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Which of these popular shows will close first?

Which of these popular shows will close first?

barcelona20
#1Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/26/17 at 9:50am

If you had to rank these shows from most likely to close to least likely.  I'd probably go...

1) Book of Mormon 2) Phantom of the Opera 3) Wicked 4) Hamilton 5) Lion King

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Valentina3
#2Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/26/17 at 9:57am

It is way too early to tell for any of these, really. But if I were to guess, I'd probably say - 

1) Book of Mormon

2) Wicked

3) Hamilton

4) Phantom of the Opera 

5) Lion King

But who knows? Maybe the Wicked and Lion King movies will hurt/bump up their business even more.


Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.

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markypoo
#3Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/26/17 at 9:59am

Without bothering to rank; realistically speaking:

Never, Never, Never, Never, and... so on.

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TheSassySam
#4Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/26/17 at 11:54am

1) Book of Mormon 

2) Phantom of the Opera

3) Hamilton (I can see it getting dated REALLY fast, though I am sure people said the same for Phantom)

4) Wicked

5) The Lion King

barcelona20
#5Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 4:32pm

Why would Hamilton get dated fast? Because of its use of "rap" music? Imagine if these shows are still playing in 100 years?  Talk about a return on investment!

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David10086
#6Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 4:47pm

POTO marks 30 years in January - I can't believe it has lasted this long. Tourists are still going to see this? 

mtcond
#7Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 5:00pm

Looking back at grosses, there are weeks in the past year in which "Phantom" has played to near capacity and grossed over a million. Spring break, holidays, etc, this show just keeps chugging along. They've been very smart doing a show on Monday nights and Thursday matinees--not much competition for those times.

froote
#8Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 5:02pm

The dated nonsense with Hamilton is just that. It's a 200 year old story with music in the style of rap from   20-30 years ago. If it isn't dated now, it wont be anytime soon. The only thing that could date is its political themes of immigration and so on but looking at the current administration it seems that for now it remains wholly relevant.

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David10086
#9Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 5:06pm

mtcond said: "Looking back at grosses, there are weeks in the past year in which "Phantom" has played to near capacity and grossed over a million. Spring break, holidays, etc, this show just keeps chugging along. They've been very smart doing a show on Monday nights and Thursday matinees--not much competition for those times."

 

TRUE. Smart strategic scheduling has helped it survive - as you've said 'not much competition'. There have been plenty of Monday nights where I've been in NYC looking for a show while I was visiting a few days, and this was the best option out of the choices. But after seeing it about five times in the past 25 years, I've decided 'enough'. 

 

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MadonnaMusical
#10Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 5:58pm

David10086 said: "POTO marks 30 years in January - I can't believe it has lasted this long. Tourists are still going to see this? 

 

"

It's more of a landmark at this point that they want to cross off their bucket list. "I went to the Empire State Building, I took a carriage ride in Central Park, and I saw the phantom of the opera!"

JennH
#11Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/27/17 at 7:53pm

MadonnaMusical said: "David10086 said: "POTO marks 30 years in January - I can't believe it has lasted this long. Tourists are still going to see this? 

 

"

It's more of a landmark at this point that they want to cross off their bucket list. "I went to the Empire State Building, I took a carriage ride in Central Park, and I saw the phantom of the opera!"


 

"

Precisely this. No matter what one may think of the show itself, it's achieved an unofficial landmark status, and Wicked I daresay is pretty damn close behind if it isn't one already...but of course it's unofficial Which of these popular shows will close first?

 

Now as for the list, I had to pick at threat of gunpoint, I'd say Book of Mormon. POTO and Wicked aren't going anywhere (heaven forbid...(let's be honest, theater would suffer here without them), Hamilton, in terms of overall political thematics will always be relevant thought its immigration bent miiiiiggghhttt not last as long, but only slightly, so it'll be here for a while. Lion King, while almost like Wicked and POTO in terms of landmark status, it's a well done, well known, Disney musical. Disney titles tend to remain a while, with the couple of exceptions that we already know of. 

Updated On: 7/27/17 at 07:53 PM

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Lot666
#12Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 8:49am

David10086 said: "POTO marks 30 years in January - I can't believe it has lasted this long. Tourists are still going to see this?"

