leefowler said: "If the virus roars back in the fall, which a lot of people think is likely, we won't have Broadway for a very long time."
What do you mean IF? It's practically all but guaranteed, if not just plain guaranteed. How many virologists and epidemiologists have to once again give us their expertise on how these things go? They always come in waves. It's how you deal with it that matters. I'd rather our "leaders" spend what time we have left to prep for it and soften that landing. This was the whole point of putting the nation on pause. It was to buy time to come up with a damn plan, but we STILL do not have a national plan and our esteemed CIC just terminated our relationship with the WHO after making to the decisions to not fund it only a few weeks ago. was could possibly go wrong from all that...a lot. I also have an immediate family member getting married in late October and you can bet I'm keeping an EAGLE EYE on everything until then, because said family member has already been told to prep for the possibility of postponing...apparently there was a minor fit thrown but I didn't expect much different from someone who isn't taking this mess seriously in the first place.
The city really isn't as close to ready for even phase 1 as he makes it out to be...heaven knows by the time hospitality can reopen, I'm glad my job is freelance based so I can choose to work or not.
Each phase is supposed to be two weeks but I have a feeling NYC will be in Phase 1 for longer than that. And every other phase honestly. It will take longer simply because of the density and the number of cases.
Sutton Ross said: "Each phase is supposed to be two weeks but I have a feeling NYC will be in Phase 1 for longer than that. And every other phase honestly. It will take longer simply because of the density and the number of cases."
Entering the next phase is dependent on reaching the metrics laid out for that phase, not on time.
^^ Exactly. Phases can only be done...in phases, and the whole point of them is to reach certain criteria and that doesn't mean all that criteria is met every two weeks, it's met when it's met and that only happens when we all do the right thing. This isn't just for metropolis cities, this applies everywhere. Metropolis's always have a harder time just because population density. Remote places get by easier, but that doesn't mean criteria is met biweekly.
Yes, I'm aware of that. And those seven metrics will be a lot harder to meet with millions of people involved. Thus, making it longer than two weeks (all the other regions that transitioned to phase 2 yesterday spent two weeks in phase 1).
A bit of confusion here. First, yes it is absolutely based on metrics not time. The 2 weeks is the minimum time that a phase will last because that is the minimum time needed to examine for any regression. Second, the 7 metrics people have been talking about relate to phase 1. The city is expected to meet the 7 metrics by a week from Monday.
A bit of confusion here, again. Every single phase has to meet the 7 metrics, not JUST Phase 1. Can't move on to other phases until all 7 are met. Every single time.
"Once a region is reopened, officials say the regional control room will monitor regional metrics during the reopening process. These regional control rooms will monitor the hospitalization rate, death rate, number of new hospitalizations, hospital bed capacity, ICU bed capacity, testing and contact tracing within its region during reopening and alert the state if the region's metrics no longer meet the reopening guidelines and adjust the reopening plan for that region accordingly."
Again, you cannot view any of these things as static. There is a great danger in that. Of course the extant metrics will be monitored (as I said). But epidemiologists are not robots and there will be other, evolving, metrics for transitioning. In many of the regions, the additional safeguards are not onerous, because the margin of error is not catastrophic. That is not and will not (as you say) be the case in NYC.
Here in PA we have the red,yellow and green phase. Red phase is stay at home. Yellow phase is retail businesses can open back up but masks are mandatory in most places and social distancing is too.. In the green phase we still can't have more than 250 for a gathering. Barber shops and salons are open by appointment only.
No clue if there is a phase after. If not theatre is a no go at any of the locals. 1 which is bigger than all the Broadway houses.
After seeing how many people are at these protests, if the numbers aren't going way up in a week or two then hell we might as well just open everything and get back to normal.
Broadway Joe said: "After seeing how many people are at these protests, if the numbers aren't going way up in a week or two then hell we might as well just open everything and get back to normal."
We can't just say it's a free for all and open up as normal. They're taking precautions, wearing masks and other protective gear. We can slowly start opening up. Opening without any precautions or staggered opening could very well lead to another outbreak or more cases.
Exactly, if you watch the footage of the protest you will see that the vast majority of the people are wearing masks, which was not the case when people were protesting the stay-at-home orders or partying on memorial day weekend.
To quote (or at least paraphrase) Cuomo, we have to reopen but we have to be smart. There is a smart way to protest, and a smart way to party. People who are stupid are not exemplars of what we must do, or what we "might as well" do.