Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread

[natashalost]

I made this website yesterday which lists each person eligible in each category, which might be helpful for some just to look at the potential candidates for nomination. The website should be easy to use. For some of the shows, I had to make an educated guess as to what category they would fit into because the Tony Committee has only made one ruling so far this season. I'll be sure to update as more information comes out. If anything is incorrect, feel free to PM me and I'll make a change. Hope someone finds this helpful!

https://tonyeligibility2019.carrd.co/

[CT2NYC]

These are my Tony win predictions for some of the play categories, based on what I've seen, and regardless of future openings:

Best Play: To Kill a Mockingbird

Best Director: Sam Mendes

Best Actor: Bryan Cranston

Best Actress: Elaine May

Best Featured Actor: Tom Glynn-Carney (I just have a feeling about this one.)

[BroadwayAndSports]

Bryan Cranston absolutely SHOULD win Best Actor but I'm worried Jeff Daniels will steal it 

[Mike Barrett]

Having now officially booked my tickets for The Ferryman and To Kill A Mockinbird, in every excited to get into this best new play race! Lots of really strong options this year. I think the lead actor category is going to be STACKED. Should be a very interesting awards season actually

[broadwaysfguy]

Any consensus on the best musical nominees?

been off the thread til now and from reviewing, seems like the most vocal support  and consensus is for:

Hadestown-already predicted to sweep by many

Tootsie-lots of support and great out of town reviews

The Prom-great reviews and social themes the tony voters love

Be More Chill-sold out fast pre broadway and generally favorable buzz

with some support for:

Beetlejuice

Aint Too Proud

 

after the pummelling the Cher show got by NYT, i cant imagine too many tony voters will throw away votes on it....

this seems to match up with out of town and off broadway reviews for all the shows. ive only seen aint too proud which is terrifically entertaining, but the book is not the best

....so this will be a fun season of seeing many great new shows after hearing so much on the bww board about what a crappy season this was going to be.....

 

[marcor]

Also, how do you guys think will the entry of Oklahoma affect the musical acting races?

[Mike Barrett]

Hadestown, Tootsie, and The Prom seem like locks. With the last spot being between Be More Chill, Ain't Too Proud, and a long shot for Beetlejuice. My guess is Ain't Too Proud will sneak in. BMC will snag an acting nom and score nom for sure though. Now if A Girl From The North Country comes in, will we see that one taking one of the spots? I'm very unfamiliar with that show but all the hype towards it says yes

[dollyfan]

marcor said: "Also, how do you guys think will the entry of Oklahoma affect the musical acting races?"

I think that now it is Oklahoma! Vs. Kiss Me, Kate! for best musical revival (Oklahoma will probably take it because, in my opinion, it seems like the better production) I can also see whoever plays Corie, Curly, Ado Annie(Or Aunt Eller), Jud(or Will) getting nominations. Also, likely nominations for best set, direction, and orchestrations 

 

[GeorgeandDot]

I think we'll see noms for Ali Stroker, Damon Daunno, Rebecca Naomi Jones, and Mary Testa. I think Stroker could definitely win.

[bwayphreak234]

dollyfan said: "I think that now it is Oklahoma! Vs. Kiss Me, Kate! for best musical revival (Oklahoma will probably take it because, in my opinion, it seems like the better production)"

How can it seem like the better production when we haven't even seen what Kiss Me Kate will offer yet?

 

[Scarlet Leigh]

I think that the Oklahoma revival coming in is going to cause more of a stir then Hadestown did when it comes to races. I don't think we can really judge how it will do in the best revival category as we have NO idea what Kiss Me Kate is gonna be like right now. I actually think that Oklahoma is the likely underdog of the too unless Kate is a huge misfire. But this 100% throws more competition into the acting nominations as I am SURE it's gonna see good chances for leading actress, leading actor, and features actress.

[Mike Barrett]

Just saw The Ferryman yesterday. Wow, what an incredible production. Lauren Donnely was so powerful and real, and the actor who played Shane (forgetting his name at the moment) I think could be big winners Come tony night. Overall, this will definitely get a nom for best play, and while having not seen TKAM yet, this to me is the favorite.

