Can We Finally Talk About Who Will Win The Tony For Best Musical?

Phantom of London
Broadway Legend
joined:3/26/08
Also Best Book?
Best Score
Best Orchestrations
Best Leading Lady/Gent
Best Featured Lady/Gent
Best Choreography
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disneybroadwayfan22
Broadway Star
joined:2/10/13
I'm going to say that with the hype and the awards it got in London, I'll say that Matilda all of these awards you listed except Best Orchestra. I think Cinderella will get that one and maybe Best Leading or/and Featured Actor/Actress in a Musical (Laura Osnes/Victoria Clarke).
Broadway Shows: Phantom of the Opera (January 2011), Mary Poppins (January 2011), Anything Goes (August 2011, W/ Sutton Foster, Joel Grey, and Laura Osnes), The Lion King (August 2011), Godspell (June 2012, W/ Corbin Bleu), Matilda the Musical (Original Broadway Cast, May 2013), Newsies (May 2013), Cinderella (W/ Carly Rae Jepsen and Fran Drescher, May 2014), and Aladdin (OBC, May 2014). Pre-Broadway: If/Then (November 2013/World Premiere, W/ Idina Menzel, LaChanze, and Anthony Rapp). National Tours: Wicked (October 2012), Beauty & the Beast (January 2013), & Jersey Boys (November 2013)

Met Idina Menzel & Sierra Boggess (November 2013)
Updated On: 3/9/13 at 08:13 AM
dreaming
Broadway Legend
joined:4/24/09
Musical-Matilda
Score-Matilda (watch out for Kinky Boots-I've heard good things about the score)
Book-Matilda
Revival-either Drood or Pippin (assuming Cinderella is deemed new-if not, Cinderella has a chance)
Actor/musical-Bertie Carvel (if put here)
Actress/musical-Laura Osnes has a really good shot
Featured Actor/Actress in a Musical-Not sure
Director/Musical-Diane Paulus or the person directing Matilda (money is on Paulus)
Jay94
Stand-by
joined:4/10/11
Matilda in a sweep.
WhizzerMarvin TrinaJasonMendel
Broadway Legend
joined:5/26/05
Well Motown hasn't even started previews yet, but...

I predict the musical side of the Tonys will be a battle between Matilda and Pippin, with a few other shows picking up an award here and there.

Matilda will win Musical, Score and Book. Pippin will win revival. After that all bets are off. Warchus vs Paulus will be a great director showdown, and the same goes for choreography. If all the circus performing counts as choreography for Pippin then it will put up quite a fight with Matilda.

The Matilda girls will be a favorite to win, but Patina gives them some honest competition.

I think Carvel should and will be left in featured (where he is now since his name is not above the title). He has no competition.

Featured actress will probably have 80% of the votes going to Andrea Martin. She's as sure a bet as Daniel Day Lewis was at the Oscars this year.

I think if Carvel is kept out of featured Billy Porter will win for Lead Actor, just like Norbert won for Catch Me a few years ago.

Lighting, set design, costumes, etc will probably go to Matilda in a sweep, but the lighting in Pippin is equally as brilliant. Pippin could upset in any tech category.
Marie: Don't be in such a hurry about that pretty little chippy in Frisco. Tony: Eh, she's a no chip!
dramamama611
Broadway Legend
joined:12/4/07
Methinks Whizzer knows of whence he speaks.

Matilda and Pippin will be front runners in most categories, with Matilda picking up more awards. (I think Drood would have been in the running had it managed to stay open longer.)
If we're not having fun, then why are we doing it? These are DISCUSSION boards, not mutual admiration boards. Discussion only occurs when we are willing to hear what others are thinking, regardless of whether it is alignment to our own thoughts.
jacobsnchz14
Broadway Legend
joined:12/13/06
I'm still hoping we'll see some Drood again come the summer... I'm wondering if there's a reason there's no musical (yet) in RTC's season... lol. I doubt it, but...
goldenboy
Broadway Legend
joined:7/15/05
Best musical will be Scandalous or Chaplin.
EgermanArmfelt
Stand-by
joined:7/25/12
Any chance of Andy Karl winning for Drood for Best Featured Actor?
elphaba.scares.me
Leading Actor
joined:10/23/04
I think "A Christmas Story" will be the rare seasonal show that grabs a few nominations.

And I haven't seen her in the show yet, but based on what I've seen in the past--and the buzz about this performance--I think that anyone who rules out Annaleigh Ashford is nuts.

