I can't help but think that In the Heights will win best choreography. I have never seen a show with choreography that so furthered the plot as the choreography in In the Heights. At times, it really did carry the story, and it is so inventive and fresh that it would really be a shame if andy blankenbuehler didn't take a prize home for it. (And not just any prize- a Tony, y'all.)
I agree with munk- Kerry Butler will get the nod over Bogess.
I agree with you Ryan on BEST MUSICAL, REVIVAL, ACTOR, ACTRESS, FEATURED ACTOR & ACTRESS, BOOK, SETS..almost everything except:
though I think that they will give something to PASSING STRANGE which is probably BEST SCORE. I dont know about chreography .. I think IN THE HEIGHTS (Andy Blankenbuehler) will win!