So, who's winning the Tony? Tony Awards Predictions- Page 3

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 5/26/15 at 10:47pm

Why are people now saying AAIP over Fun Home?

[GreasedLightning]

Posted: 5/26/15 at 10:55pm

"I still don't want to make a call on Best Musical. I simply can't read the voters' minds (as can no one). While one can think...one can HOPE...that after awarding what was the only completely original AMERICAN musical the Best Musical prize last year (I'm talking about GENTLEMAN'S GUIDE..., of course), that perhaps they've come to and have realized what "Best Musical" reallY means. And if they have, there's no denying that FUN HOME will win."

But... if we're talking completely original... we're looking at Something Rotten, no? 

The Visit has a book and film, AAIP has a film and Fun Home has a novel.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but if you're making this argument then SR! is the most wholly original musical this year. 

[PatrickDennis92]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 12:10am

I think voters should pick The Visit just as a social experiment. It would be fascinating to see a show with such dreadfully poor box office numbers actually wind up turning a profit on the sole merit of an awarded distinction.

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 12:34am

I would agree with that statement, but The Visit is just not that great. But definitely I'd love to see a flop win the Tony. For sure.

My money is on Something Rotten! A fresh wonderful new musical.

Fun Home and American are not that original and not that entertaining either.

[FindingNamo]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 1:02am

I would like to hear more of why you think Fun home is "not that original."

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 1:09am

You're right, I meant to say that American is not that original and I was not entertained by Fun Home and American. Edit*

[icecreambenjamin]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 8:05am

When did AAIP become the front runner?

It's not like it got the best reviews.  Is there something that I'm missing here?

[Kad]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 8:33am

Personally, I would rather a good musical based off of a movie or book  than Something Rotten, which manages to be the least original "original" musical in recent memory.

[GreasedLightning]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 9:49am

"When did AAIP become the front runner?
It's not like it got the best reviews.  Is there something that I'm missing here?"

 I think this happened when the NYT predictions came out.

[RingOfKeys2]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 11:53am

I guess it's just the skeptic in me that is foreseeing AIP taking home the big prize. Similar to how it happened to Lion King over Ragtime, Phantom over Into the Woods, and Billy Elliot over Next to Normal. Fun Home is a shoe-in for best book and score which should logically mean it also gets Best Musical. But the Tony's are filled with politics just as anything else is, and something tells me that they will want to spread the wealth around a bit more than Fun Home winning everything (though in my opinion, it deserves close to it). If Fun Home DOESN't win Best Musical, I think fans need to know that its impact will still be just as treasured and its legacy just as strong without the title. AIP will be in the spotlight now. Fun Home will be remembered as one of the most important musicals of this century.

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 12:15pm

I have not seen An American in Paris yet, but it just seems odd to me that Fun Home is a frontrunner in the writing, directing, and at least one performance awards, and still could lose Best Musical. I know that sort of thing has happened before, but it never makes sense to me- if all the elements that make up the musical are excellent, how does the musical not win the top prize?

[musikman]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 12:53pm

^ never underestimate the power of the Road vote and commercial viability.  Such is the life for the TONY awards, which are mostly politics.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 1:43pm

FUN HOME BETTER WIN!! 

[Sauja]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 4:27pm

For me, it was the Times that made me start to think American in Paris might win, but it was talk here about other years when great shows took score and book but lost Best Musical to something flashier/more of a crowd-pleaser (a la Millie/Urinetown; Lion King/Ragtime; or even Phantom/Into the Woods) that made me think it really could go that way. It's also just me being pessimistic as I would personally rank American below not just Fun Home, Something Rotten, and The Visit but also The Last Ship in terms of best musicals of the season. Then again, it's one of my favorite movies, so the degree to which I disliked it may be negatively affected by that.

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 11:34pm

American is not really a musical, it's more of a ballet to me. Fun Home failed to entertain me and I think they are not deserving of the award. Yet again, Once and many others weren't worthy of best musical award.

Don't count Rotten out quite yet.

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 5/27/15 at 11:41pm

"An American in Paris" will obviously win.  

