Tony 2014 - winner predictions

[Sauja]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 5:00pm

Forgive me if this exists somewhere else. I searched for it but only came up with predictions for production numbers on the telecast and then predictions for nominations. As far as I can tell, no one has created a page to guess who will actually win.

So...I'm going to venture my guesses as of right this moment. These are all based on who I THINK will win, not who I want to win. And as I started to try to make guesses I realized just how insanely tough almost every category is to call this year. I think I'm confident on only two of these: Iglehart and the Act One set. Everyone else? Shots in the dark. So if you totally disagree, I very much understand. All the more reason to make your picks known.

Best Play: All the Way

Best Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Play Revival: Twelfth Night
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Gentleman’s Guide
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Lead Actress Play: Cherry Jones (just a hunch that she'll pull it off somehow)
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Play: Reed Birney
Featured Actress Play: Mare Winningham
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Scenic Design Play: Boritt/Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Barreca/Rocky
Costume Design Play: Greenwood/Act One (a lifetime achievement and her first competitive win on the same night?)
Costume Design Musical: Long/Bullets
Lighting Design Play: Katz/Glass Menagerie
Lighting Design Musical: Adams/Hedwig
Sound Design Play: Kennedy/Lady Day
Sound Design Musical: O’Heir/Hedwig
Direction of a Play: Leon/Raisin
Direction of a Musical: Tresnjak/Gentleman’s Guide
Choreography: Carlyle/After Midnight
Orchestrations: Tunick/Gentleman’s Guide

[Musicaldudepeter]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 6:11pm

Overall production & acting predictions:

Best Play: All the Way
Best Revival of a Play: The Glass Menagerie (historical win) OR Twelfth Night
Best Actor in a Play: Bryan Cranston, All the Way
Best Actress in a Play: Audra McDonald, Lady Day (it's too historical to avoid - imagine the publicity the show would get because of Audra's milestone win)
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Mark Rylance, Twelfth Night (he's gotta win somewhere)
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Sophie Okenedo, A Raisin in the Sun

Best Musical: Gentleman's Guide...
Best Revival of a Musical: Hedwig...
Best Actor in a Musical: Neil Patrick Harris, Hedwig...
Best Actress in a Musical: Jessie Mueller, Beautiful
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: James Monroe Iglehart, Aladdin
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Lena Hall, Hedwig...

[The Josh]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 6:25pm

Best Play: All the Way or Casa Valentina
Best Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Play Revival: Glass Menagerie
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Gentleman’s Guide or Aladdin
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Lead Actress Play: Cherry Jones
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance
Featured Actress Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart or Danny Burstein
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Direction of a Play: John Tiffany/Glass Menagerie
Direction of a Musical: Michael Mayer/Hedwig
Choreography: Casey Nicholaw/Aladdin

[ethan231h]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 6:25pm

Best Play: Act One
Best Musical: Beautiful
Play Revival: The Glass Menagerie
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: If/Then
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Lead Actress Play: Audra McDonald
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Play: Reed Birney
Featured Actress Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Featured Actor Musical: Danny Burstein
Featured Actress Musical: Linda Emond
Scenic Design Play: Boritt/Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Dodge/Gentleman’s Guide
Costume Design Play: Greenwood/Act One
Costume Design Musical: Long/Bullets
Lighting Design Play: Katz/Glass Menagerie
Lighting Design Musical: Adams/Hedwig
Sound Design Play: Kennedy/Lady Day
Sound Design Musical: O’Heir/Hedwig
Direction of a Play: Leon/Raisin
Direction of a Musical: Silverman/Violet
Choreography: Carlyle/After Midnight
Orchestrations: Tunick/Gentleman’s Guide

[The Distinctive Baritone]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 7:30pm

As beloved as Danny Burstein is, James Monroe Iglehart has this one in the bag.

