Final Tony Nominations Predictions

[M.O.A.I.]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 7:00pm

Post your list! Let's glory in how wrong we all will be. I'm most uncertain about the two Featured Actor categories.

BEST PLAY
“A Doll’s House, Part 2”
“Indecent”
“Oslo”
“Sweat”
---“Significant Other”---

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
“The Front Page”
“Jitney”
“The Little Foxes”
“Six Degrees of Separation”
---“Present Laughter”---

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Sam Gold, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, “Jitney”
Bartlett Sher, “Oslo”
Daniel Sullivan, “The Little Foxes”
Rebecca Taichman, “Indecent”

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Chris Cooper, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Gideon Glick, “Significant Other”
Corey Hawkins, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Kevin Kline, “Present Laughter”
Jefferson Mays, “Oslo”

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Cate Blanchett, “The Present”
Jennifer Ehle, “Oslo”
Allison Janney, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Laura Linney, “The Little Foxes”
Laurie Metcalf, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Michael Aronov, “Oslo”
Anthony Azisi, “Oslo”
Danny DeVito, “The Price”
Nathan Lane, “The Front Page”
John Douglas Thompson, “Jitney”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, “Present Laughter”
Johanna Day, “Sweat”
Jayne Houdyshell, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Cynthia Nixon, “The Little Foxes
Condola Rashad, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
---“War Paint”---

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
“Falsettos”
“Hello, Dolly!”
“Sunset Boulevard”
---“Miss Saigon”---

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, “Come from Away”
Rachel Chavkin, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Michael Greif, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Matthew Warchus, “Groundhog Day”
Jerry Zaks, “Hello, Dolly!”

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christian Borle, “Falsettos”
Josh Groban, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Andy Karl, “Groundhog Day”
David Hyde Pierce, “Hello, Dolly!”
Ben Platt, “Dear Evan Hansen”

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Denée Benton, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Christine Ebersole, “War Paint”
Patti LuPone, “War Paint”
Bette Midler, “Hello, Dolly!”
Eva Noblezada, “Miss Saigon”

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Nick Cordero, “A Bronx Tale”
Gavin Creel, “Hello, Dolly!”
Fred Johansen, “Sunset Boulevard”
Lucas Steele, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Brandon Uranowitz, “Falsettos”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Brittain Ashford, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Kate Baldwin, “Hello, Dolly!”
Stephanie J. Block, “Falsettos”
Rachel Bay Jones, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Jenn Colella, “Come from Away”

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
“Bandstand”
“Come from Away”
“Groundhog Day”
“Holiday Inn”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
"Dear Evan Hansen"
"Hello, Dolly!"
"Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812"
"Sunset Boulevard"

Updated On: 4/28/17 at 07:00 PM

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 7:22pm

Here are my final predictions, with the exceptions of Lighting, Scenic, and Costume Designs. 

BEST PLAY
“A Doll’s House, Part 2”
“Indecent”
“Oslo”
“Sweat”
---“The Play That Goes Wrong” or “Significant Other”---

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
“The Front Page”
“Jitney”
“The Little Foxes”
“Present Laughter”
---“Six Degrees of Separation”---

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Sam Gold, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, “Jitney”
Bartlett Sher, “Oslo”
Daniel Sullivan, “The Little Foxes”
Rebecca Taichman, “Indecent”

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Chris Cooper, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Gideon Glick, “Significant Other”
Corey Hawkins, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Kevin Kline, “Present Laughter”
Jefferson Mays, “Oslo”
---Henry Shields, “The Play That Goes Wrong”---

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Cate Blanchett, “The Present”
Allison Janney, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Laura Linney, “The Little Foxes”
Laurie Metcalf, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Mary-Louise Parker, “Heisenberg”
---Jennifer Ehle, “Oslo”---

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Michael Aronov, “Oslo”
Anthony Azisi, “Oslo”
Danny DeVito, “The Price”
Dave Hearn, “The Play That Goes Wrong”
John Douglas Thompson, “Jitney”
---Robert Morse, “The Front Page”---

