In the meantime, The Hollywood Reporter has compiled a list of the serious contenders in every major category, so you can predict the committee's picks and make your own.
I guarantee she will be. The committee hasn't ruled on American in Paris yet, but the producers will petition her into leading so she doesn't have to contend with Veanne Cox and Jill Paice. She is clearly the female lead of the show.
The Tony Committee hasn't made any eligibility rulings since March 19. So, the article is a prediction, but for any show opening since March 19 - qualifications are up in the air.
Other than Brad Oscar, who I agree is viable, and maybe John Cariani, who else from SOMETHING ROTTEN! is missing?
Words don't deserve that kind of malarkey. They're innocent, neutral, precise, standing for this, describing that, meaning the other, so if you look after them you can build bridges across incomprehension and chaos. But when they get their corners knocked off, they're no good anymore…I don't think writers are sacred, but words are. They deserve respect. If you get the right ones in the right order, you can nudge the world a little.
Kate Reinders, John Cariani, presumed front-runner Brad Oscar... And depending on how much the critics love the show, long-time character actors Brooks Ashmanskas and Peter Bartlett are both very funny in the show as well. Not saying they'll be nominated, but if this list includes David Burtka, it should probably include a few of the ROTTEN! names.
I believe Scott Feinberg and THR just started covering the Tonys substantially last year (it may have been 2013), and as such, I don't take much stock in whatever they say. They don't know what they're talking about.
Unfortunately, when there are 2 front runners, there is no open field as in years past so some suspense is gone. I know,if nominated, The Visit has not got a shot in hell of winning.Some categories do but the big one doesn't.
Out of what I've seen, my picks are: (I'm not saying this will happen by any means)
-Something Rotten winning best musical.
-Gigi or On the Town winning best revival.
-Brian d'arcy James, Corey Cott or Tony Yazbeck winning best actor in a musical.
-Vanessa Hudgens, Lisa Howard or Kelli O'Hara winning best actress in a musical.
-Clyde Alves or Max Von Essen winning best supporting actor in a musical.
-Megan Fairchild or Judy Kuhn winning best supporting actress in a musical.
"People have their opinions and that doesn't mean that their opinions are wrong or right. I just take it with a grain of salt because opinions are like as*holes, everyone has one".
-Felicia Finley-
They could still change within a week, but here are my current predictions for the nominations:
Best Musical: An American in Paris Fun Home Honeymoon in Vegas (if there's a fifth nominee) Something Rotten! The Visit
Best Play: The Audience-Peter Morgan The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time-Simon Stephens Disgraced-Ayad Akhtar (if there's a fifth nominee) Hand to God-Robert Askins Wolf Hall-Mike Poulton
Best Revival of a Musical: The King & I On the Town On the Twentieth Century Side Show (if there's a fourth nominee)
Best Revival of a Play: The Elephant Man The Heidi Chronicles It's Only a Play (if there's a fifth nominee) Skylight You Can't Take It With You
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical: Michael Cerveris-Fun Home Robert Fairchild-An American in Paris Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten! Ken Watanabe-The King & I Tony Yazbeck-On the Town
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical: Kristin Chenoweth-On the Twentieth Century Lisa Howard-It Shoulda Been You Beth Malone-Fun Home Kelli O'Hara-The King & I Chita Rivera-The Visit
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play: Steven Boyer-Hand to God Bradley Cooper-The Elephant Man Ben Miles-Wolf Hall Bill Nighy-Skylight Alex Sharp-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play: Geneva Carr-Hand to God Helen Mirren-The Audience Elisabeth Moss-The Heidi Chronicles Carey Mulligan-Skylight Ruth Wilson-Constellations
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical: Clyde Alves-On the Town Tony Danza-Honeymoon in Vegas Jay Armstrong Johnson-On the Town Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century Paul Alexander Nolan-Doctor Zhivago
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical: Victoria Clark-Gigi Megan Fairchild-On the Town Judy Kuhn-Fun Home Sydney Lucas-Fun Home Ruthie Ann Miles-The King & I
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play: James Earl Jones-You Can't Take It With You Alessandro Nivola-The Elephant Man Nathaniel Parker-Wolf Hall Bryce Pinkham-The Heidi Chronicles Micah Stock-It's Only a Play
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play: Annaleigh Ashford-You Can't Take It With You Patricia Clarkson-The Elephant Man Lydia Leonard-Wolf Hall Kristine Nielsen-You Can't Take It With You Sarah Stiles-Hand to God
Best Direction of a Musical: Scott Ellis-On the Twentieth Century Sam Gold-Fun Home John Rando-On the Town Bartlett Sher-The King & I Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris
Best Direction of a Play: Stephen Daldry-Skylight Marianne Elliott-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time Scott Ellis-You Can't Take It With You Jeremy Herrin-Wolf Hall Moritz von Stuelpnagel-Hand to God
Best Original Score: Fun Home-Music By Jeanine Tesori, Lyrics By Lisa Kron Honeymoon in Vegas-Music & Lyrics By Jason Robert Brown The Last Ship-Music & Lyrics By Sting The Visit-Music By John Kander, Lyrics By Fred Ebb
Best Book of a Musical: An American in Paris-Craig Lucas Fun Home-Lisa Kron Honeymoon in Vegas-Andrew Bergman The Visit-Terrence McNally
Best Choreography: Joshua Bergasse-On the Town Warren Carlyle-On the Twentieth Century Denis Jones-Honeymoon in Vegas Casey Nicholaw-Something Rotten! Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris
Jeffrey, there are three very strong contenders for Featured Actor in Something Rotten: Brad Oscar, John Cariani and Christian Borle. I'm pretty sure at least two of them will be nominated.
Pretty good predictions Jeffrey but I have to completely disagree with featured actor in a musical. Something Rotten! will get at least two of its men in there.
Also, can anyone explain why Patricia Clarkson is being predicted by so many people when she was singled out almost everywhere as the weak link in the production? Is it just her name? getting swept up in a well liked show?
Im glad THR has started covering the Tonys, they could use some more big exposure. But his lists have a lot of innacuracies which many above have pointed out. These ones are a bit better, esp re: featured performers.
Jeffrey-I think your exclusion of any actor from Something Rotten in the featured category might be a little off. I also think Alysha Umphress will get a nod over Megan Fairchild. (The rest of the featured actress in a musical category is the way I think it will go.) I'm also not 100% sure Lisa Howard will get a nomination. I think Laura Michelle Kelly might sneak in there. Enid Graham from Curious Incident might also take a featured actress slot (she was very, very good and I think she'll be remembered).
Megan Fairchild is fantastic, but I agree with Falling that Alysha Umphress is much more likely to be nominated than Fairchild. Umphress steals the show with her numbers, and it looks like they're definitely pushing for her nomination with the appearance on the "Today Show" and whatnot.
I feel like Mia Michaels will be nominated over Denis Jones, but who knows really. Also, those On the Town boys have no shot. The Something Rotten boys will overshaddow them
I wasn't the biggest fan of IT'S ONLY A PLAY, but I'll be damned if I'm not realizing that one of the people I'm pulling for the most for nominations is Micah Stock.
Words don't deserve that kind of malarkey. They're innocent, neutral, precise, standing for this, describing that, meaning the other, so if you look after them you can build bridges across incomprehension and chaos. But when they get their corners knocked off, they're no good anymore…I don't think writers are sacred, but words are. They deserve respect. If you get the right ones in the right order, you can nudge the world a little.