Your Final Oscar Predictions

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munkustrap178
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Your Final Oscar Predictions#1
Posted: 2/19/08 at 10:34pm
I waited to do this until now because I was hoping we could create a private pool for BWW on the Gold Derby website, but it's not up yet...

Predict all the categories, and we'll see who comes out on top!

Best Picture
WILL: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Atonement

Best Actor
WILL and SHOULD: Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood

Best Actress
WILL: Julie Christie, Away From Her
SHOULD: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose

Supporting Actor
WILL: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild

Supporting Actress
WILL: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
SHOULD: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone

Director
WILL and SHOULD: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

Original Screenplay
WILL: Diablo Cody, Juno
SHOULD: Tamara Jenkins, The Savages

Adapted Screenplay
WILL: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Christopher Hampton, Atonement

Animated Feature
WILL and SHOULD: Ratatouille

Documentary
WILL and SHOULD: No End in Sight

Foreign Language Film
WILL: The Counterfeiters

Cinematography
WILL: Roger Deakins, , No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Roger Deakins, The Assassination of Jesse James...

Art Direction
WILL and SHOULD: Atonement

Editing
WILL and SHOULD: Roderick Jaynes, No Country for Old Men

Visual Effects
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: The Golden Compass

Costume Design
WILL and SHOULD: Atonement

Makeup
WILL and SHOULD: La Vie En Rose

Sound Mixing
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Sound Editing
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Original Score
WILL and SHOULD: Dario Marianelli, Atonement

Original Song
WILL and SHOULD: "Falling Slowly", Once

Animated Short
I Met the Walrus

Live Action Short
A Night

Documentary Short
Freeheld

"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson
Updated On: 2/22/08 at 10:34 PM
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#2
Posted: 2/20/08 at 12:06am
Best Motion Picture of the Year:
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
Honorable Mention: There Will Be Blood
Snubs: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, Ratatouille, Once

Achievement in Directing:
Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Honorable Mention: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Snubs: Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead; Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd; David Fincher, Zodiac

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role:
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Honorable Mention: Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Snubs: Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl; Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Savages or Before the Devil Knows You're Dead; Mathieu Almaric, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly; Casey Affleck, Gone Baby Gone


Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role:
Will Win: Julie Christie, Away from Her
Should Win: Julie Christie, Away from Her
Honorable Mention: Laura Linney, The Savages
Snubs: Amy Adams, Enchanted; Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd; Molly Shannon, The Year of the Dog

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role:
Will Win: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Honorable Mention: Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Snubs: Phillip Bosco, The Savages; Albert Finney, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead; Tommy Lee Jones, No Country For Old Men; J.K. Simmons, Juno

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role:
Will Win: Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Should Win: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Honorable Mention: Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Snubs: Jennifer Garner, Juno; Allison Janney, Juno; Romola Garai, Atonement; Marisa Tomeii, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead


Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Juno
Should Win: Ratatouille
Honorable Mention: Lars and the Real Girl

Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
Honorable Mention: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, There Will Be Blood

Achievement in Cinematography:
Will Win: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Should Win: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Honorable Mention: There Will Be Blood

Achievement in Art Direction:
Will Win: Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Should Win: Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Honorable Mention: There Will Be Blood

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year:
Will Win: Ratatouille
Should Win: Ratatouille

Achievement in Music (Original Score):
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Ratatouille

Achievement in Music (Original Song):
Will Win: "Falling Slowly", Once
Should Win: "Falling Slowly", Once

Achievement in Film Editing:
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men

Achievement in Visual Effects:
Will Win: Transformers

Achievement in Sound Editing:
Will Win: Transformers

Achievement in Sound Mixing:
Will Win: Transformers

Achievement in Costume Design:
Will Win: Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Should Win: Atonement

Achievement in Makeup:
Will Win: La Vie en Rose
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munkustrap178
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#2
Posted: 2/20/08 at 12:23am
that is a far busier post than necessary...
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#3
Posted: 2/20/08 at 12:26am
I appreciated both your posts.
<-----I'M TOTES ROLLING MY EYES
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#4
Posted: 2/20/08 at 1:07am
Then don't read it, love. I just felt like pointing out some of the terrific work that I felt was wrongfully overlooked.