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, “Present Laughter”
Johanna Day, “Sweat”
Jayne Houdyshell, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Cynthia Nixon, “The Little Foxes”
Condola Rashad, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
---“War Paint”---

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
“Falsettos”
“Hello, Dolly!”
“Miss Saigon”
---“Sunset Boulevard”---

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, “Come from Away”
Rachel Chavkin, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Michael Greif, “Dear Evan Hansen”
James Lapine, “Falsettos”
Jerry Zaks, “Hello, Dolly!”
---Matthew Warchus, “Groundhog Day”---

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Jon Jon Briones, “Miss Saigon”
Josh Groban, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Andy Karl, “Groundhog Day”
David Hyde Pierce, “Hello, Dolly!”
Ben Platt, “Dear Evan Hansen”

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Christy Altomare, “Anastasia”
Denée Benton, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Christine Ebersole, “War Paint”
Patti LuPone, “War Paint”
Bette Midler, “Hello, Dolly!”
---Eva Noblezada, “Miss Saigon”---

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
John Bolton, “Anastasia”
Gavin Creel, “Hello, Dolly!”
Fred Johanson, “Sunset Boulevard”
Lucas Steele, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Brandon Uranowitz, “Falsettos”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Rachel Bay Jones, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Stephanie J. Block, “Falsettos”
Jenn Colella, “Come from Away”
Amber Gray, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812” 
Caroline O'Connor, “Anastasia” 
---Brittain Ashford, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812” or Kate Baldwin, “Hello, Dolly!”---

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Steven Levenson, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Danny Rubin, “Groundhog Day”
Irene Sankoff and David Hein, “Come from Away”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Tim Minchin, “Groundhog Day”
Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Irene Sankoff and David Hein, “Come from Away”

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbuehler, “Bandstand”
Kelly Devine, “Come from Away”
Denis Jones, “Holiday Inn”
Sam Pinkleton, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Sergio Trujillo, “A Bronx Tale”
---Peter Darling, “Groundhog Day”--- 

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
David Cullen and Andrew Lloyd Webber, “Sunset Boulevard”
August Eriksmoen, “Come from Away”
Larry Hochman, “Hello, Dolly!”
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
---Alex Lacamoire, “Dear Evan Hansen”---

Updated On: 4/28/17 at 07:22 PM

[ethan231h]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 7:55pm

BEST PLAY
“A Doll’s House, Part 2”
“Indecent”
“Oslo”
“Sweat”
“Significant Other”

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
“Jitney”
“The Little Foxes”
“Present Laughter”
“Six Degrees of Separation”

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Sam Gold, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, “Jitney”
Daniel Sullivan, “The Little Foxes”
Rebecca Taichman, “Indecent”

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Chris Cooper, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Gideon Glick, “Significant Other”
Kevin Kline, “Present Laughter”
Jefferson Mays, “Oslo”
Henry Shields, “The Play That Goes Wrong”

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Cate Blanchett, “The Present”
Allison Janney, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Laurie Metcalf, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Mary-Louise Parker, “Heisenberg”


BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Michael Aronov, “Oslo”
Anthony Azisi, “Oslo”
Danny DeVito, “The Price”
John Douglas Thompson, “Jitney”
Robert Morse, “The Front Page”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, “Present Laughter”
Johanna Day, “Sweat”
Jayne Houdyshell, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Condola Rashad, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”


BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
“Falsettos”
“Hello, Dolly!”
“Miss Saigon”

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, “Come from Away”
Rachel Chavkin, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Michael Greif, “Dear Evan Hansen”
James Lapine, “Falsettos”
Jerry Zaks, “Hello, Dolly!”

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Jon Jon Briones, “Miss Saigon”
Josh Groban, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Andy Karl, “Groundhog Day”
David Hyde Pierce, “Hello, Dolly!”
Ben Platt, “Dear Evan Hansen”

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Christy Altomare, “Anastasia”
Denée Benton, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Christine Ebersole, “War Paint”
Patti LuPone, “War Paint”
Bette Midler, “Hello, Dolly!”