[dollyfan]

I could definitely see "Oklahoma!" bringing in bigger names like Phillipa Soo as Curly, Audra McDonald as Aunt Eller, or Joshua Henry as Curly. Those three would FOR SURE get nominations. Although, I think Damon will be a strong contender for best actor because he's fabulous. I'm seeing "Oklahoma!', Be More Chill, The Prom, and Hadestown in April. I will report back about those. 

[GeorgeandDot]

^From what I understand, the entire original Off Broadway cast have been offered their roles for the Broadway transfer. Also none of those actors that you suggested would work for any of those roles in this production.

[SomethingPeculiar]

OKLAHOMA could very well be the most Tony-nominated musical of the year, if they give it 5 acting noms (one per category with two in supporting actress) and it does well in the craft categories. Lots of unknowns, but there's a lot of potential.

[ACL2006]

If it's 5:

Hadestown
Tootsie
The Prom
Be More Chill
The Cher Show

*Beetlejuice seems like the wrench this season. With improvements, it can content for a lot of awards.

[JBroadway]

dollyfan said: " Phillipa Soo as Curly“

 

That sure would be an ambitious casting choice! Though it still wouldn’t be the strangest thing about this production. 

 

@Something Peculiar

Potentially, But considering it’s not eligible for Best book or best score, it seems unlikely that it would get more nominations then, say, Hadestown.

 

[dollyfan]

JBroadway said: "dollyfan said: "Phillipa Soo as Curly“



That sure would be an ambitious casting choice! Though it still wouldn’t be the strangest thing about this production.



@Something Peculiar

Potentially, But considering it’s not eligible for Best book or best score, it seems unlikely that it would get more nominations then, say, Hadestown.

"I meant Phillipa Soo as Laurie LOL! also the casting descriptions for the show fit Joshua, Phillipa, and Audra but whatever.

 

[dollyfan]

Nevermind, Joshua's age doesn't fit, but Phillipa fits the description for Laurie and Audra fits Aunt Eller.

[GeorgeandDot]

Phillipa and Audra (especially Audra) would be extremely miscast.

[VotePeron]

ACL2006 said: "If it's 5:

Hadestown
Tootsie
The Prom
Be More Chill
The Cher Show

*Beetlejuice seems like the wrench this season. With improvements, it can content for a lot of awards."

I genuinely can't imagine The Cher Show getting nominated for Best Musical. I think the rest of your list is spot-on.

[JSquared2]

VotePeron said: "ACL2006 said: "If it's 5:

Hadestown
Tootsie
The Prom
Be More Chill
The Cher Show

*Beetlejuice seems like the wrench this season. With improvements, it can content for a lot of awards."

I genuinely can't imagine The Cher Show getting nominated for Best Musical. I think the rest of your list is spot-on."

 

Granted it's extremely unlikely to happen, but I'd much rather see HEAD OVER HEELS get a spot over THE CHER SHOW, just to reward its originality and execution (not to mention its persistence).

[dollyfan]

JSquared2 said: "VotePeron said: "ACL2006 said: "If it's 5:

Hadestown
Tootsie
The Prom
Be More Chill
The Cher Show

*Beetlejuice seems like the wrench this season. With improvements, it can content for a lot of awards."

I genuinely can't imagine The Cher Show getting nominated for Best Musical. I think the rest of your list is spot-on."



Granted it's extremely unlikely to happen, but I'd much rather see HEAD OVER HEELS get a spot over THE CHER SHOW, just to reward its originality and execution (not to mention its persistence)."

I would also LOVE for Head Over Heels to get nominated! I could definitely see Stephanie J. Block getting nominated for lead actress for Cher Show but I think it has a 50/50 chance of getting a best musical nomination.

[natashalost]

I genuinely cannot see Be More Chill getting nominated for much, let alone a Best Musical nomination.

My predictions for Best Musical: Hadestown, Tootise, The Prom, Beetlejuice, and if there's a fifth option either Ain't Too Proud or Cher Show. Hadestown will win.

[Call_me_jorge]

I cannot wait to see the reaction of stan twitter when be more chill ends up getting nominated for nothing.