With the other overcrowded boards of predictions, I thought I would start fresh. Anyways, there's tons of talent this year, so it'll be hard to choose. Who/what do you think will win?
Best Leading Actor in a Musical Alex Brightman, School of Rock Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof Zachary Levi, She Loves Me Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton Leslie Odom Jr., Hamilton
Best Leading Actress in a Musical Laura Benanti, She Loves Me Carmen Cusack, Bright Star Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple Jessie Mueller, Waitress Phillipa Soo, Hamilton
Best Featured Actor in a Musical Daveed Diggs, Hamilton Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress Jonathan Groff, Hamilton Christopher Jackson, Hamilton
Best Featured Actress in a Musical Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me Jennifer Simard, Disaster! Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along
Best Direction of a Musical Michael Arden, Spring Awakening John Doyle, The Color Purple Scott Ellis, She Loves Me Thomas Kail, Hamilton George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along
Best Score Sara Bareilles, Waitress Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Bright Star Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton Andrew Lloyd Webber and Glenn Slater, School of Rock
Best Book of a Musical Julian Fellowes, School of Rock Steve Martin, Bright Star Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along
Best Orchestrations August Eriksmoen, Bright Star Larry Hochman, She Loves Me Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along
Best Choreography Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton Savion Glover, Shuffle Along Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet!
Best Scenic Design of a Musical Es Devlin and Finn Ross, American Psycho David Korins, Hamilton Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along David Rockwell, She Loves Me
Best Costume Design of a Musical Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me Ann Roth, Shuffle Along Paul Tazewell, Hamilton
Best Lighting Design of a Musical Howell Binkley, Hamilton Jules Fisher and Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening Justin Townsend, American Psycho
Best Direction of a Musical Michael Arden, Spring Awakening John Doyle, The Color Purple Scott Ellis, She Loves Me Thomas Kail, Hamilton George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along
Does anyone thinks Danny Burstein could still have a chance of winning Lead Actor in a Musical? I think he could for several reasons:
1. Lin-Manuel Miranda & Leslie Odom, Jr. could split the vote, and Tony voters could end up looking elsewhere (see Robert Lindsay winning for Me & My Girl over Colm Wilkinson & Terrence Mann in Les Miserables; Norbert Leo Butz winning for Catch Me If You Can over Andrew Rannells & Josh Gad in The Book of Mormon).
2. A win for him could be the best way voters could acknowledge Fiddler on the Roof.
3. He is the one Broadway veteran of the five nominees.
4. If he wins Outer Critics Circle and/or Drama Desk, he could build some momentum.
5. He really reinvented the role of Tevye.
6. While Fiddler on the Roof did underperform in the nominations, please keep in mind that only up to 50 people determine the nominations (it was very competitive this year) and then the 800 or so voters vote on the winners.
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "Does anyone thinks Danny Burstein could still have a chance of winning Lead Actor in a Musical? I think he could for several reasons:
1. Lin-Manuel Miranda & Leslie Odom, Jr. could split the vote, and Tony voters could end up looking elsewhere (see Robert Lindsay winning for Me & My Girl over Colm Wilkinson & Terrence Mann in Les Miserables; Norbert Leo Butz winning for Catch Me If You Can over Andrew Rannells & Josh Gad in The Book of Mormon).
2. A win for him could be the best way voters could acknowledge Fiddler on the Roof.
3. He is the one Broadway veteran of the five nominees.
4. If he wins Outer Critics Circle and/or Drama Desk, he could build some momentum.
5. He really reinvented the role of Tevye.
6. While Fiddler on the Roof did underperform in the nominations, please keep in mind that only up to 50 people determine the nominations (it was very competitive this year) and then the 800 or so voters vote on the winners."
He definitely has a chance! The only things working against your theory is that Lin will be awarded elsewhere, meaning that a lot of voters wont even think to vote for him for best actor over Leslie or Danny. Also, Hamilton getting 16 nominations (even putting Pippa in over the ultimate Tony darling Audra McDonald) has me convinced that they're going to be very generous to them. All of this talk in the last few weeks of the Tony voters 'being sick of the hype' doesn't seem to be true.