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
John Bolton, “Anastasia”
Gavin Creel, “Hello, Dolly!”
Fred Johanson, “Sunset Boulevard”
Lucas Steele, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Brandon Uranowitz, “Falsettos”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Rachel Bay Jones, “Dear Evan Hansen”                                                                                                              Kate Baldwin, “Hello, Dolly!”
Stephanie J. Block, “Falsettos”
Jenn Colella, “Come from Away”
Amber Gray, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812” 

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Steven Levenson, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Danny Rubin, “Groundhog Day”
Irene Sankoff and David Hein, “Come from Away”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Tim Minchin, “Groundhog Day”
Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Irene Sankoff and David Hein, “Come from Away”

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbuehler, “Bandstand”
Peter Darling, “Groundhog Day”                                                                                                                         Sam Pinkleton, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Sergio Trujillo, “A Bronx Tale”

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
August Eriksmoen, “Come from Away”
Larry Hochman, “Hello, Dolly!”
Dave Malloy, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Alex Lacamoire, “Dear Evan Hansen”

[CapnHook]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 9:34pm

I keep hearing people say that they think Gideon Glick and Josh Groban will be nominated. I don't think the Nominating Committee will. Groban is serviceable but not a stand-out. Glick portrayed an annoying, pretentious young adult and wasn't likable to the many Industry people I have spoken with (not to fault the actor, but the role). I think there are others who can take the slots.

[illiniparkie]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:01pm

Forgive me if this has been explained, but James Lapine was nominated for Falsettos when it first appeared on Broadway.  Can he be nominated again (even though he lost)?

[pupscotch]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:08pm

illiniparkie said: "Forgive me if this has been explained, but James Lapine was nominated for Falsettos when it first appeared on Broadway.  Can he be nominated again (even though he lost)?

 

"

I'm pretty sure that he was deemed eligible again.

[BroadwayBeebe]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:09pm

illiniparkie said: "Forgive me if this has been explained, but James Lapine was nominated for Falsettos when it first appeared on Broadway.  Can he be nominated again (even though he lost)?"

 

He has been deemed eligible as he rethought the production and did not recreate. Personally, I think his work deserves a nomination.  

 

[Rainah]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:17pm

I agree with most of these. We'll see on nom day!

[Steve C.]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:17pm

It's a little too much time for me to do this whole list right now, but I'm almost sure of one thing. As much as Nathan Lane is loved and as great as he is in The Front Page, I think Danny DeVito in The Price is going to surprise us by winning. He gives a truly marvelous, funny, fresh...and this is his first time on Broadway? 

If you can still see The Price I think you'll see what I mean. He stands toe to toe with Ruffalo, Shalhoub...the Tonys love a Cinderella story. (and he's certainly paid his dues).

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 4/28/17 at 10:23pm

CapnHook said: "I keep hearing people say that they think Gideon Glick and Josh Groban will be nominated. I don't think the Nominating Committee will. Groban is serviceable but not a stand-out. Glick portrayed an annoying, pretentious young adult and wasn't likable to the many Industry people I have spoken with (not to fault the actor, but the role). I think there are others who can take the slots."

Anything can happen, but I don't see Glick or Groban getting left off the list at all. I think the former is helped by the weakness of that category. As for Groban, he arguably got the best reviews out of the entire cast. His performance isn't a star turn, but his singing is beautiful and deeply felt, plus he's spoken frequently how humbled he is to be working on Broadway. I think he's endeared himself and would be truly surprised to see him not nominated. 

[ljay889]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:20am

Here's what Riedel says about Best Musical

“Come From Away” and “Dear Evan Hansen” are in. After that, predict at your peril. I think “Groundhog Day” makes the cut, and probably “War Paint,” although “Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812” is certainly in the mix. The category expands to five slots if a fifth show is within three votes of the fourth nominee. Those just mentioned will be the five — unless “Anastasia” snatches someone’s crown.

http://nypost.com/2017/04/28/its-time-to-place-your-bets-for-tony-nominations/

[thealtoslament]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:25am

Yeah, it's Reidel, take it with a truck bed of salt. But are people legitimately starting to doubt that Great Comet will make it in? I don't see a universe where that happens.

