoma Tootsie
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
All My Sons The Ferryman Ink Network To Kill A Mockingbird
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Ain’t Too Proud The Cher Show Hadestown Kiss Me Kate Tootsie
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
BernhardtHamlet Choir Boy Ink King Lear To Kill A Mockingbird
SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Ain’t Too Proud Be More Chill Hadestown Oklahoma Tootsie
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY
Choir Boy The Ferryman Ink Network To Kill A Mockingbird
I'm only making one bold prediction here: either King Lear or Mockingbird will get the final Best Score nomination as a direct snub of Be More Chill and Beetlejuice.
I know it's super later but I didn't have power last night before bed to come post this.... though I totally had it worked out. I wouldn't miss this tradition for anything! I don't follow plays close enough to make guesses on them so musicals only from me.
The show(s) or person(s) with the * beside it is the one I feel is the low one on the totem pole and if anyone is going to be bumped out, it would likely be them for one of my on the bubble picks.
New Musical - Hadestown - The Prom - Tootise - The Cher Show * - Ain't Too Proud ON THE BUBBLE: Be More Chill
Musical Revival - Kiss Me, Kate - Oklahoma
Leading Actress - Stephanie J. Block in The Cher Show - Rebecca Naomi Jones in Oklahoma* - Beth Leavel in The Prom - Eva Noblezada in Hadestown* - Kelli Ohara in Kiss Me Kate ON THE BUBBLE: Sophia Anne Caruso in Beetlejuice
Leading Actor - Brooks Ashmanskas in The Prom - Santino Fontina in Tootise - Will Chase in Kiss Me Kate - Damon Daunno in Oklahoma - Reeve Carney in Hadestown* ON THE BUBBLE: Derrick Baskin in Ain't Too Proud
Featured Actress - Amber Grey, Hadestown - Leslie Kritzer, Beetlejuice - Ali Stroker, Oklahoma - Sarah Stiles, Tootsie - Mary Testa, Oklahoma* ON THE BUBBLE: Stephanie Styles, Kiss Me Kate LONG SHOTS: Bonnie Milligan, Head Over Heels or Micaela Diamond, The Cher Show
Featured Actor (The hardest to pin down) - Corbin Bleu in Kiss Me Kate - Patrick Page in Hadestown - André De Shields in Hadestown - Ephraim Sykes, Ain't Too Proud* - Patrick Vaill in Oklahoma* ON THE BUBBLE: One or more of the Tootsie actors LONG SHOTS: George Salazar, Be More Chill or Jarrod Spector, The Cher Show
Book of Musical - Robert Horn, Tootsie - Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown - Bob Martin and Chad Beguelin, The Prom - Dominique Morisseau, Ain't Too Proud - Joe Tracz, Be More Chill
Score - Matthew Sklar and Chad Beguelin, The Prom - Joe Iconis, Be More Chill - Anaïs Mitchell, Hadestown - David Yazbek, Tootsie - Jason Michael Webb and Fitz Patton, Choir Boy
Orchestrations - Daniel Kluger, Oklahoma! - Charlie Rosen, Be More Chill - Jason Michael Webb and Fitz Patton, Choir Boy - Michael Chorney and Todd Sickafoose, Hadestown - Harold Wheeler, Ain't Too Proud: The Life and Times of the Temptations
Choreography - Warren Carlyle, Kiss Me, Kate - Christopher Gattelli, The Cher Show* - Denis Jones, Tootsie - David Neumann, Hadestown - Sergio Trujillo, Ain't Too Proud: The Life and Times of the Temptations On the Bubble: Spencer Liff, Head Over Heels (SHOULD be nominated)
Lights - Bradley King, Hadestown - Peter Mumford, King Kong - Scott Zielinski, Oklahoma! - Kenneth Posner and Peter Nigrini, Beetlejuice - Tyler Micoleau, Be More Chill
Set - Rachel Hauck, Hadestown - David Korins, Beetlejuice - Laura Jellinek, Oklahoma! - David Rockwell, Tootsie - Peter England, King Kong
Sound - Peter Hylenski, King Kong - Drew Levy, Oklahoma! - Nevin Steinberg and Jessica Paz, Hadestown - Brian Ronan, Tootsie - Peter Hylenski, Beetlejuice
Director - Rachel Chavkin, Hadestown - Scott Ellis, Tootsie - Daniel Fish, Oklahoma! - Des McAnuff, Ain't Too Proud: The Life and Times of the Temptations - Casey Nicholaw, The Prom
Costume - William Ivey Long, Beetlejuice - William Ivey Long, Tootsie - Bobby Frederick Tilly II, Be More Chill* - Michael Krass, Hadestown - Bob Mackie, The Cher Show ON THE BUBBLE: Arianne Phillips, Head Over Heels