Thanks Jane.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#5
Posted: 2/20/08 at 8:36am
TheActr97J--I really like your list, and your choices, and your snubs.
"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#6
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:16am
I'm going out on a limb and going with Marion Cotillard and Tilda for the actresses--I'm pretty much in line in the rest of the categories. But I always like to predict people who likely won't win--swinging for the fences kinda.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#7
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:25am
I think Marion might take it too.
"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#8
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:31am
Great lists, I'm so happy I've seen all of those films. Can't wait for Sunday!
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#9
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:31am
I say...

Best Picture
WILL: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: No Country for Old Men... friendo!

Best Actor
WILL and SHOULD: Daniel Day Lewis - There Will Be Blood

Best Actress
WILL: Julie Christie - Away From Her
SHOULD: Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose

Supporting Actor
WILL: Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men

Supporting Actress
WILL: Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
SHOULD: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Director
WILL and SHOULD: Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men

Original Screenplay
WILL: Diablo Cody - Juno
SHOULD: Brad Bird - Ratatouille

Adapted Screenplay
WILL: Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Christopher Hampton - Atonement

Animated Feature
WILL and SHOULD: Ratatouille

Documentary
WILL: Sicko
SHOULD: No End in Sight

Cinematography
WILL: There Will Be Blood
SHOULD: The Assassination of Jesse James

Art Direction
WILL: There Will Be Blood
SHOULD: Sweeney Todd

Editing
WILL: No Country For Old Men
SHOULD: The Bourne Ultimatum

Sound Mixing
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Sound Editing
WILL: The Bourne Ultimatum
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Original Score
WILL and SHOULD: Dario Marianelli - Atonement

Original Song
WILL and SHOULD: "Falling Slowly"
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#10
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:35am
You think PERSEPOLIS can beat RATATOUILLE? I think it might pull a SWEPT AWAY and surprise us...
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#11
Posted: 2/20/08 at 9:45am
it's ratatouille's to lose

and it really was one of the best animated films i've ever seen, and pixar's best film since "finding nemo"
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#12
Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:00am
Persepolis was mildly interesting simply because it was different, but it was also tedious and instantly forgettable. Pass.

Ratatouille, on the other hand, was brilliant. One of the best animated films in years, and one of the best movies this year. It should have been up for Best Picture.

Big difference.
"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#13
Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:03am
i agree best... i would have swapped out atonement for Rata or even Michael Clayton for Rata.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#14
Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:15am
Oh hon, since when has quality had anything to do with the Oscars? My thinking was that it's timely, still in theatres, "different" and A.O. wrote about it prominently a few weeks ago.

I thought RAT was fantastic, but that's neither here nor there...
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#15
Posted: 2/20/08 at 1:23pm
"Ratatouille" should have easily taken the spot of the pretentious, emotionally distant "Atonement," the dime-a-dozen legal thriller "Michael Clayton," or the glib, unengaging "Juno" in the Best Picture race. "Ratatouille" was a wonderous, truly original confection that was unfairly relegated to a lesser category simply because it happened to be animated. The Best Picture category didn't even come close this year, considering that "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly," "Before the Devil Knows You're Dead," and "Sweeney Todd" were all ignored.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#16
Posted: 2/20/08 at 1:56pm
in a world where i could have chosen the BEST PICTURE nominees, it would have gone like this:

No Country For Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Zodiac
Ratatouille
Into The Wild

shows how much the academy REALLY disagrees with me... :)
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#17
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:05pm
Zodiac was a fantastic movie! Shame it didn't come out in November...

I still haven't had the opportunity to see "Into the Wild". I'm dying to see it!
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#18
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:08pm
I was really surprised INTO THE WILD didn't get more nods considering all the love from the SAG.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#19
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:22pm
and the fact that it was such a great movie... its weird, while i really enjoyed "there will be blood" i dont "get" the amount of gushing it gets... it was a very solid movie. but i still enjoyed zodiac more, sweeney more, ratatouille more, and into the wild more...

i actually even enjoyed "away from her" more... and "grindhouse" more! not that either of those should have been nominated for best pic, but i'm just saying...
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#20
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:31pm
Swap Zodiac for Michael Clayton.
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#21
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:32pm
TheActr, I really dig your list, I couldn't agree more about all the BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU'RE DEAD snubs, and your Best Supporting Actress snubs list reads as if I had written it: Jennifer Garner, Romola Garai, and Marisa Tomei.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#22
Posted: 2/20/08 at 2:36pm
Thanks Ray. re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

I was supremely diappointed that Jennifer Garner was ignored. I thought she gave such a fantastic subtle performance. I didn't know she had it in her.