I predict no nominations for Jekyll & Hyde, even though some elements are good...even in categories where it's been nominated before.
Knowitall
Chorus Member
joined:11/14/12
What about Annie or Hands on hardbody? I think they will win in a few categories.
Gothampc
Broadway Legend
joined:5/20/03
Ivy Lynn as Marilyn Monroe in Bombshell

It had to be said.
If anyone ever tells you that you put too much Parmesan cheese on your pasta, stop talking to them. You don't need that kind of negativity in your life.
supersam1026
Leading Actor
joined:5/15/07
Matilda will win best musical. I think Pippin will take it over Drood. Same thing as last year with Porgy and Bess and Follies. Porgy got it because it was still running (there were other reasons too, but this must have helped). Actress will be a tight race between Patina Miller and the Matilda girls. Bertie Carvel will win whichever category he is in. I keep hearing about Billy Porter, but if Carvel is nominated as lead (as he was in the West End), my money is on him. I think the closest competition this year will be director (Paulus vs. Warchus) and actress (Matildas vs. Miller).
ggersten
Broadway Legend
joined:5/11/06
Is this right of the eligibles?

New Musicals:
Bring it On
Scandalous
Chaplin
Xmas Story
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Hands on Hardbody
Motown
Cinderella (maybe)

Musical Revivals
Annie
Drood
Pippin
Jekyll & Hyde (thanks AntV)
Cinderella (maybe)


Updated On: 3/9/13 at 06:21 PM
Chicago Star
Leading Actor
joined:8/26/09
Fingers crossed Annaleigh Ashford gets nominated for Featured Actress in a Musical.
dramamama611
Broadway Legend
joined:12/4/07
At this point, Andrea Martin is going to walk away with Featured (IMO).
If we're not having fun, then why are we doing it? These are DISCUSSION boards, not mutual admiration boards. Discussion only occurs when we are willing to hear what others are thinking, regardless of whether it is alignment to our own thoughts.
AntV
Featured Actor
joined:12/23/12
@ggersten

And Jekyll and Hyde for revival.
broadwaydevil
Broadway Legend
joined:2/16/11
I hope they don't feel the need to nominate 4 revivals. Yikes.
Scratch and claw for every day you're worth! Make them drag you screaming from life, keep dreaming You'll live forever here on earth.
HeyMrMusic
Broadway Legend
joined:5/16/04
Why? The three that are open have gotten decent notices and one that is opening soon is getting great word from out of town. There have been far worse lineups.
boywonder12
Swing
joined:4/25/11
Best Musical looks like it'll shape out this way...

MATILDA
KINKY BOOTS
BRING IT ON
A CHRISTMAS STORY

I don't think HANDS ON A HARDBODY will get it. It's going to get pretty rough reviews, I assume.

MATILDA will probably sweep, winning ATLEAST Musical, Score, Book, Supporting Actor. It also has a really strong shot at winning Actress for those 4 girls (though a BILLY ELLIOT type repeat seems unlikely), orchestrations, set design, and choreography.

Actress has gotta be down to the Matildas, Patina Miller, Laura Osnes, and Steph J Block
I'll be surprised of Billy Porter wins lead... though there's not much competition. Constantine Maroulis won't somehow be a knockout will he? I hear he won't pull it off but, whatever.
Andrea Martin, duh.
Bertie Carvel, duh.

I bet all of the Best Musical nominees will go 4/4 in Score in Book too. CINDERELLA looks like it'll take costumes, or DROOD perhaps.
RippedMan
Broadway Legend
joined:8/14/05
I find it weird saying this, but I hope Bring It On isn't forgotten. Actually thought it wasn't that awful.
adam.peterson44
Broadway Star
joined:9/7/11
Would love to see A Christmas Story be recognized for its genius choreography. The slow-motion run alone should score it a nomination, and that plus the brilliant tap dancing should earn it a win, in my opinion.
WhatIWasBorn2Do
Stand-by
joined:11/10/12
I enjoyed Bring It On 10 times more than Hardbody, and don't think Hardbody has much of a shot anywhere. I too hope BIO isnt forgotten, I just loved that show!
hejajn
Swing
joined:3/9/13
""Best musical will be Scandalous or Chaplin."" are you high
MillieDillmount
Broadway Star
joined:7/14/03
Do you think Lauren Ward from Matilda will have a shot at at least getting nominated for Featured? I thought she was incredible, and I'd love to see her get a nomination.

Also, I really think the Matilda's will win Leading, and I think they deserve it! Those kids carry that show, that's not an easy role for kids that young!

Anyone think Lilla Crawford will get a nomination still?
dreaming
Broadway Legend
joined:4/24/09
I can't say I think all four girls from Matilda deserve to win-it's the ROLE that wins in this instance and not the individual performances. I know the Billy boys won-and it set a terrible precedent. They should give the girls a special award. It's not fair to the actresses who go on eight times a week (say what you want about child labor and difficulty of the role, but Lilla Crawford goes on six to eight times a week I believe).

The Billy Elliott ruling was not really all that popular after it happened-let's see how it affects the girls playing Matilda.

I'd love to see Annaleigh Ashford over Andrea Martin. Ashford's growth as a performer has been amazing. She deserves this recognition.

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