Although I was initially skeptical about them, both shows have piqued my interest. I hope both will have success. Why not wait until both shows actually open before we decide that they're failures?
"You drank a charm to kill John Proctor's wife! You drank a charm to kill Goody Proctor!" - Betty Parris to Abigail Williams in Arthur Miller's The Crucible
I'm a little confused. I thought that a vast majority of us who post here, don't like hearing that any show is closing. It doesn't matter if we like the show or not, only because that a show closing is still a situation where actors and crew are going to be out of work.
"If you try to shag my husband while I am still alive, I will shove the art of motorcycle maintenance up your rancid little Cu**. That's a good dear"
Tom Stoppard's Rock N Roll
Oh, I hate all of that puppies and rainbows bullsh*t. No show runs forever. Anyway, to answer the question- I would assume Spiderman would do worse, being that Phantom has the built in fanbase of Phans or whatever the hell they call themselves. Spiderman just looks like a bomb to me. Phantom II is not my cup of tea and certainly sounds like a bomb, but I don't think it will be one.
I have a feeling that if Phantom 2 does great, then ticket sales will get better for Phantom 1 and 2. I think so becuase people might want to see the 1st to get the idea of how 2 will be. It's like watching a movie. if that makes sence :)
Phantom can probably run for years on advance sales alone and people who just want to see the sequel, just to say they've seen it.
"The sexual energy between the mother and son really concerns me!"-random woman behind me at Next to Normal
"I want to meet him after and bang him!"-random woman who exposed her breasts at Rock of Ages, referring to James Carpinello
1) I think both of them will do extremely well 2) Why are we waiting/expecting for them to be bad? Let's be optimistic and open-minded and not wait for failure.
Love Never Dies has potential provided the book was made well. POTO has a huge following and the sequel's songs are all beautifully made, memorable and reminiscent of the POTO style.
"I love acting. It is so much more real than life." Oscar Wilde "After silence, that which comes nearest to expressing the inexpressible is music." Aldous Huxley
Was there a leak or something I missed? (I.e. how do we know LND has a good score, or that the sequel's songs are >all< 'beautifully made'.)
"You can't overrate Bernadette Peters. She is such a genius. There's a moment in "Too Many Mornings" and Bernadette doing 'I wore green the last time' - It's a voice that is just already given up - it is so sorrowful. Tragic. You can see from that moment the show is going to be headed into such dark territory and it hinges on this tiny throwaway moment of the voice." - Ben Brantley (2022)
"Bernadette's whole, stunning performance [as Rose in Gypsy] galvanized the actors capable of letting loose with her. Bernadette's Rose did take its rightful place, but too late, and unseen by too many who should have seen it" Arthur Laurents (2009)
"Sondheim's own favorite star performances? [Bernadette] Peters in ''Sunday in the Park,'' Lansbury in ''Sweeney Todd'' and ''obviously, Ethel was thrilling in 'Gypsy.'' Nytimes, 2000
I think that the skeptics minds were put to rest when they heard that song (I believe it is called, "Till You Sing Once More) that is from Love Never Dies, and was sung in the press meeting announcing the show.
jv92, there is a difference between not realizing that no show runs forever and wishing a show that has yet to open ill will. In no way is it bull****.
"If you try to shag my husband while I am still alive, I will shove the art of motorcycle maintenance up your rancid little Cu**. That's a good dear"
Tom Stoppard's Rock N Roll
I sincerely hope that both shows succeed, but at this point it seems like the fates have something against Spiderman. It actually seems like both of them have great material.
$$$ wise, I think Spidey will do worse. From all that I've heard, it will have beaucoup bucks to recoup. I'd like to see both, just for sh*ts and giggles
Uh, excuse me, but I've been seeing people poking fun at POTO II and Spiderman like crazy (Spiderman not so much on this board). I didn't say I didn't want them to do well, I just don't think they will. They're just not good subject material.
Recent Broadway and Off-Broadway:: Carrie, Merrily, Ionescopade
Next On The List :: Clybourne Park, Once, Streetcar, BOM
Excuse me, both are essentially brand new stories based on pre-existing characters so how can you say, "They're just not good subject material?"
I can think of one show that has fantastic "subject material" that created a new plot around pre-existing characters that sucks, but no one I know has heard the complete scores for either SPIDERMAN or LOVE NEVER DIES. Furthermore, no one has heard either of these scores in performance yet so even the creators themselves are unsure of how well the shows work.
People jumped down my throat for calling a certain score a bomb based on hearing it and reading the script (then seeing it and having those feelings confirmed), yet few take issue with this thread tearing down two shows based purely on their potential as box-office successes/failures. Interesting.
Bottom line: at least wait until you've heard the complete score in performance before you call a score or a show a bomb.
I'm convinced if you put U2 in the studio and just made it a concept album it would be off the hook. The musical, however, I have no expectations for and I really am not taking glee if it becomes a mess.
Love Never Dies can work, I think. As people have written Phantom has a huge following. Comic book nerds and fans of the movies are not coming to pay for Spiderman. Nobody has learned from It's a Bird... It's a Plane... It's Superman!!!!
Spiderman and Phantom of the Opera are two of the biggest, most profitable entertainment franchises in history. Name recognition alone will draw crowds in huge numbers, at least in the beginning.
What will determine their fate is the quality-- will they be great shows that will generate good word of mouth and great customers, or bad shows whose novelty wears off?
Honestly, I think it could go either way for each.
I need to disclose I am a major Spiderman fan who still has comic book copies a decade ago in a drawer. I have no interest of seeing it, even with direct transportation. I will try to get my hands on the OCR if there is one available. Push comes to shove and it turns out to be a marvelous spectacle... maybe. I don't even like the films that greatly.
Is Spiderman the most profitable? Yes there was major hullabaloo about Disney's acquisition of Marvel Comics but that includes The Incredible Hulk, Fantastic Four, Iron Man, X-Man, The Punisher, along with Spiderman. The films have made lots of money but so did the Batman franchise in bigger way. It is up there but I don't think it will be that big for fanboys and fangirls going to Broadway to see it. It may start off big but if Superman couldn't do it, how can this?
Phantom fans are more in their element to see a musical sequel.
"Oh, I hate all of that puppies and rainbows bullsh*t. No show runs forever."
It's not that. Though I do think that there is a twisted negativity that can stand out on these boards in general. It's just that almost no one on here has heard or seen remotely enough of either show (in spiderman's case... nothing) to make an informed opinion. Might as well have started a thread called "Let's pull some opinions out of our asses about shows we haven't seen."
If the audience could do better, they'd be up here on stage and I'd be out there watching them. - Ethel Merman