The fact that Before the Devil Knows You're Dead didn't even get a screenplay nomination is just silly!
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#23
Posted: 2/20/08 at 3:00pm
I've included several non-nominees below in my SHOULD win categories. Sue me.

Best Picture
WILL: No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Sweeney Todd

Best Actor
WILL: Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood
SHOULD: Day-Lewis, but I wouldn't mind an upset in Depp's favor.

Best Actress
WILL: Don't care, actually.
SHOULD: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose

Supporting Actor
WILL: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Robert Downey Jr., ZODIAC

Supporting Actress
WILL: couldn't care less
SHOULD: whatever

Director
WILL: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: Tim Burton for Sweeney Todd

Original Screenplay
WILL: Don't care
SHOULD: whatever

Adapted Screenplay
WILL: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
SHOULD: James Vanderbilt, ZODIAC

Animated Feature
WILL and SHOULD: Ratatouille

Cinematography
WILL: Roger Deakins, No Country For Old Men
SHOULD: Darius Wolski, Sweeney Todd

Art Direction
WILL: Dante Ferretti, Sweeney Todd
SHOULD: I wouldn't mind seeing Jack Fisk win for Blood

Editing
WILL: Christopher Rouse, The Bourne Ultimatum
SHOULD: Angus Wall, Zodiac

Visual Effects
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: whatever

Costume Design
WILL: Atonement
SHOULD: Colleen Atwood for Sweeney Todd

Makeup
WILL: La Vie En Rose
SHOULD: whatever.


Sound Mixing
WILL: Transformers
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Sound Editing
WILL: The Bourne Ultimatum
SHOULD: Ratatouille

Original Score
WILL and SHOULD: Dario Marianelli, Atonement

Original Song
WILL: don't care, just not anything from Juno, please...

Animated Short
don't care

Live Action Short
don't care

Documentary Short
don't care
"If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about the answers." Thomas Pynchon, GRAVITY'S RAINBOW "Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away." Philip K. Dick My blog: http://www.roscoewrites.blogspot.com/
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re: Your Final Oscar Predictions#24
Posted: 2/20/08 at 3:43pm
Picture
Will: No Country for Old Men
Should: No Country for Old Men
Snubs: Zodiac

Director
Will: Coens, No Country...
Should: Coens, No Country...
Snubs: Sidney Lumet, David Fincher, Tim Burton

Actor
Will: Daniel Day-Lewis
Should: Daniel Day-Lewis
Snubs: Ryan Gosling, Benicio Del Toro, Frank Langella

Actress
Will: Marion Cotillard
Should: Julie Christie
Snubs: Amy Adams, Nicole Kidman

Supp. Actor
Will: Javier Bardem
Should: Hal Holbrook
Snubs: Max Von Sydow, Robert Downey Jr.

Supp. Actress
Will: Tilda Swinton
Should: Tilda Swinton
Snubs: Imelda Staunton, Marisa Tomei, Jennife Garner

Org. Screenplay
Will: Juno
Should: Michael Clayton
Snubs: Before the Devil Knows You're Dead

Adpt. Screenplay
Will: No Country...
Should: No Country...
Snubs: Zodiac

Animated Feature
Will: Ratatouille
Should: Ratatouille

Cinematography
Will: Assassination...Jesse James
Should: Assassination...Jesse James

Art Direction
Will: Atonement
Should: Zodia... Oh, wait. I guess, Sweeney?

Editing
Will: No Country...
Should: No Country...

Visual Effects
Will: Transformers
Should: Transformers

Costume Design
Will: Atonement
Should: Elizabeth

Makeup
Will: La Vie en Rose
Should: None of these.

Sound Mixing
Will: Transformers
Should: No Country for Old Men

Sound Editing
Will: The Bourne Ultimatum
Should: The Bourne Ultimatum

Original Score
Will: "Falling Slowly"
Original Song: "Falling Slowly"