Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread

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JudyDenmark
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#301
Posted: 2/1/19 at 3:01pm

dollyfan said: "I feel like Kelli, Beth, and Stephanie are the frontrunners for musical actress, Eva Noblezada also has a good chance for a nomination"

Yeah, I think it's a safe bet that she'll be nominated... and right now I think the fifth will be Rebecca Naomi Jones.

Though I dream of a world where Caitlin Kinnunen sneaks in there! And with the Beetlejuice show updates and the praise she got in DC, Sophia Anne Caruso could definitely be a wild card - I think it'll depend entirely on how the critics take to the show as a whole.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#302
Posted: 2/1/19 at 3:09pm

JudyDenmark said: "dollyfan said: "I feel like Kelli, Beth, and Stephanie are the frontrunners for musical actress, Eva Noblezada also has a good chance for a nomination"

Yeah, I think it's a safe bet that she'll be nominated... and right now I think the fifth will be Rebecca Naomi Jones.

Though I dream of a world where Caitlin Kinnunen sneaks in there! And with the Beetlejuice show updates and the praise she got in DC, Sophia Anne Caruso could definitely bea wild card - I think it'll depend entirely on how the critics take to the show as a whole.
"

I wouldn't count out Samantha Barks as a wild card in order to give a nod to PRETTY WOMAN.

 

 

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LesWickedly
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#303
Posted: 2/1/19 at 3:18pm

JSquared2 said: "

I wouldn't count out Samantha Barks as a wild card in order to give a nod to PRETTY WOMAN.



"

Why would they want to do that?

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#304
Posted: 2/1/19 at 4:23pm

I think Pretty Woman will be completely shut out of the nominations. 

"There’s nothing quite like the power and the passion of Broadway music. "
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#305
Posted: 2/1/19 at 4:52pm

bwayphreak234 said: "I think Pretty Woman will be completely shut out of the nominations."

 

And you're entitled to your opinion.

 

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#306
Posted: 2/1/19 at 11:36pm

Personally, I'm frusterated they declared Brooks and Beth's charachters in The Prom leading. Yes the two of them have two big numbers each but Caitlin Kinunnen's charachter is really the emphasis of the show and much more "leading" compared to Brooks and Beth's. All that aside, the two of them would've definetly gotten nominated if they were considered featured and I could've see Beth winning, depending on how they declared the Hadestown role's elegibility. Beth willl likely get nominated, unless they see her role as too small and opt for Caitlin instead which I doubt will happen, I just love an underrdog story and she's an aboslute sweetheart and gave a great performance, she's just not Beth Leavel, who people would be more inclined to see the show for. Brooks probably won't get nominated but I do hope Chris Sieber gets a nod for featured.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#307
Posted: 2/1/19 at 11:59pm

I definitely see Beth getting nominated, Brooks seems likely but I'm not setting it in stone till some new shows open. I doubt Chris will be recognized if anything Angie Schworer, given her role to the show, and the theatre community- but I highly doubt it.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#308
Posted: 2/2/19 at 1:45am
The only person in pretty woman who would deserve a nomination is Allison Blackwell and I don’t this she’s even eligible.
??Jack-o-lanterns are just pumpkins who majored in musical theatre??
dollyfan
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#309
Posted: 2/2/19 at 9:57am

If only Company west end was coming in this season, Rosalie Craig, Patti Lupone, and the show would be locks.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#310
Posted: 2/2/19 at 3:33pm

I don't think Company would've been a lock this season. Oklahoma has great reviews and is a completely reimagined production, which has tended to score in the revival category recently (The Color Purple, Once On This Island, Pippin). Roundabout's last two musical revivals (She Loves Me, On The Twentieth Century) were very well received too.

Is Lilli Cooper a lead in Tootsie? She got good reviews out of town and could ride a wave of love for that show to a nomination.

Updated On: 2/2/19 at 03:33 PM
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#311
Posted: 2/2/19 at 5:56pm

I've heard lilli cooper's role is fairly small so I'm betting she'll be featured. 

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#312
Posted: 2/2/19 at 6:09pm

 I think Brooks definitely has a shot considering the competition.

Just listing all the lead actors:

Santino Fontana 

Brooks Ashmanskas

Will Chase 

Derrick Baskin 

Alex Brightman

Andy Karl 

Will Roland 

Reeve Carney

Patrick Page?

I think Reeve is the safest one to take off the table (bless his heart). But to me it seems there are not too many male leads, giving even Andy Karl a shot (I think if pretty woman gets a single nomination it will be him).

Where they place Patrick Page is the real mystery, right? Is there anyone I'm forgetting?

 

 

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#313
Posted: 2/2/19 at 6:16pm

Take off Will Roland as well

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#314
Posted: 2/2/19 at 11:11pm

Rogerdellibovi said: "I think Brooks definitelyhas a shot considering the competition.

Just listing all the lead actors:

Santino Fontana

Brooks Ashmanskas

Will Chase

Derrick Baskin

Alex Brightman

Andy Karl

Will Roland

Reeve Carney

Patrick Page?

