I expect Cranston, Rylance and McKellen to be the most solid locks, and will have my personal hopes for Shalhoub and O'Byrne (who might have had the least-expectedly challenging role of all of them once MULLINGAR reached it's delightfully oddball conclusion. He won my heart with that performance, even if I doubt he'd win the Tony with this competition.)
Washington was much better than I expected, given that age difference, and under no circumstances would I feel this to be a fame-based nomination; he'd earn it if he cracked this field, but I don't think he's quite a lock yet. Let's see how Radcliffe is reviewed.
Quinto (like Cherry Jones), to me was secondary to that Gentleman Caller's scene. I will be much more passionate in hoping for Celia and Brian to be nominated than Zachary, and would not be crestfallen if he fails to crack the nominations. This is truly a competitive year the likes of which prove a nomination is surely an honor to the lucky five.
Words don't deserve that kind of malarkey. They're innocent, neutral, precise, standing for this, describing that, meaning the other, so if you look after them you can build bridges across incomprehension and chaos. But when they get their corners knocked off, they're no good anymore…I don't think writers are sacred, but words are. They deserve respect. If you get the right ones in the right order, you can nudge the world a little.
Cranston (and I think he'll win) Ian McKellan (Godot) Zachary Quinto Daniel Radcliffe (runner up) Denzel Washington
Those are who I think. (I could envision Stewart getting nominated in place of Quinto.) It's a highly competitive year-I wonder if they'll petition actors from Act One into featured.
But Cranston's performance-as amazing as Radcliffe's was-stands out. Radcliffe was amazing-he wasn't over the top or ridiculous. He was very, very good. But, his role felt more supporting in an ensemble-I think his nomination will be his reward. (He should have been nominated twice before so this is as much political as anything.) Updated On: 4/20/14 at 06:08 PM
Even though he's in my line-up, there's no way I'd consider McKellen a lock, because he's probably going to be splitting votes with Patrick Stewart, and they have been praised fairly evenly. When you have such an esteemed, well matched pair sharing the same productions, which one do you vote for? It's not as if McKellan has some great advantadge over Stewart in terms of theatrical reputation. Both are theatrical knights and among the best classical English stage actors.
I think there's a general consensus that, of the four performances the two of them gave, McKellen's in GODOT was easily the most memorable. I don't think both will crack the field, given the competition, and give McKellen the advantage for that while Stewart very well could make it but I think is slightly more likely to be beaten out.
Words don't deserve that kind of malarkey. They're innocent, neutral, precise, standing for this, describing that, meaning the other, so if you look after them you can build bridges across incomprehension and chaos. But when they get their corners knocked off, they're no good anymore…I don't think writers are sacred, but words are. They deserve respect. If you get the right ones in the right order, you can nudge the world a little.
If Radcliffe wins in the Leading category, I'll be happy to eat my hat. He's giving a fine performance, and he's getting great reviews, but I would give the award to Rylance, Cranston, Washington, or O'Dowd before Radcliffe. Voters would, too.
"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle
Would love to see Radcliffe nominated. Mainly because I'm still a little upset from the HOW TO SUCCEED snub.
I think it's Cranston's year, with Rylance winning featured for Olivia.
"Oh look at the time, three more intelligent plays just closed and THE ADDAMS FAMILY made another million dollars" -Jackie Hoffman, Broadway.com Audience Awards
I'm not sure about Radcliffe. His reviews are good, but many of them make him sound like a featured/supporting player, not an out and out lead. Even the New York Times, who found him convincing, said "he often registers as just one of many vivid portraits in a gallery of oddballs".
Not convinced the Tonys actually like him either. He'll be fortunate to get nominated, but I don't see him winning. Especially in what sounds like a supporting/featured turn.
I could see Radcliffe being nominated, at least from a political angle- he's a big-name, recognizable actor who has made a point to return to the stage repeatedly in varied types of work.
A win seems extremely unlikely when he's up against folks like Cranston (who is carrying his show on his shoulders).
"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."
I felt similarly - to me, he was the weakest part of the ensemble. I was surprisingly affected by Brian Smith (the Gentleman Caller scene stands out this season to me). I feel the ladies and Smith have excellent chances to be nominated.