[jdrye222]

Posted: 5/28/15 at 1:09am

I got over 90 of my nomination predictions right, even with the unpredictability of how many slots would be ultimately allowed in some categories....  So here goes it   

 

My full predictions as of 5/28:

 

Play:   Curious Incident

Musical:   Fun Home

Play Revival:   Skylight

Musical Revival:  The King and I 

Actor Play:  Alex Sharp

Actress Play:  Helen Mirren

Actor Musical:  Brian D'Arcy James

Actress Musical:  Kristin Chenoweth

Featured Actor Play:  Richard McCabe

Featured Actress Play:  Annaleigh Ashford

Featured Actor Musical:  Andy Karl

Featured Actress Musical:  Judy Kuhn

Book:  Kron (Fun Home)

Score:  Tesori/Kron (Fun Home)

Set Play:  Curious Incident

Set Musical:  American in Paris 

Costumes Play:  Wolf Hall

Costumes Musical:  American in Paris 

Lighting Play:  Curious Incident

Lighting Musical:  Fun Home

Orchestration:  Fun Home

Director Play:  Curious Incident

Director Musical:  Fun Home

Choreography:  American in Paris 

 

totals:

Fun Home:  7

Curious Incident:  5

American in Paris:  3

On the 20th Century:  2

The Audience:  2

The King and I:  1

Skylight:  1

Something Rotten:  1

Wolf Hall:  1

[skies]

Posted: 5/29/15 at 1:43am

Fun Home for the win.

[starcatchers]

Posted: 5/30/15 at 1:19pm

Best Musical: Will Win: American in Paris

Should Win: American in Paris

 

Best Actor in a Musical: Will Win: Michael Cerveris

Should Win: Robert Fairchild, An American in Paris

 

Best Actress in a Musical: Will Win: Kelli O'Hara, The King and I

Should Win: Beth Malone, Fun Home

 

Best Play: Will Win: The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night Time

Should Win: Curious Incident

 

Best Actor in a Play: Will Win: Steven Boyer, Hand to God

Should Win: Alex Sharp, Curious Incident

 

Best Actress in a Play: Will Win: Helen Mirren

Should Win: Elisabeth Moss, The Heidi Chronicles

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical: Will Win: Brad Oscar, Something Rotten!

Should Win: Brandon Uranowitz, An American in Paris

 

Best Performance by An Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical: Will Win: Judy Kuhn, Fun Home

Should Win: Judy Kuhn, Fun Home

 

Best Revival of a Musical: Will Win: The King and I

Should Win: On the Town

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play: Will Win: Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall

Should Win: Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall

**Should have been nominated: Bryce Pinkham, The Heidi Chronicles

 

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play: Will Win: Annaleigh Ashford

Should Win: Sarah Stiles, Hand to God

 

Best Direction of a musical: Will win: Casey Nicholaw, Something Rotten

Should win: Christopher Wheeldon, American in Paris

 

Best Direction of a play: Will win: Marianne Elliott, Curious Incident

Should win: Moritz von Stuelpenagel, Hand to God

 

Best choreography: Will win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

Should win: Christopher Wheeldon

 

Best scenic design (musical): Will and should win: Bob Crowley and 59 Productions, An American in Paris

 

Best scenic design (play): Will and should win: Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, Curious Incident

 

Best costume design (play): Will and should win: Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall parts I&II

 

Best costume design (musical): Will win: Catherine Zuber, The King and I

Should win: William Ivey Long, On the 20th Century

 

Best lighting design (play): Will and should win: Paule Constable, Curious Incident

 

Best lighting design(musical): Will and should win: Natasha Katz, An American in Paris

Best orchestrations: Will win: not sure

Should win: Rob Mathes, The Last Ship

Best score: Will win: Wayne and Karey Kirkpatrick, Something Rotten!

Should win: Sting, The Last Ship

 

[RaisedOnMusicals]

Posted: 5/30/15 at 6:13pm

In my opinion, if any show pulls off an upset and beats Fun Home, it will be Something Rotten, not AAIP. And The Visit has no chance. Even the Tony voters aren't showing up. 

[Rolinda HayLoft]

Posted: 5/30/15 at 8:34pm

Best Play: The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time. Tony voters are conservative unless it has something to do with their culture specifically. Although this is expertly directed, I have a hard time calling this a play.  The script is second rate at best.

Should win: Disgraced.  This Pulitzer Prize winner is the best written and most relevant play of the season.  It just didnt get enough press behind it unfortunately.

Best Musical: An American In Paris. Again, Tony voters are conservative.  This will tour basically because of the brilliant film. It's nice that dance is highlighted here but this is the least "musical" of all the nominees.

Should win: Fun Home. This is the boldest musical to come along since Falsettos. Brilliantly crafted score, the book is modern and breaks all formulas, and its fascinating story that we haven't heard much...a lesbian daughter and a gay father who can't really connect.

Best Play Revival: You Can't Take it With You. Conservative voters is the name of the game here.

Should win: Skylight....the best production of this show that has ever been produced.  A+ from top to bottom....You Can't Take It is also very good though

Best Musical Revival: The King and I. Again, a production of this show that has never been more poignant.