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 7:32pm

Best Play: All the Way
Best Musical: Beautiful
Play Revival: Glass Menagerie
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Bridges
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Lead Actress Play: Cherry Jones
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance (he has this sewn up, sorry Reed)
Featured Actress Play: Celia K-B
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall


Scenic Design Play: Bob Crowley- Glass Menagerie
Scenic Design Musical: Christopher Barreca- Rocky
Costume Design Play: Jenny Tiramani- Twelfth Night
Costume Design Musical: Arianne Phillips- Hedwig
Lighting Design Play: Natasha Katz- Glass Menagerie
Lighting Design Musical: Christopher Akerlind- Rocky
Sound Design Play: Alex Baranowski- The Cripple of Inishmaan
Sound Design Musical: Brian Ronan- Beautiful
Direction of a Play: John Tiffany- Glass Menagerie
Direction of a Musical: Michael Mayer- Hedwig

Choreography: Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine- Rocky
Orchestrations: Jonathan Tunick- Gentleman’s Guide

Updated On: 5/7/14 at 07:32 PM

[ljay889]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 7:38pm

I am sure several of these predictions will change once the critics announce their choices.

[tazber]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 7:52pm

I haven't seen all the plays, but speaking strictly from what I've heard All the Way and Cranston will win.

Lead actress in a play is too close to call but I'm going with Audra.

Supporting actor play - Rylance

Supporting actress - Celia Keenan Bolger

Musical, book, costumes, and score - Gentleman's Guide

Musical revival, and actor - Hedwig/NPH

Actress - Anyone's guess. Jessie seems to be gaining momentum, but I still think Kelli will end up winning.

Supporting actor musical - Igleheart

Supporting actress musical - Worsham (how O'hare wasn't nominated is beyond me.)

Revival play - Glass Menagerie

Choreography - Bullets

Direction musical - I feel like Gentleman's Guide will win but honestly Hedwig is my personal choice.

Direction play - Twelfth Night

[cknick]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 8:01pm

I sincerely hope Audra does NOT win. Though her performance is stunning, the technical difference in performing a string of songs and monologues is completely different than sustaining a iconic role such as Amanda. I'm very disappointed that Lady Day is in the play category (mostly because I hate to have to choose between Audra and Cherry). I have to root for Cherry.

In other Menagerie support, I'm really rooting for Brian and Celia. I hope one of them wins!

[Someone in a Tree2]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 8:38pm

^ I disagree that Audra's performance in Lady Day is not a sustained portrayal of an iconic figure. Nonetheless I do believe it is Cherry Jones who will come out on top at the Tonys.

Regarding best choreography, I have to believe that the posters suggesting the award will go to Rocky, Aladdin or Bullets have simply not yet SEEN the magnificent dance work lighting up the stage at After Midnight. I'm stumped who will get the Tony in many categories this year, but I will be shocked if Midnight loses that award.

[cknick]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 8:54pm

Touche, Someone. I didn't mean to imply Billie isn't iconic...I should have worded that better. I think I mean that Cherry sort of reinvented an iconic role that has been interpreted many times before. Does that make more sense? Haha

It sure is an exciting Tony year!

Updated On: 5/7/14 at 08:54 PM

[JBroadway]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 9:31pm

(some categories deleted because I don't know enough about the nominees)

Best Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Play Revival: Glass Menagerie (though, I loved Cripple too)
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Bridges (I hope, at least)
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston or Chris O'Dowd
Lead Actress Play: Audra or Cherry (though I hope it's Audra, mostly because of the 2 records she would break)
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris or Jefferson Mays
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller or Kelli O'Hara (loved Mueller's performance, but I'm rooting for O'Hara)
Featured Actress Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger (though I LOVED Sarah Greene)
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart
Featured Actress Musical: Linda Emond
Scenic Design Musical: Rocky (SO incredible)
Lighting Design Musical: Hedwig
Direction of a Play: John Tiffany, Glass Menagerie
Direction of a Musical: Darko Tresnjak, Gentleman’s Guide
Orchestrations: Jonathan Tunick or Jason Robert Brown

[mc1227]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 9:52pm

Overall production & acting predictions:

Best Play:
Casa Valentina
Best Revival of a Play: Glass Menagerie
Best Actor in a Play: Bryan Cranston, All the Way
Best Actress in a Play: Audra McDonald, Lady Day
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Mark Rylance
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Sophie Okenedo, A Raisin in the Sun

Best Musical: Gentleman's Guide...
Best Revival of a Musical: Hedwig...
Best Actor in a Musical: Jefferson Mays, Gentleman's Guide
Best Actress in a Musical: Kelli O'Hara, Bridges
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Danny Burstein
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Lena Hall, Hedwig...