Hellob said: "Before I can decide, I need to know if nominees campaign like tv/film. Does anyone know?"
I don't know the campaigning is as significant as it is in Hollywood but I would say that yes, they do. Having worked in PR that involved awards, I know it's about being in the voters' sightline so this is a big part of where the PR folks earn their keep. Even though nominees are judged on their performance, it certainly doesn't hurt to have their name everywhere. Being a Tony nominee means lots of events and interviews on top of giving your best effort every night on stage.
I think if your show has recently opened and there is a lot of buzz, it can help those actors to ride the wave.
Well I didn't want to get into it, but he's a Satanist.
Every full moon he sacrifices 4 puppies to the Dark Lord and smears their blood on his paino.
This should help you understand the score for Wicked a little bit more.
Tazber's: Reply to
Is Stephen Schwartz a Practicing Christian
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "Does anyone thinks Danny Burstein could still have a chance of winning Lead Actor in a Musical? I think he could for several reasons:
1. Lin-Manuel Miranda & Leslie Odom, Jr. could split the vote, and Tony voters could end up looking elsewhere (see Robert Lindsay winning for Me & My Girl over Colm Wilkinson & Terrence Mann in Les Miserables; Norbert Leo Butz winning for Catch Me If You Can over Andrew Rannells & Josh Gad in The Book of Mormon).
2. A win for him could be the best way voters could acknowledge Fiddler on the Roof.
3. He is the one Broadway veteran of the five nominees.
4. If he wins Outer Critics Circle and/or Drama Desk, he could build some momentum.
5. He really reinvented the role of Tevye.
6. While Fiddler on the Roof did underperform in the nominations, please keep in mind that only up to 50 people determine the nominations (it was very competitive this year) and then the 800 or so voters vote on the winners."
This has been discussed to death.
Sometimes it looks like the "split" situation can ruin the chances of two actors int eh same show (the examples you listed). Other times (Idina and Kristen in Wicked, for example) that theory does not hold true. Maybe... just maybe the voters vote for who they actually believe to give the best performance. Just because two men/women in one show are nominated in the same category doesn't mean anything. and just because Norbert beat out Andrew and Josh doesn't mean he wasn't deserving. Could Danny win? Sure. The only person we know for sure who isn't winning is Benjamin Walker.
That said, I don't personally believe Danny reinvented the role of Tevye. It seemed like the same old thing I've seen time and time again. For that reason, I don't believe he will win. I think it will (and should) go to Leslie. but if Danny does win, I won't be blaming the "split vote" theory.
I'm not saying Norbert wasn't deserving. I saw him in Catch Me If You Can the night before he won the Tony, and he absolutely deserved it! But still, it was an example of Tony voters spreading the wealth to other shows in a season that was dominated by an enormous juggernaut.
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "I'm not saying Norbert wasn't deserving. I saw him in Catch Me If You Can the night before he won the Tony, and he absolutely deserved it! But still, it was an example of Tony voters spreading the wealth to other shows in a season that was dominated by an enormous juggernaut."
Or, it was an example of the best actor actually winning the award.
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "I'm not saying Norbert wasn't deserving. I saw him in Catch Me If You Can the night before he won the Tony, and he absolutely deserved it! But still, it was an example of Tony voters spreading the wealth to other shows in a season that was dominated by an enormous juggernaut."
Or, it was an example of the best actor actually winning the award.
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "I'm not saying Norbert wasn't deserving. I saw him in Catch Me If You Can the night before he won the Tony, and he absolutely deserved it! But still, it was an example of Tony voters spreading the wealth to other shows in a season that was dominated by an enormous juggernaut."
Or, it was an example of the best actor actually winning the award.
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "I'm not saying Norbert wasn't deserving. I saw him in Catch Me If You Can the night before he won the Tony, and he absolutely deserved it! But still, it was an example of Tony voters spreading the wealth to other shows in a season that was dominated by an enormous juggernaut."
Or, it was an example of the best actor actually winning the award. It just so happens that he was not in that juggernaut. "Spreading the wealth" implies it was done with purpose, which, whether you intend to or not, takes all merit away from Norbert's win. You're basically saying "He only won because Tony voters wanted to honor other shows."