Should Win: The King and I. Experts working on every aspect of this show.  On the Town is a close second...talk about making an old show look brand new again.

Best Book of a Musical: Fun Home...hands down the most modern book of the last ten years. Breaks the mold in every way.

Best Musical Score: Fun Home.  Its stunning, moving, modern, just enough art and class, also brutally honest. Plus it's Jeanine Tesori's turn. The Last Ship is a close second. The score is major regardless of what you thought of the show itself.  Some of those melodies are the best Broadway's heard in years. I hope Sting returns, he is a musical genius.

Best Actor Play: Alex Sharp. Hes that good and its flashy role. Plus he's young and has a great story.  He'll bring a whole new audience to the theater.

Should win: Bill Nigh. It's a real performance, he's gotten to the center of the character and you feel as though you are watching a real person up there.

Best Actress Play: Helen Mirren. DUH!

Should win: to be honest, i think every other woman in this category is giving a better performance than her. Geneva Carr's in Hand to God to me is the MOST interesting. The sex scene she has with her student...i mean, on the floor hysterical.

Best Actor Musical: Michael Cerveris, Fun Home. Yet another masterful, fully committed, intense character. He is not scared of anything as a performer BRAVO

Best Actress in a Musical: Kristin Chenoweth. Its the definition of tour de force. She is doing everything she can do here. The stuff of legends. Plus she is literally a house hold name because of her work in the theater...one of MAYBE five in the world that can say that.

Should win: it should be a tie between her and Kelli O’Hara for the King and I. Kelli is not making a false move as Anna.  She is perfection in this produciton.

Featured Actor Play: Micah Stock.  He's got buzz still almost a year later

Featured Actress in a Play: Annaleigh Ashford, You Can’t Take It with You.  She's had it coming for a while now. And she is truly scene stealing in this.

Featured Actor Musical: Toss up...Andy Karl for 20th century Max von Essen for Paris. Both have been around forever, are true Broadway Babies, and are seriously talented. 

Featured Actress Musical: Ruthie Ann Miles. I've never seen anyone sing Wonderful like her. Plus she has the ethnic advantage that the theater so wonderfully embraces. Judy Kuhn, Fun Home is right behind her.  Her singing Days and days and days...will break your mutha' f'n heart.

Scenic Design Play: Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time. Surprising in every way

Scenic Design Musical: Michael Yeargan, The King and I. He is never short of Genius...NEVER

Costume Design Play: Toss up  Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two and Bob Crowley, The Audience.

Costume Design Musical: Catherine Zuber, The King and I. I'm speechless it's so good.

lighting design play: Paule Constable, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time. Magical, sentimental, mental, you feel like you are inside this kids head.

Lighting Design Musical: Donald Holder, The King and I. I mean come on, when the boat comes in to Siam...WTF!!!!!!!

Direction of a play: Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time. So fantastically conceived. The train idea is bloody genius.

Direction of Musical: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris is getting all the attention for making a ballet relevent...I think this is the wrong choice

Should win: Toss up Bartlett Sher, The King and I (digging deep to find the new subtext and meaning to classics is his TALENT) Sam Gold Fun Home, doing things in the round that have never been done Bravo!

Choreography: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris. Again wrong choice

Should win: Joshua Bergasse, On the Town  not cookie cutter in anyway.  Still so fitting for the production. Romance and loneliness passion and humor....YES!

orchestrations: toss up Rob Mathes, The Last Ship or John Clancy, Fun Home

 

 

 

[RingOfKeys2]

Posted: 5/30/15 at 9:22pm

I feel like the winner of Best Leading Actress in a Musical could be correlated with Best Featured Actor in a Musical. This theory only holds up if this year's Tony's spread the wealth across the board so all the deserving shows go home with at least one award though. And really who's to say? It's possible that Something Rotten, On the Town, and even OTTC (though MUCH less likely) could leave the night empty handed. So know that this theory/prediction of mine has no credibility, it's all speculation at this point because I'm going crazy with the slow anticipation of next Sunday. 

BUT...here's what I'm thinking.

If Kelli wins, I think Best Featured Actor should go to Andy Karl (so OTTC doesn't go home empty handed). 

But if Kristin wins, I think Best Featured Actor should go to Brad Oscar (so Something Rotten doesn't go home empty handed). 

If Kelli wins, tough luck for Something Rotten. Though it's good, it's not fantastic, and of any of the currently-running nominated musicals I'd be the least surprised to see this one go home with nothing.

And if Kristin wins, The King & I will still get Best Musical Revival. That one is a no brainer. 

I think Christopher Wheeldon has a VERY strong chance of winning Best Director of a Musical. Frankly, I think direction, orchestrations, and set design SHOULD BE the only Tony's given to AIIP. 