Best score: Bridges

[Joviedamian]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 10:03pm

NPH will totally win for best actor in a musical!

Reasons:
He has hosted the Tonys with great success many times!
He's a CBS baby!!!!

From looking at years past, CBS and those who hosted the awards before to great success, get rewarded nicely come Tony time! It's like their way of saying THANK YOU!

[theatreguy]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 10:25pm

Musical: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Play: All the Way
Revival of a Musical: Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Revival of a Play: Twelfth Night

Book: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Score: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder

Director of a Musical: Michael Mayer, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Director of a Play: John Tiffany, The Glass Menagerie
Choreography: Warren Carlyle, After Midnight

Actor in a Musical: Neil Patrick Harris, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Actress in a Musical: Jessie Mueller, Beautiful
Featured Actor in a Musical: James Monroe Iglehart, Aladdin
Featured Actress in a Musical: Lena Hall, Hedwig and the Angry Inch

Actor in a Play: Bryan Cranston, All the Way
Actress in a Play: LaTanya Richardson Jackson, A Raisin in the Sun
Featured Actor in a Play: Mark Rylance, Twelfth Night
Featured Actress in a Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger, The Glass Menagerie

Scenic Design of a Musical: Chris Barreca, Rocky
Costume Design of a Musical: Isabel Toledo, After Midnight
Lighting Design of a Musical: Kevin Adams, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Sound Design of a Musical: Timothy O'Heir, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Orchestrations: Jonathan Tunick, A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder

Scenic Design of a Play: Bob Crowley, The Glass Menagerie
Costume Design of a Play: Jenny Tiramani, Twelfth Night
Lighting Design of a Play: Jane Cox, Machinal
Sound Design of a Play: Matt Tierney, Machinal

[Broadway61004]

Posted: 5/7/14 at 11:23pm

Musical: Gentleman's Guide
Play: Act One
Revival Musical: Hedwig
Revival Play: Glass Menagerie
Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Actress Play: Cherry Jones
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance
Featured Actress Play: Sophie Okonedo
Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Musical: Nick Cordero
Featured Actress Musical: Adriane Lenox
Direction Musical: Darko Tresjnak
Direction Play: John Tiffany
Choreography: Warren Carlyle
Score: Gentleman's
Book: Gentleman's
Orchestrations: Bridges
Scenic Design Play: Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Rocky
Costume Design Play: Twelfth Night
Costume Design Musical: Gentleman's
Lighting Design Play: Machinal
Lighting Design Musical: Rocky
Sound Design Play: Machinal
Sound Design Musical: Hedwig

[JBroadway]

Posted: 5/8/14 at 2:00am

"He has hosted the Tonys with great success many times!
He's a CBS baby!!!!

From looking at years past, CBS and those who hosted the awards before to great success, get rewarded nicely come Tony time! It's like their way of saying THANK YOU!"

Well, the people at CBS aren't the same people who vote for the winners.