Updated On: 4/29/17 at 12:25 AM

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 2:32am

I'm only doing the musicals because I've only seen two plays this year (Oh Hello and Play That Goes Wrong) so I'd be wildly guessing. (Though I am rooting for Dave Hearn to get a Featured Actor nomination as he had me crying laughing.) For the musicals, for bias' sake, I've seen Hello Dolly, Sunset Boulevard, Bandstand, Come From Away, DEH, Great Comet, and War Paint so far... Anastasia, Groundhog Day, and Miss Saigon in the next few weeks.

I'm predicting a few ties in this crowded and varied season.

BEST MUSICAL
"Come From Away"
"Dear Evan Hansen"
"Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
"Groundhog Day"
--"Bandstand"--

(Wouldn't be surprised if there are five)

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
"Falsettos"
"Hello, Dolly!"
"Sunset Boulevard"
--"Miss Saigon"--

(Wouldn't be surprised if there are four)

LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Denée Benton, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Christine Ebersole, "War Paint"
Patti LuPone, "War Paint"
Bette Midler, "Hello, Dolly!"
Laura Osnes, "Bandstand"
--Christy Altomare, "Anastasia"--

(Wouldn't be surprised if there are six)

LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Jon Jon Briones, "Miss Saigon"
Josh Groban, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Andy Karl, "Groundhog Day"
David Hyde Pierce, "Hello, Dolly!"
Ben Platt, "Dear Evan Hansen"
--Corey Cott, "Bandstand"-- (in place of Groban)

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Brittain Ashford, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Kate Baldwin, "Hello, Dolly!"
Stephanie J. Block, "Falsettos"
Jenn Colella, "Come From Away"
Rachel Bay Jones, "Dear Evan Hansen"
--Barrett Doss, "Groundhog Day"-- (in place of Block)

FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Gavin Creel, "Hello, Dolly!"
Andrew Rannells, "Falsettos"
Will Roland, "Dear Evan Hansen" 
Lucas Steele, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Brandon Uranowitz, "Falsettos"
--Derek Klena, "Anastasia"-- (in place of Roland)

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, "Come From Away"
Rachel Chavkin, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Michael Greif, "Dear Evan Hansen"
James Lapine, "Falsettos"
Jerry Zaks, "Hello, Dolly!"
--Matthew Warchus, "Groundhog Day"-- (in place of Lapine)

CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbueller, "Bandstand"
Peggy Hickey, "Anastasia"
Denis Jones, "Holiday Inn"
Sam Pinkleton, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812" 
Peter Darling, "Groundhog Day"

BOOK
Irene Sankoff & David Hein, "Come From Away"
Steven Levenson, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Danny Rubin, "Groundhog Day"
Dave Malloy, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"

SCORE
Irene Sankoff & David Hein, "Come From Away"
Benj Pasek & Justin Paul, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Tim Minchin, "Groundhog Day"
Dave Malloy, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"

ORCHESTRATIONS
Bill Elliott & Greg Anthony Rassen, "Bandstand"
Larry Hochman, "Hello, Dolly!"
Dave Malloy, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
David Cullen & Andrew Lloyd Webber, "Sunset Boulevard"

COSTUMES
Linda Cho, "Anastasia"
Santo Loquasto, "Hello, Dolly!"
Paloma Young, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Catherine Zuber, "War Paint"

SET DESIGN
David Korins, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Rob Howell, "Groundhog Day"
Santo Loquasto, "Hello, Dolly!"
Mimi Lien, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"

LIGHTING
Howell Binkley, "Come From Away"
Japhy Weideman, "Dear Evan Hansen" 
Bradley King, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Mark Henderson, "Sunset Boulevard"

Updated On: 4/29/17 at 02:32 AM

[Kimbo]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 3:42am

Is it just me or does anyone think there's a (slight) chance Come From Away doesn't get nominated for Score?  As much as the show seems all of a piece in the theater, that music and lyrics really don't come off well on the album, or on a second hearing (the nominators have been invited back to see the show again, as well as been given copies of the cast albums recorded so far).  It's also fairly slight - apart from there not being any real stand-alone take-home songs the album is at least 50-60% dialogue, underscoring and instrumentals for the band like the exit music. 

