No Guts, No Glory Tony Nomination Predictions

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mikem
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Well, it's that time of year for No Guts, No Glory Tony Nomination Predictions.  Not people or shows who are #6 or #7 on the list, but the real underdogs who would shock people if they ended up being nominated.

 

Here are mine:

Will Roland, Dear Evan Hansen

Beanie Feldstein, Hello Dolly!

Amber Gray, Natasha and Pierre

 

None of them have received any nominations yet for their roles, but I think they might get their name called tomorrow.

"What was the name of that cheese that I like?" "you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start" "well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"
froote
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Phillipa Soo.

Alex Kulak2
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I mean, Will's fine, but his role is nothing award worthy. 

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ethan231h
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Alex Kulak2 said: "I mean, Will's fine, but his role is nothing award worthy. 

 

"

^^^^

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henrikegerman
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Richard Roxburgh THE PRESENT

bear88
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Would Amber Gray be a surprise? She seems like the safest choice of the Great Comet featured female performers. I don't know Tony politics, but she seems respected for past work, has a standout solo that was just released as a video, and has gotten good reviews.

I'm a big fan of Brittain Ashford, whose Great Comet solo was my favorite performance at a show I saw last month (perhaps because I was surprised at how much I liked it). But people seem more divided about her, and Gray probably gives the stronger overall performance. And while I agree with all the Grace McLean admiration, her role doesn't include a solo.
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Mike Faist, Dear Evan Hansen
Brandon J. Dirden, Jitney
Jennifer Ehle, Oslo

"When the audience comes in, it changes the temperature of what you've written." -Stephen Sondheim
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Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - Best Musical

If for no other reason, but because it would be really, really, really funny.

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Taylor Trensch for Dolly.

"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."
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Not exactly a dark horse per se, but he hasn't yet been nominated anywhere else.

Nathan Lane, The Front Page (Featured Actor)

Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.
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Barrett Doss, Groundhog Day

10086sunset
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Michael Xavier, Sunset Blvd.

Updated On: 5/1/17 at 01:28 PM
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Chad Kimball for Come From Away. 

I am a firm believer in serendipity- all the random pieces coming together in one wonderful moment, when suddenly you see what their purpose was all along.
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henrikegerman said: "Richard Roxburgh THE PRESENT"

Seconded. I'd be surprised if he was nominated, but I genuinely enjoyed his performance and would be pleased to see him recognized for doing so much with such a mediocre show.

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Valentina3 said: "Not exactly a dark horse per se, but he hasn't yet been nominated anywhere else.

Nathan Lane, The Front Page (Featured Actor)
"

He's been nominated for an Outer Critics Circle and a Drama Desk, I'd say he's pretty much a guaranteed nominee.

 

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^ how the heck did I miss that, whoops. Yep. I guess I'm blind and stupid today :| .

Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.
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Jefferson Mays for The Front Page.

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Ramin for Anastasia

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Michael Wartella for "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory".

I'm SERIOUSLY out on a limb with this one, I know, but that's the whole point of this thread, right? :)

But man, that mime sequence is no joke. 

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Joel Hatch and Q Smith in COME FROM AWAY

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Joe Mantello and/or Sally Field, for The Glass Menagerie 

The Play That Goes Wrong, for Best Play

 

 

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Madison Ferris, The Glass Menagerie.

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Barrett Doss! I think people haven't really been mentioning her all along because there was an assumption that she'd be in Leading Actress, but now that she's in Featured... I think it's a long shot, but she's my no-guts-no-glory prediction. 

Also Rodney Hicks. 

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I'm thirding Barrett Doss, and I would love to see Jennifer Laura Thompson-- imo, she's the strongest behind Ben Platt and tied with Rachel Bay Jones. Such a shame Featured Actress in a Musical is so crowded this year.

MrJNLong
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Carra Patterson, Jitney - Featured Actress in a Play

Jefferson Mays, The Front Page - Featured Actor in a Play

Corbin Bleu, Holiday Inn - Featured Actor in a Musical

Updated On: 5/1/17 at 04:19 PM