Who do you think is going to win "Best Supporting Actress" at the Academy Awards this year?

MTVMANN Profile PhotoMTVMANN Profile Photo
MTVMANN
Broadway Legend
joined:1/1/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
1/1/05
Who do you think is going to win "Best Supporting Actress" at the Academy Awards this year?
IMO, I think this is the one acting category where I think there could be some suprises. So who do you think will take home the prize:
ACTRESS -- SUPPORTING
Cate Blanchett - IíM NOT THERE
Ruby Dee - AMERICAN GANGSTER
Saoirse Ronan - ATONEMENT
Amy Ryan - GONE BABY GONE
Tilda Swinton - MICHAEL CLAYTON

Blanchett won the Golden Globe, Dee won the SAG and Swinton won the BAFTA. I think the only one you can count out is Ronan.
Anyways, Who do you think will win (and you want to win?)?
SueleenGay Profile PhotoSueleenGay Profile Photo
SueleenGay
Broadway Legend
joined:6/9/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/9/03
I think it will be Ruby Dee.

If I were Amy Ryan I would hope to lose. Actresses of that age who win seem to have trouble building on the hype and continuing with a good career. Yes, they work, but few parlay it into A-list roles. Sorvino, Basinger, Tomei,Connelly, Hardin,Weisz, Zeta-Jones...what have they done that is substantial since winning? (Let's not even talk about Cuba Gooding on the men's side.)
PEACE.
lildogs Profile Photolildogs Profile Photo
lildogs
Broadway Legend
joined:4/18/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/18/04
I wouldn't count out anyone in this wacky category--that being said, my money is on RUBY DEE.
tazber Profile Phototazber Profile Photo
tazber
Broadway Legend
joined:5/10/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
5/10/05
I'm going along with everyone else and calling Ruby.
....but the world goes 'round
StageManager2 Profile PhotoStageManager2 Profile Photo
StageManager2
Broadway Legend
joined:10/21/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
10/21/05
Yeah, Ruby Dee seems to be the sentimental favorite.
Salve, Regina, Mater misericordiae
Vita, dulcedo, et spes nostra
Salve, Salve Regina
Ad te clamamus exsules filii Eva
Ad te suspiramus, gementes et flentes
O clemens O pia
mateo Profile Photomateo Profile Photo
mateo
Broadway Legend
joined:4/8/06
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/8/06
and she's old.
"Zac is sweet as can be. He's very much just a sweet kid from California who happens to have a face that looks like it was drawn by Michelangelo, (if Michelangelo did anime)."
-Adam Shankman.

"I haven't left this building since Windows 3.1!"

"Celebrating a birthday this week: Rene Descartes is 412! Do you know who he is? Then why are you watching this show? You could probably get into college and even get one of those job things. As for the rest of us; Amanda Bynes is 22! Yay!"
-E!'s "The Soup"
StageManager2 Profile PhotoStageManager2 Profile Photo
StageManager2
Broadway Legend
joined:10/21/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
10/21/05
So what? That didn't guarantee Gloria Stuart the Oscar.
Salve, Regina, Mater misericordiae
Vita, dulcedo, et spes nostra
Salve, Salve Regina
Ad te clamamus exsules filii Eva
Ad te suspiramus, gementes et flentes
O clemens O pia
lildogs Profile Photolildogs Profile Photo
lildogs
Broadway Legend
joined:4/18/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/18/04
And she's a social and artistic legend...and she's never been nommed before.

I think Ryan could have won, but the momentum has not been hers

Blanchett would win had she not just won for playing another real person

Swinton does have a shot in the Gay Harden mold

The little girl has a shot too--but I think Ruby's got it
mateo Profile Photomateo Profile Photo
mateo
Broadway Legend
joined:4/8/06
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/8/06
In general the award goes to a nominated veteran.
"Zac is sweet as can be. He's very much just a sweet kid from California who happens to have a face that looks like it was drawn by Michelangelo, (if Michelangelo did anime)."
-Adam Shankman.

"I haven't left this building since Windows 3.1!"

"Celebrating a birthday this week: Rene Descartes is 412! Do you know who he is? Then why are you watching this show? You could probably get into college and even get one of those job things. As for the rest of us; Amanda Bynes is 22! Yay!"
-E!'s "The Soup"
SueleenGay Profile PhotoSueleenGay Profile Photo
SueleenGay
Broadway Legend
joined:6/9/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/9/03
"and she's old."
"So what? That didn't guarantee Gloria Stuart the Oscar."

Hell, that didn't even get Marc Shaiman a nomination!






















(I KID! re: Who do you think is going to win 'Best Supporting Actress' at the Acade)

PEACE.
Updated On: 2/12/08 at 04:41 PM
mateo Profile Photomateo Profile Photo
mateo
Broadway Legend
joined:4/8/06
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/8/06
lol
"Zac is sweet as can be. He's very much just a sweet kid from California who happens to have a face that looks like it was drawn by Michelangelo, (if Michelangelo did anime)."
-Adam Shankman.

"I haven't left this building since Windows 3.1!"