[AndersonTours]

Posted: 5/8/14 at 11:29am

Best Musical: Gentleman’s Guide (this IS the best new musical this season)
Play Revival: Glass Menagerie
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Bridges (I hope) or Gentleman’s Guide
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston (no brainer)
Lead Actress Play: Cherry Jones, but Audra could do it
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris (the community will reward him)
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller (she was just the best one this year. Kelli for the tie?)
Featured Actor Play: Reed Birney (I always love his work)
Featured Actress Play: Mare Winningham
Featured Actor Musical: Danny Burstein (I liked him better than the genie)
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Scenic Design Play: Boritt for Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Barreca for Rocky
Costume Design Play: Jane Greenwood for Act One (it's about time!!!)
Costume Design Musical: William Ivey Long for Bullets
Lighting Design Play: Natasha Katz for Glass Menagerie
Lighting Design Musical: Kevin Adams for Hedwig
Sound Design Play: Kennedy for Lady Day
Sound Design Musical: O’Heir for Hedwig (I think this will win, but it was just loud)
Direction of a Play: Kenny Leon for Raisin
Direction of a Musical: Tresnjak for Gentleman’s Guide
Choreography: Carlyle for After Midnight (but I'd love to see Nicholaw win for Aladdin)
Orchestrations: Tunick for Gentleman’s Guide

[Blackbird3]

Posted: 5/8/14 at 11:35am

Feel free to vote for the shows/performances you want to win in my poll here!


Tony Award Nominations Poll

[Love Theatre2]

Posted: 5/8/14 at 8:09pm

I agree, 100%.
Best choreography to Midnight! I really loved that show.

[AJChavez]

Posted: 5/10/14 at 6:40pm

Best Play: All The Way
Best Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Play Revival: Glass Menagerie
Musical Revival: Hedwig
Book of a Musical: Gentleman’s Guide
Score: Gentleman’s Guide or Bridges of Madison County
Lead Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Lead Actress Play: Audra McDonald
Lead Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Lead Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance
Featured Actress Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Direction of a Play: John Tiffany/Glass Menagerie
Direction of a Musical: Darko Tresnjak/Gentleman’s Guide
Choreography: Warren Carlyle/After Midnight
Orchestrations: Bridges or Gentleman’s Guide
Scenic Design Play: Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Rocky or Hedwig
Costume Design Play: Act One
Costume Design Musical: Gentleman's Guide or Hedwig
Lighting Design Play: Glass Menagerie
Lighting Design Musical: Hedwig
Sound Design Play: Lady Day
Sound Design Musical: Beautiful


Updated On: 5/16/14 at 06:40 PM

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 5/10/14 at 9:29pm

Musical: Gentleman's Guide
Play: Act One
Revival Musical: Hedwig
Revival Play: Glass Menagerie
Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Actress Play: Audra McDonald
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance
Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Actress Musical: Kelli O'Hara
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart (though I am rooting for Nick Cordero)
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Direction Play: John Tiffany
Choreography: Warren Carlyle
Score: Bridges
Book: A Gentleman's Guide...
Orchestrations: Bridges
Scenic Design Play: Act One
Scenic Design Musical: Rocky
Costume Design Play: Twelfth Night
Costume Design Musical: A Gentleman's Guide...
Lighting Design Play: Machinal
Lighting Design Musical: Hedwig
Sound Design Play: Machinal
Sound Design Musical: Hedwig

[JoseLee_]

Posted: 5/23/14 at 1:10am

Musical: Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
Play: All the Way
Musical Revival: Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Play Revival: The Glass Menagerie
Actress Musical: Jessie Mueller
Actor Musical: Neil Patrick Harris
Actress Play: Audra McDonald
Actor Play: Bryan Cranston
Featured Actress Musical: Lena Hall
Featured Actor Musical: James Monroe Iglehart
Featured Actress Play: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Featured Actor Play: Mark Rylance Updated On: 5/23/14 at 01:10 AM

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 5/23/14 at 8:25am

Yesterday, before Aladdin, I actually met Jonathan Freeman's friend (who heard us say we're seeing Aladdin). I don't know if his friend's son is a source to the Tony voters or just a guy who hears things like us. But, he told me that James M. Iglehart is a favorite for the Tony. (Of course, I heard that JMI is a shoo-in) I think the son did not say, "I heard". He just said that James was a favorite.

[LimelightMike]

Posted: 5/23/14 at 4:57pm

I'm sorry, but BRIDGES is *totally* taking score.