Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread

[CedricOates]

I am now locking nominations for Patrick Page as Hades for Best Featured Actor in a Musical, and Amber Gray as Persephone for Best Featured Actress in a Musical. If they are leads, I still think they will get nominated. Also locking noms for Hadestown for Best Musical, Book, Score, Orchestrations and no technical Tonys yet since its yet to be staged at the Kerr

[Rogerdellibovi]

What do ya’ll think Tootsie’s noms will be? Obviously Santino and best book. A best musical nom as well. Maybe best score? Do you think any of the featured cast will get noms?

[theaterlyfe19]

Would Beetlejuice be counted in this season or next? Any thoughts on awards for that show?

[CT2NYC]

theaterlyfe19 said: "Would Beetlejuice be counted in this season or next? Any thoughts on awards for that show?"

Beetlejuice is this season's final opening. I haven't seen it, but I'm assuming it will get some attention in the technical categories (sound, lighting, scenic design, costumes).

[OKBroadwayFan]

From the Playbill article on this year's Tony Awards:  "Broadway productions must open on or before April 25 in order to be considered eligible for the 2019 nominations, which will be announced April 30."

It is scheduled to open on April 25th.   So unless something happens and they don't make their scheduled opening night, they will be considered for the 2019 Tony Awards.

[Mike Barrett]

While there's no closing notice, and I pray it sticks it out, if the Prom closes pre Tony's will that affect its nominations?

[Angelica_loves_musicals]

Rogerdellibovi said: "What do ya’ll think Tootsie’s noms will be? Obviously Santino and best book. A best musical nom as well. Maybe best score? Do you think any of the featured cast will get noms?"

I’d be very surprised if anyone beats Santino’s performance this season as it was stunning. I think it has potential to nominated best musical,best leading actor(and winning) maybe best score, best book and costume design. As for featured, I really hope John Behlman gets some recognition as  Max because he was a scene stealer. I’d also think a decent chance to Sarah Stiles as Sandy L. I don’t want to be too optimistic but they could also get a nom in best direction. 

[Rainah]

Moving away from acting awards for a sec (where I think Hadestown will win best featured actor/actress and get a nom for best actress, as well as the big prize of best musical)

Hadestown should win best lighting design and direction, both were really stunning and flashy enough to be noticed. I think score and orchestrations are also likely.

Choreo and costumes seem unlikely. Book will depend on changes

[RWPrincess]

With the Netflix deal, I think it's almost certain that Kerry Washington will get nominated for Lead Actress in a Play. I don't think she will win against Elaine May unless there are some heavy politics going on but I think she will at least get the nom so they can start billing her as Tony nominated. The Men's category seems a bit more stacked than the Ladies right now so there is room for Kerry to be nominated.

I don't think American Son will get any other nominations except for maybe a writing nomination.

[JSquared2]

RWPrincess said: "With the Netflix deal, I think it's almost certain that Kerry Washington will get nominated for Lead Actress in a Play. I don't think she will win against Elaine May unless there are some heavy politics going on but I think she will at least get the nom so they can start billing her as Tony nominated. The Men's category seems a bit more stacked than the Ladies right now so there is room for Kerry to be nominated.

It doesn't work that way. Netflix viewers don't care about Tony nominations.

 

 

[RWPrincess]

JSquared2 said: "It doesn't work that way. Netflix viewers don't care about Tony nominations."

I didn't say it worked that way. I just don't think the play will be completely shut out of the Tony process and Kerry seems the logical option based on her talent. 

[Mike Barrett]

Right now, I'd say Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, and Laura Donnelly are locks for nominations. The last 2 spots, I can see one going to Kerry for sure, and maybe the other would be Laurie Metcalf?

[JSquared2]

Mike Barrett said: "Right now, I'd say Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, and Laura Donnelly are locks for nominations. The last 2 spots, I can see one going to Kerry for sure, and maybe the other would be Laurie Metcalf?"

There's also Keri Russell, Heidi Schreck, Andrea Martin, Annette Bening...