I think Reeve is the safest one to take off the table (bless his heart). But to me it seems there are not too many male leads, giving even Andy Karl a shot (I think if pretty woman gets a single nomination it will be him).

Where they place Patrick Page is the real mystery, right? Is there anyone I'm forgetting?




"

And add Damon Daunno for Oklahoma!

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#315
Posted: 2/3/19 at 1:52am
I think Damon Daunno will be a major contender. He was absolutely brilliant in Oklahoma! when it was Off Broadway.
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#316
Posted: 2/3/19 at 5:54am
Here are my musical predictions rn:

Best Lead Actress:

Stephanie J Block

Eva Noblezada

Beth Level

Rebecca Naomi Jones

Kelli O'Hara


(I feel as if Kaitlin and Eva are competing for a spot here)

Best lead actor:

Will Chase

Brooks Ashmankas

Damon Dauno

Derrick Baskin

Santino Fontana

(Santino's to lose at this point)

Best Musical:

Tootsie

Ain't Too Proud

Hadestown

The Prom
dollyfan
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#317
Posted: 2/4/19 at 12:13pm
Featured actor:

Patrick Page, “Hadestown”
Patrick Vaill, “Oklahoma!”
George Salazar, “Be More Chill”
Jarrod Spector, “The Cher Show
Christopher Sieber, “The Prom”

I think this is patrick's to lose

Featured actress:

Mary Testa, “Oklahoma!”-
Amber Gray, ”Hadestown”-
Stephanie Styles, “Kiss Me, Kate”
Ali Stroker, “Oklahoma!”
Micaela Diamond, “The Cher Show”

Tough competition between Mary and Amber

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#318
Posted: 2/4/19 at 12:18pm

Lead Actress is the most interesting in my opinion. I think it's between Kelli and SJB. Kelli already has a tony and SJB has yet to win one (She deserved one for Falsettos) so we shall see how this goes 

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#319
Posted: 2/4/19 at 12:28pm

dollyfan said: "Featured actress:

Mary Testa, “Oklahoma!”-
Amber Gray, ”Hadestown”-
Stephanie Styles, “Kiss Me, Kate”
Ali Stroker, “Oklahoma!”
Micaela Diamond, “The Cher Show”

Tough competition between Mary and Amber
"

I could see Sarah Stiles getting in - she seemed to show up as a standout in a lot of the Chicago Tootsie reviews/buzz. Not to mention Leslie Kritzer who critics tend to love. Hard to make a call without seeing all of these yet!

I would definitely like to see Micaela Diamond get a nod, though. I am still thinking about her performance in particular from TCS. She totally killed it. 

Edit: I didn't mention the Featured Actors, but I would strongly consider some of the Tootsie men in that as well. If the show is well-reviewed, I think they'd get in before Jarrod Spector.... and George Salazar too, if the nominating committee wants to risk the wrath of the BMC stans. 

Updated On: 2/4/19 at 12:28 PM
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#320
Posted: 2/5/19 at 3:49pm

I was listening to a really good podcast about Tony noms, it's called OFF2BROADWAY. Love their take on this season. 

heathersbiggestfan222
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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#321
Posted: 2/5/19 at 3:50pm

Here's the link to the too early Tony noms podcast if anyone is interested, it's a really fun listen!

https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/off2broadway/id1450757597

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#322
Posted: 2/5/19 at 4:01pm

After seeing Hadestown at the NT, I'm entirely sure Patrick Page deserves AT LEAST to be nominated.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#323
Posted: 2/11/19 at 9:46pm

Way too early predictions:

Lead actress:

Stephanie J Block (Maybe W)

Kelli O'Hara

Beth Level

Rebecca Naomi Jones

(Eva Noblezada)

(Could be Caitlin Kinnunen or even Sophia Anne Caruso if Beetlejuice gets decent reviews)

 

Best lead actor:

Santino Fontana (W)

Damon Daunno

Will Chase

Brooks Ashmankas
Derrick Baskin
(There isn’t a ton of competition in this one but Brooks or Derrick could be replaced)

 

Featured actor:

Patrick Page (W)

Christopher Sieber

Patrick Vail

John Behlmann

George Salazar

(I would say maybe Corbin Bleu for George but I really think they’ll give BMC stans this one)

 

Featured Actress is the toughest one:

Amber Gray

Mary Testa and/or Ali Stroker

Lilli Cooper or Sarah Stiles (I don’t think both)

Stephanie Styles

Maybe Micaela Diamond

 

Also I’m surprised no one has mentioned Angie Schworer in this category. Her role probably isn’t big enough to get a nom but definitely think they could do an actor from the Prom in all categories. (And ever since Mike Faist got that nom in 2017 I count no one out).

Not sure the winner on this one but front runner is Amber Gray.

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#324
Posted: 2/22/19 at 9:51am

I just cant see Amber Gray losing 

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Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread#325
Posted: 2/22/19 at 10:34am

I will be seeing the production next week with my boyfriend, but do people feel Cranston's performance is enough to push Network into "Best New play"?