I think Pasek and Paul, Malloy and Minchin are givens. But considering the unmistakable craft of Ahrens & Flaherty and the regard they have in the industry, or the surprisingly fairly good reviews for Bandstand's score, or a serious new score from the authors of Grey Gardens, or the solid if workmanlike tunefulness of Alan Menken, etc. (or less likely, even the polarizing work for Charlie from the songwriters of one of the most successful musicals of the last 25 years, Hairspray)-- I just hesitantly wonder if there's a very slim chance that one of the other more substantial SCORES gets rewarded here - in place of the wispiness and (to some ears) sloppiness of the songs from Come From Away - a show that works in spite of the score, and definitely not because of it. 

Updated On: 4/29/17 at 03:42 AM

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 9:37am

Groban was excellent and a perfect example of how a name can be well cast.  His beautiful acting surpassed all expectations..
He will be nominated,

ACTOR in a PLAY:

Hawkins
Kline
Mays
Roxburgh
(McBurney)

ACTRESS in a PLAY:

Ehle
Janney
Linney 
Metcalf
(Field)
 

Updated On: 4/29/17 at 09:37 AM

Posted: 4/29/17 at 10:58am

Best Musical:

Come from Away

Comet

Dear Evan Hansen

Groundhog Day

Maybe (War Paint)

 

Best Play:

Sweat

Indecent

Oslo

Doll's House

Maybe (Significant Other)

 

Best Actor in a Play

Gideon Glick 

Kevin Kline

Jefferson Mays

Maybe (Arnt, Hawkins, McBurney)

 

[Buddy Plummer2]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 11:03am

BEST MUSICAL
"Come From Away"
"Dear Evan Hansen"
"Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
"Groundhog Day"
"Anastasia"
(I firmly believe there will be five)


BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
"Falsettos"
"Hello, Dolly!"
"Sunset Boulevard"
--"Miss Saigon"--
(I firmly doubt there will be four)

LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Denée Benton, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Christine Ebersole, "War Paint"
Patti LuPone, "War Paint"
Bette Midler, "Hello, Dolly!"
Christy Altomare, "Anastasia"
--Phillipa Soo, "Amelie"

LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL

Corey Cott, "Bandstand"
Josh Groban, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Andy Karl, "Groundhog Day"
David Hyde Pierce, "Hello, Dolly!"
Ben Platt, "Dear Evan Hansen"

--Jon Jon Briones, "Miss Saigon"--

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Caroline O'Connor, "Anastasia"
Stephanie J. Block, "Falsettos"
Jenn Colella, "Come From Away"
Rachel Bay Jones, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Amber Gray, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"

--Kate Baldwin, "Hello Dolly"-- (in place of Block)

EXTREME DARK HORSE: Jackie Hoffman, "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory" (as the show's only nomination)

FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Gavin Creel, "Hello, Dolly!"
Will Roland, "Dear Evan Hansen" 
Lucas Steele, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Brandon Uranowitz, "Falsettos"
John Bolton, "Anastasia"

--Andrew Rannells, "Falsettos"-- (in place of Roland)

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, "Come From Away"
Rachel Chavkin, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
Michael Greif, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Jerry Zaks, "Hello, Dolly!"
Matthew Warchus, "Groundhog Day" 

CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbueller, "Bandstand"
Peggy Hickey, "Anastasia"
Denis Jones, "Holiday Inn"
Sam Pinkleton, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812" 
Peter Darling, "Groundhog Day"

BOOK
Irene Sankoff & David Hein, "Come From Away"
Steven Levenson, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Danny Rubin, "Groundhog Day"
Dave Malloy, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"

SCORE
Irene Sankoff & David Hein, "Come From Away"
Benj Pasek & Justin Paul, "Dear Evan Hansen"
Tim Minchin, "Groundhog Day"
Dave Malloy, "Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812"
 

[BroadwayMan5]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 11:52am

I do not follow plays closely enough but here are my musical predictions

Best Musical
Bandstand
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812
(if 5th... Groundhog Day)

Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard

Direction of a Musical
Christopher Ashley, Come From Away
Rachel Chavkin, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Michael Greif, Dear Evan Hansen
James Lapine, Falsettos
Jerry Zaks, Hello Dolly!