[JudyDenmark]

JSquared2 said: "Mike Barrett said: "Right now, I'd say Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, and Laura Donnelly are locks for nominations. The last 2 spots, I can see one going to Kerry for sure, and maybe the other would be Laurie Metcalf?"

There's also Keri Russell, Heidi Schreck, Andrea Martin, Annette Bening..."

I think Andrea Martin will be considered Featured. There has to be a reason they are deliberately putting such a big name under the title, otherwise it would've been the obvious choice to bill it as "NATHAN LANE and ANDREA MARTIN in Gary..."

 

[JSquared2]

JudyDenmark said: "JSquared2 said: "Mike Barrett said: "Right now, I'd say Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, and Laura Donnelly are locks for nominations. The last 2 spots, I can see one going to Kerry for sure, and maybe the other would be Laurie Metcalf?"

There's also Keri Russell, Heidi Schreck, Andrea Martin, Annette Bening..."

I think Andrea Martin will be considered Featured. There has to be a reason they are deliberately putting such a big name under the title, otherwise it would've been the obvious choice to billit as "NATHAN LANE and ANDREA MARTIN in Gary..."

Not necessarily.  They may not want to have her compete against Kristine Neilsen for featured actress, and having Andrea below the title also means they don't have to refund if she's out of the show. 

 

 

[Rogerdellibovi]

The only thing standing in Hadestown’s way might be that the aspects some tony voters disliked about Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812 might also be found in Hadestown. Though not as out of the box, I think Hadestown could be considered a little weird. The two shows have the same director and there was a strong belief she would win in 2017 as well and didn’t. And many people were confident Amber Gray would get a nom that year and she didn’t. I think it can definetly push through and win but it would be foolish to call it a lock. 

[Mike Barrett]

JSquared2 said: "Mike Barrett said: "Right now, I'd say Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, and Laura Donnelly are locks for nominations. The last 2 spots, I can see one going to Kerry for sure, and maybe the other would be Laurie Metcalf?"

There's also Keri Russell, Heidi Schreck, Andrea Martin, Annette Bening..."

I do believe Andrea is supporting, but yes I forgot about the others. Pretty stacked season for the plays honestly, should be great competition throughout!! 

[meredithchandler73]

Mike Barrett said: "While there's no closing notice, and I pray it sticks it out, if the Prom closes pre Tony's will that affect its nominations?"

I don't think The Prom's grosses are terrible. It looks to me like it's a sure bet to still be around come Tony time. Am I missing something?

[Mike Barrett]

My only concern with The Prom is it's making around 500-600 K a week at 75% capacity and an average ticket price around $80 makes it more difficult. I'm no expert on grosses and don't pretend to be, but it just seemed concerning to me. I sure hope it sticks around because I want to see it! I also assume it'll do quite well at the tony awards this season as well. Was just an obvservation.

[JudyDenmark]

Since we (presumably) know the full upcoming slate of musicals, I still expect The Prom to do well in nominations, even if it somehow can't stay open through the Tonys. It was critically well-received, has a lovable cast, and is the kind of underdog original show that Tony voters will want to support.

[SomethingPeculiar]

The Prom might be just breaking even in the high $500K - low $600K range, so I wouldn't think it can afford to dip much. It dipped $50K last week, and the darkest days of winter are still ahead of us. $86.61 isn't a fabulous average price (the Broadway average was $115 last week).

I have a hard time seeing it win Best Musical, which is really the only award that brings in $$$$. Some people felt that the Jill Biden/Bandstand intro at the Tonys was hugely beneficial in helping it get through the summer; The Prom needs someone like Ellen Degeneres to stump for it.

[Robbie2]

BEST MUSICAL

Hadestown 

Tootsie 

The Prom

Aint Too Proud possibly Be More Chill
 

[Rogerdellibovi]

Is the girl from north country officially not coming this season?

[Robbie2]

Rogerdellibovi said: "Is the girl from north country officially not coming this season?"

next season

[dollyfan]

I feel like Kelli, Beth, and Stephanie are the frontrunners for musical actress, Eva Noblezada also has a good chance for a nomination