Best picture predictions?

[Mike Barrett]

Hey all! I still haven't seen Greenbook or Vice, although I plan to this week hopefully. What's everyone's pick for best picture? I do wish a few other films got nominated but I do believe Roma will win. It's a beautiful and painfully real film, that I do hope is honored this year. Blackkklanman was my personal favorite along with, The favorite. Should be an interesting awards night in terms of best picture at least, even if the rest of the broadcast seems like it's going to be a mess.

[LYLS3637]

For me, the 8 are broken up into three categories: Okay, good, and great

Okay for me were Bohemian Rhapsody, A Star is Born, and Green Book.

Good were Black Panther and Vice

Great were BlacKkKlansman, The Favourite, and Roma.

Since If Beale Street Could Talk is not the conversation (I will never understand nominating Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody over this masterpiece), my pick would be Roma. 

[Mike Barrett]

I've seen Beale Street twice I loved it so much! Upset that and 8th Grade weren't nominated. I would've been happy with crazy rich Asians too

[bwaylyric]

Hollywood will give Trump the middle finger by awarding Roma. Fortunately, it’s also an outstanding film. 

[haterobics]

bwaylyric said: "Hollywood will give Trump the middle finger by awarding Roma. Fortunately, it’s also an outstanding film."

Sort of the same reason I watched it during his SOTU.

[TotallyEffed]

The Favourite is the best film of the year but I won’t be upset when Roma wins.

[henrikegerman]

Roma will win.

TotallyEffed said: "The Favourite is the best film of the year but I won’t be upset when Roma wins."

Almost completely agree.

The Favourite is the best movie nominated for beat picture.  But Roma is also a great movie.  As is Black Panther.  

Apart from Bohemian Rhapsody (I really disliked it), all the movies nominated for best picture are good movies.

But to me the best movie of the year is Cold War - a nominee for best direction but not best movie.

 

[GeorgeandDot]

Roma will win this. I'd give my vote to The Favourite. I agree that it's the best picture of the year. I think it's possible that Green Book wins, which is a shame considering that it's a completely mediocre film with deeply problematic optics.

[supersam1026]

My money is on Roma. For me though, I think Best Actor is the most interesting race between Rami Malek & Christian Bale. Malek has been winning a lot of the awards leading up, but I still feel like it is Bale's (I can be and often am completely wrong!)

[Ben_Platt_Out]

Black panther. I think Roma will not win because the studios hate Netflix. Probably will get best director though.

[Someone in a Tree2]

My favorite picture of the year, The Favourite, has little to no chance of winning. My second favorite movie, COLD WAR, has even less since it isn't even up for the top award. ROMA left me singularly unmoved, so of course it will win in a landslide.

[ArtMan]

Usually by this time, I have seen either most or all of the nominated films either by redbox or at the movies.  This is the first time, I have not seen (with the exception of Black Panther) any of the nominated films.  I am just not interested in them.  

[SmoothLover]

Black Panther.

[TheSassySam]

I'm surprised by this love for Black Panther. I have a feeling it'll be Roma or Green Book. 

[ErikJ972]

Black Panther

[ucjrdude902]

A Star Is Born in a shocker.

[Mister Matt]

I have yet to see Green Book, The Favourite and Vice, but so far, my pick is Roma.  I really didn't like A Star Is Born and I though Bohemian Rhapsody was interesting enough.  Black Panther and BlacKkKlansman were both terrific.

[Stage Door Sally]

I haven't seen Green Book, The Favourite or A Star is Born.

That said, I was very impressed with BlackKk Klansman, it was original, told a cool story and was well acted and directed.

Roma had the same qualities but directing was a bit overwrought in my opinion. Still, well done.

Black Panther was 20 minutes too long for me and I was dying for it to end, but a good film nonetheless.

I enjoyed Bohemian Rhapsody as did the sold-out audience as I was with, but I acknowledge the film's story weaknesses, and Mike Myers should have played himself, his real involvement with Queen was much more interesting than the fake composite character he played.

Christian Bale killed it in Vice but the film was more of a snoozefest, sadly.

I think Roma might snag the Oscar, but I would prefer it to go to BlacKkKlansman.

[SmoothLover]

Black Panther out of political correctness and being the first of its kind.

[Roscoe]

I usually think of each year's Oscar winner as being a reaction against the previous year -- they like to pretend to be all diverse.  So after last year's travesty with the putrid fish-f*ck emo-wank fantasy THE SHAPE OF WATER, they should give it to ROMA, which is, you know, actually about life on Earth and a very fine film to boot.  Alas, I think ROMA is ultimately just entirely too fine a film to win Best Picture -- I'm thinking BLACK PANTHER or GREEN BOOK, something crowd-pleasing that plays with "relevance."

[GeorgeandDot]

You completely missed the point of The Shape of Water if you thought it was a "putrid fish-f*ck emo-wank fantasy." I could explain how it's a movie about American minority groups teaming up against the powerful white man in an era often highly romanticized, but I doubt you would care to hear about it. It really is the perfect film to represent the first year of Trump's presidency.

I still think Roma's going to win and I think it should.

[Roscoe]

No, I got the point of SHAPE OF WATER, who didn't get the point of SHAPE OF WATER, the points were made with such lead-pipe blatancy that Donald Trump would get the point, all that cliched "minorities against the vicious white man who wants to weaponize the magical fish" crap.  Sure, they're nice enough little points if that's what folks need, easy fantasy wish fulfillment where one-dimensional cliched characters get momentary payback against the man (and the pathetic alcoholic gay guy gets his hair back) and some chick swims off to live happily ever after with an anthropomorphic piranha -- what annoyed was the barefaced parade of cliches (at least we were spared the ASL version of "you're the real monster!" ) and the barefaced ripoffs of so many other better works (it may be the single most derivative movie ever made), and the holes in the plot that you could push a galaxy through (in a state with so many miles of beachfront, they can only return the fish to the ocean at one specific little bit of.waterfront at only very specific times after very specific amounts of rainfall).  It certainly is the film to represent the first year of Trump's Presidency, in it's sheer stupidity run amok and entirely undeserved award-winning.

ROMA might win.  Who knows.  The double nomination in Foreign Film and Best Picture might cost it in the long run.  Voters might think it'll win one or the other and vote for something else instead.

[ErikJ972]

"No, I got the point of SHAPE OF WATER, who didn't get the point of SHAPE OF WATER, "

You.

[Roscoe]

ErikJ972 said: ""No, I got the point of SHAPE OF WATER, who didn't get the point of SHAPE OF WATER, "

You."

Looks like we disagree.  It happens.  Glad you dug on SOW.

[spiderdj82]

I will never understand why people think "Black Panther" is Best Picture material.  It was a great comic movie but other than the black representation (which I love by the way) ...... what about it screams Best Picture? Personally, in regards to a comic book movie, I think "Captain America: Winter Soldier" is/was superior. 

I wish "If Beale Street Could Talk" or "Eighth Grade" would have been nominated in it's place. 

But, personally, I think "Roma" or "The Favourite" should win although I really like "Blackkklansman" too.