Lead Actor in a Musical
Corey Cott, Bandstand
Josh Groban, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
David Hyde Pierce, Hello Dolly!
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen

Lead Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare, Anastasia
Denee Benton, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Christine Ebersole, War Paint
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Bette Midler, Hello Dolly!

Featured Actor in a Musical
Nick Cordero, A Bronx Tale
Gavin Creel, Hello Dolly!
Fred Johansen, Sunset Boulevard
Lucas Steele, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Brandon Uranowitz, Falsettos

Featured Actress in a Musical
Kate Baldwin, Hello Dolly!
Stephanie J. Block, Falsettos
Jenn Colella, Come From Away
Rachel Bay Jones, Dear Evan Hansen
Caroline O'Connor, Anastasia

Book of a Musical
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

Original Score
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

Choreography
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

Orchestrations
Bandstand
Hello Dolly
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Sunset Boulevard

Scenic Design of a Musical
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Hello Dolly
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

Lighting Design of a Musical
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Miss Saigon
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

Costume Design of a Musical
Anastasia
Hello Dolly
Miss Saigon
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812

[Hamilfan2]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 11:59am

These are my predicitions.  One of the hardest years to predict nominations wise in my opinion.  So many great and deserving shows.  Can't wait to see how it turns out!

https://whativebenupto.wordpress.com/2017/04/28/predicting-the-2017-tony-award-nominations-and-winners/

[CoreyRyan3]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:07pm

Predicted winners in italics. 

BEST MUSICAL
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812
Groundhog Day
Come From Away

BEST PLAY
Sweat
Oslo
Indecent
A Doll's House Part 2

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Jitney
The Little Foxes
Six Degrees of Separation
The Price

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
David Hyde Pierce, Hello, Dolly!
Josh Groban, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Christian Borle, Falsettos

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Bette Midler, Hello, Dolly!
Denee Benton, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Christy Altomare, Anastasia
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Christine Ebersole, War Paint

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Kevin Kline, Present Laughter
Jefferson Mays, Oslo
Simon McBurney, The Encounter
Denis Arndt, Heisenberg
Chris Cooper, A Doll's House Part 2

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laurie Metcalf, A Doll's House Part 2
Cate Blachett, The Present
Laura Linney, Little Foxes
Allison Janney, Six Degrees of Separation
Mary Louise Parker, Heisenberg

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Andrew Rannells, Falsettos
Gavin Creel, Hello, Dolly!
Nick Cordero, Bronx Tale
Lucas Steele, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Will Roland, Dear Evan Hansen

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Amber Gray, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Stephanie J Block, Falsettos
Rachel Bay Jones, Dear Evan Hansen
Jenn Collela, Come From Away
Caroline O'Connor, Anastasia

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Danny Devito, The Price
Michael Aronov, Oslo
Dave Hearn, The Play That Goes Wrong
Anthony Azizi, Oslo
John Douglas Thompson, Jitney

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Johanna Day, Sweat
Kristine Nielsen, Present Laughter
Jayne Houdyshell, A Doll's House Part 2
Cynthia Nixon, Little Foxes
Condola Rashad, A Doll's House Part 2

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Michael Grief, Dear Evan Hansen
Rachel Chavkin, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Jerry Zaks, Hello, Dolly!
Christoper Ashley, Come From Away
Matthew Warchus, Groundhog Day

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Sam Gold, A Doll’s House, Part 2
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Jitney
Rebecca Taichman, Indecent
Kate Whoriskey, Sweat
Bartlett Sher, Oslo