"Celebrating a birthday this week: Rene Descartes is 412! Do you know who he is? Then why are you watching this show? You could probably get into college and even get one of those job things. As for the rest of us; Amanda Bynes is 22! Yay!"
-E!'s "The Soup"
lildogs Profile Photolildogs Profile Photo
lildogs
Broadway Legend
joined:4/18/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/18/04
True, SM2, but Gloria Stuart doesn't have the same name recognition as Ruby--and Ruby has been steadily working since the 60s--she's part of Spike Lee's resident troupe, which like him or not, puts her in a special category of actors.
Mrs Mangel  Profile PhotoMrs Mangel  Profile Photo
Mrs Mangel
Broadway Legend
joined:11/6/06
Broadway Legend
joined:
11/6/06
I'm thinking if they give best actress to Christie, they won't give supporting to Dee. Too much age in the room. I'm going with the little girl from "Atonement", just as the nod to its one and only acting nomination.
MTVMANN Profile PhotoMTVMANN Profile Photo
MTVMANN
Broadway Legend
joined:1/1/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
1/1/05
Call me crazy, but I would take an Oscar and have a career that doesn't follow the hype, than the opposite of that.
SueleenGay Profile PhotoSueleenGay Profile Photo
SueleenGay
Broadway Legend
joined:6/9/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/9/03
Okay, you are crazy.
PEACE.
MTVMANN Profile PhotoMTVMANN Profile Photo
MTVMANN
Broadway Legend
joined:1/1/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
1/1/05
But my Obituary will list me as "Academy Award Winner" :)
lildogs Profile Photolildogs Profile Photo
lildogs
Broadway Legend
joined:4/18/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
4/18/04
"This may just be a personal thing, but for ME, dropping dead would be the greater disappointment."
SueleenGay Profile PhotoSueleenGay Profile Photo
SueleenGay
Broadway Legend
joined:6/9/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/9/03
"But my Obituary will list me as "Academy Award Winner" :)"

"...whose career sank into oblivion within a year after winning the SUPPORTING actor award, like so many forgotten stars before him..."
PEACE.
Jane2 Profile PhotoJane2 Profile Photo
Jane2
Broadway Legend
joined:2/13/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
2/13/04
The only ones I've seen are Cate Blanchett and Ssaoirse, neither for me was an oscar worthy performance, especially Blanchett's.

I hope Ruby Dee gets it, she has some body of work.
<-----I'M TOTES ROLLING MY EYES
Roscoe
Broadway Legend
joined:5/15/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
5/15/03
You can't really go by any of the usual rules. The Old Codger Rule doesn't really apply in the Supporting Actress category, as Lauren Bacall and Gloria Stuart and Vanessa Redgrave found out. I don't know who is going to win, and I'm just not really all that interested, the nominated performances I've seen made no impression on me at all.
"If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about the answers." Thomas Pynchon, GRAVITY'S RAINBOW "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away." Philip K. Dick My blog: http://www.roscoewrites.blogspot.com/
ray-andallthatjazz86 Profile Photoray-andallthatjazz86 Profile Photo
ray-andallthatjazz86
Broadway Legend
joined:8/2/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
8/2/05
It's really up for grabs, unfortunately, it seems like Ryan's moment has passed which is a shame because she has been doing consistently good work for a long time and did beautiful work in GONE BABY GONE.
I'm so over Blanchett after all the pretentious bad movies she did this year, but the Academy isn't, so I wouldn't count her out.
Ruby Dee may end up taking this one home, especially if Marion Cotillard surprises with a win--extremely unlikely but we'll see.
I thought Ronan was great and Oscars do love recognizing their little girls in this category.
Swinton could end up be the biggest surprise in a rather dull Oscar race (what with the three other acting categories set in stone already).
Oh, and Marissa Tomei may not have gone on to become a B.O star but she has done awesome work after her Oscar-winning role. She should have won the Oscar for her haunting performance in IN THE BEDROOM (for which she was nominated), and should have been nominated for last year's BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU'RE DEAD.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
Updated On: 2/12/08 at 05:02 PM
SueleenGay Profile PhotoSueleenGay Profile Photo
SueleenGay
Broadway Legend
joined:6/9/03
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/9/03
I highly doubt each voter thinks, "Gee, I could vote for Julie, but then I had better vote for a younger person in the other categories." It is not a group decision to vote for one older vet and a newcomer. I would not be suprised to see both Christy and Dee win.
PEACE.
MTVMANN Profile PhotoMTVMANN Profile Photo
MTVMANN
Broadway Legend
joined:1/1/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
1/1/05
nmartin Profile Photonmartin Profile Photo
nmartin
Broadway Legend
joined:6/3/05
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/3/05
"Ruby Dee has some body of work."

Which contains very little of value. Most of it is tv with such "impressive" credits as The Guiding Light and Touched by an Angel.

Edit: And one of the worst performances I've ever seen, her Mary Tyrone in Long Day's Journery Into Night. Just awful.
Updated On: 2/12/08 at 05:26 PM
StickToPriest Profile PhotoStickToPriest Profile Photo
StickToPriest
Broadway Legend
joined:6/15/04
Broadway Legend
joined:
6/15/04
"I'm thinking if they give best actress to Christie, they won't give supporting to Dee. Too much age in the room"

I never understand arguments like this. I really doubt most Academy voters think like that, saying, "Well, I already voted for an old person in that category, so I've got to average out the age with this category."
"One no longer loves one's insight enough once one communicates it."

The opposite of creation isn't war, it's stagnation.