I'd really like to see Joshua Bergasse of On the Town win best choreography over Wheeldon, especially if he's gonna get Best Direction. I'm not sure how good the chances of this wish coming true though......I really would like to see On the Town be recognized though.

I'm not foreseeing any Tony's for The Visit. Sorry, Chita. I just wish Kander & Ebb would have been recognized for The Scottsboro Boys. It's sad to see this legendary team not be recognized but this is not their strongest score by any means. The Scottsboro Boys, however, is a career highlight of theirs - up there with Cabaret and Chicago IMO. Oh well. Just goes to show that sometimes the Tony's just don't get it right.....

Fun Home is the best new musical of this season and arguably of the past few seasons IMO. AAIP is more commercial, though......so at this point I think it's a toss-up between the two. Only 7 days, 22 hours, 37 minutes, and 35 seconds will tell. (I'm loving this Tony countdown). 

Updated On: 5/30/15 at 09:22 PM

[ethan231h]

Posted: 5/30/15 at 10:35pm

Best Musical:

Will Win: Fun Home

Should Win: Fun Home

 

 

Best Actor in a Musical:

Will Win: Michael Cerveris

Should Win: Michael Cerveris 

 

Best Actress in a Musical:

Will Win: Kelli O'Hara

Should Win: Beth Malone

 

Best Play:

Will Win: The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night Time

Should Win: Curious Incident 

 

Best Actor in a Play:

Will Win: Alex Sharp

Should Win: Steven Boyer 

 

Best Actress in a Play:

Will Win: Helen Mirren

Should Win: Helen Mirren 

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical:

Will Win: Brad Oscar

Should Win: Max Von Essen

 

Best Performance by An Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical:

Will Win: Sydney Lucas

Should Win: Judy Kuhn

 

 

 

Best Revival of a Musical:

Will Win: The King and I

Should Win: On the Town

 

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play:

Will Win: Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall

Should Win: Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall 

 

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play:

Will Win: Annaleigh Ashford

Should Win: Annaleigh Ashford

 

 

Best Direction of a musical:

Will win: Sam Gold

Should win: Sam Gold

 

 

Best Direction of a play:

Will win: Marianne Elliott

Should win:Marianne Elliott 

 

Best choreography:

Will win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

Should win: Christopher Wheeldon

 

 

Best scenic design (musical):

Will win: David Zinn, Fun Home

should win: David Zinn, Fun Home

 

Best scenic design (play):

Will win:Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, Curious Incident 

should win: Bunny Christie and Finn Ross, Curious Incident 

 

 

Best costume design (play):

Will and should win: Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall parts I&II

 

 

 

Best costume design (musical):

Will win: Catherine Zuber, The King and I

Should win: William Ivey Long, On the 20th Century

 

 

Best lighting design (play):

Will and should win: Paule Constable, Curious Incident 

Best Orchestrations 

Best lighting design(musical):

Will win: Natasha Katz, An American in Paris

Should win: Japhy Weideman, The Visit

 

Best Orchestrations:

Will Win: An American In Paris

Should win: Fun Home

 

Best score:

Will win: Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron, Fun Home

Should win:Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron, Fun Home

 

 

[Tag]

Posted: 5/31/15 at 3:59pm

My picks for who will win:

Best Play
The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Best Musical
An American in Paris

Best Book of a Musical
Fun Home - Lisa Kron

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Fun Home, Music: Jeanine Tesori, Lyrics: Lisa Kron

Best Revival of a Play
Skylight

Best Revival of a Musical
On the Twentieth Century

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
Alex Sharp, The Curious Incident...

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
Helen Mirren, The Audience

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
Michael Cerveris, Fun Home

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
Kristin Chenoweth, On the Twentieth Century

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall Parts One & Two

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
Annaleigh Ashford, You Can’t Take It with You

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
Christian Borle, Something Rotten!

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
Judy Kuhn, Fun Home

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Bunny Christie, Finn Ross, The Curious Incident...

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
David Rockwell, On the Twentieth Century

Best Costume Design of a Play
David Zinn, Airline Highway

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Gregg Barnes, Something Rotten!

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Japhy Weideman, Airline Highway

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Ben Stanton, Fun Home

Best Direction of a Play
Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident ...

Best Direction of a Musical
Sam Gold, Fun Home

Best Choreography
Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris

Best Orchestrations
Chris Austin, Don Sebesky, Bill Elliott, An American in Paris

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 6/2/15 at 2:38am

Now, there is a buzz that the little girl from Fun Home will win supporting actress in a musical instead of Judy or Victoria...