BEST SCORE
Sankoff and Hein, Come From Away
Tim Minchin, Groundhog Day
Dave Malloy, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Pasek and Paul, Dear Evan Hansen

BEST BOOK
Sankoff and Hein, Come From Away
Dave Malloy, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Danny Rubin, Groundhog Day
Steve Levenson, Dear Evan Hansen

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Peter Darling, Groundhog Day
Denis Jones, Holiday Inn
Andy Blankenbeuhler, Bandstand
Sam Pinkleton, Natasha Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Sergio Trujillo, A Bronx Tale
 

Updated On: 4/29/17 at 12:07 PM

[LesWickedly]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:38pm

If anyone wants a good laugh, here are some of Broadway.com's predictions 

http://www.broadway.com/buzz/188461/who-will-be-nominated-handicapping-the-top-show-and-creative-categories-before-tony-tuesday/

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:44pm

What is Broadway.com's vendetta with Great Comet in those predictions?

[LesWickedly]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:50pm

I'm guessing that Broadway.com didn't love the show like as much so that OBVIOUSLY means they won't get many nominations.

[thealtoslament]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:50pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "What is Broadway.com's vendetta with Great Comet in those predictions?

 

"

My thoughts exactly. 

 

[TerrenceIsTheMann]

Posted: 4/29/17 at 12:53pm

BEST PLAY
“A Doll’s House, Part 2”
“Indecent”
“Oslo”
“Sweat”

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
“The Front Page”
“Jitney”
“The Little Foxes”
“Six Degrees of Separation”
---“Present Laughter”---

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Sam Gold, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, “Jitney”
Bartlett Sher, “Oslo”
Daniel Sullivan, “The Little Foxes”
Rebecca Taichman, “Indecent”

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Chris Cooper, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Gideon Glick, “Significant Other”
Corey Hawkins, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Kevin Kline, “Present Laughter”
Jefferson Mays, “Oslo”

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Cate Blanchett, “The Present”
Jennifer Ehle, “Oslo”
Allison Janney, “Six Degrees of Separation”
Laura Linney, “The Little Foxes”
Laurie Metcalf, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Michael Aronov, “Oslo”
Anthony Azisi, “Oslo”
Danny DeVito, “The Price”
Nathan Lane, “The Front Page”
John Douglas Thompson, “Jitney”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, “Present Laughter”
Johanna Day, “Sweat”
Jayne Houdyshell, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”
Cynthia Nixon, “The Little Foxes
Condola Rashad, “A Doll’s House, Part 2”

BEST MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
---“Anastasia”---

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
“Falsettos”
“Hello, Dolly!”
“Sunset Boulevard”
“Miss Saigon”


BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, “Come from Away”
Rachel Chavkin, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Michael Greif, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Darko Tresnjak "Anastasia"

Jerry Zaks, “Hello, Dolly!”

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christian Borle, “Falsettos”
Jon Jon Briones, "Miss Saigon"
Andy Karl, “Groundhog Day”
David Hyde Pierce, “Hello, Dolly!”
Ben Platt, “Dear Evan Hansen”

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Christy Altomare, "Anastasia"                                                                                                       Christine Ebersole, “War Paint”
Patti LuPone, “War Paint”
Bette Midler, “Hello, Dolly!”
Eva Noblezada, “Miss Saigon”

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Nick Cordero, “A Bronx Tale”
Gavin Creel, “Hello, Dolly!”
Andrew Rannells, "Falsettos"
Lucas Steele, “Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”
Brandon Uranowitz, “Falsettos”

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Kate Baldwin, “Hello, Dolly!”
Stephanie J. Block, “Falsettos”                                                                                                                  Laura Dreyfuss "Dear Evan Hansen"
Rachel Bay Jones, “Dear Evan Hansen”
Jenn Colella, “Come from Away”

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
“Come from Away”
“Dear Evan Hansen”
“Groundhog Day”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
“Bandstand”
“Come from Away”
“Indecent"
“Holiday Inn”
“Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812”

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
"Dear Evan Hansen"
"Hello, Dolly!"
"Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812"
"Sunset Boulevard"