I'm in NY an average of 3-6 times per year (in fact, I'll be back up in August for the seventh time since January), specifically to go to the theatre. I don't particularly consider myself a "tourist" and I see this show every single time I'm there.


==> this board is a nest of vipers <==

"Michael Riedel...The Perez Hilton of the New York Theatre scene"
- Craig Hepworth, What's On Stage
Updated On: 7/28/17 at 08:49 AM

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Itonlytakesajourney
#13Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 9:13am

Book of Mormon, no contest. It's a funny show; a good night at the theatre, but it's nothing really beyond that. It'll probably close in a year or two. Wicked and POTO are going nowhere. They're the tourist trap shows, and while I'd say POTO is pretty dated, they'll stick around. Hamilton might get dated one day as well, but for a good while it'll be relevant. It's still making major money as well. Lion King is Disney, so obviously it'll be there. I'd give it like five more years.

ElphabaGoodman
#14Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 9:21am

Book of Mormon still sells out pretty much every night without having to discount at all. There's no way it will close in the next two years. I think it has a good 5-10 years ahead of it. 

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rosscoe(au)
#15Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 9:38am

Plus Book Of Mormon is a way better show than that pile of crap that is Wicked 


Well I didn't want to get into it, but he's a Satanist. Every full moon he sacrifices 4 puppies to the Dark Lord and smears their blood on his paino. This should help you understand the score for Wicked a little bit more. Tazber's: Reply to Is Stephen Schwartz a Practicing Christian

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asimplegal2
#16Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 9:54am

Itonlytakesajourney said: "Book of Mormon, no contest. It's a funny show; a good night at the theatre, but it's nothing really beyond that. It'll probably close in a year or two. 

 

"

Disagree. Book of Mormon has a brilliant score that hooks people after one listen. 

 

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Big Apple2
#17Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 10:05am

rosscoe(au) said: "Plus Book Of Mormon is a way better show than that pile of crap that is Wicked "

LOL.  That "pile of crap" is in its 14th year and still grosses over $1.9million with an attendance of over 97%.  With its planned film release in 2019, this show will keep filling in the seats.

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haterobics
#18Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 11:04am

Big Apple2 said: "LOL.  That "pile of crap" is in its 14th year and still grosses over $1.9million with an attendance of over 97%.  With its planned film release in 2019, this show will keep filling in the seats."

No one said it wasn't doing well financially, only that it is a pile of crap.

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TheSassySam
#19Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 11:07am

While we are on the subject of long-running shows... when will Chicago reach for the gun?

 

I have a feeling once Chicago closes, they'll move the production to the city of Chicago for tourists. 

Phantom4ever
#20Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 12:11pm

The equity tour of Chicago already visits Chicago every few years and it only for a week at a time. No way it could move there permanently. Or maybe you were just joking? 

I don't consider any trip to New York City complete without seeing Phantom. 

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Itonlytakesajourney
#21Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 12:19pm

asimplegal2 said: "Itonlytakesajourney said: "Book of Mormon, no contest. It's a funny show; a good night at the theatre, but it's nothing really beyond that. It'll probably close in a year or two. 

 

"

Disagree. Book of Mormon has a brilliant score that hooks people after one listen. 

 


 

 I love the show, don't get me wrong. It's just that it's nowhere near the "icon"-like status of POTO, Wicked, Hamilton, etc. people think of when they hear Broadway. I could see it closing in like 2020 or a little later if they really want to stretch it out.

 

LxGstv
#22Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 12:25pm

Obviously I can't speak for all the tourists that visit the city, but being an Airbnb host I met a fair share of them... and I would have to disagree with the statement that POTO is almost a landmark now... 

It varies depending from where they are from and age, but the vast majority after I ask if they are interested in seeing a Broadway show respond with Book of Mormon or Hamilton... in fact, most of the time when I say that Phantom has a lottery, I usually hear something along the lines of "no, thanks"...

Again, I can only speak for the tourists that I have hosted, but I can count in one hand the number of guests that went to see Phantom... same for Hamilton, but for different reasons! Lol

Phantom4ever
#23Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 1:25pm

Curious as to what a fair share of 60 million tourists is? 

BroadwayMan5
#24Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 1:34pm

Don't think any will be soon but...

1) Book of Mormon
2) Phantom of the Opera
3) Hamilton
4) The Lion King
5) Wicked

I would put Chicago at #2 on this list if it was included

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asoftplacetoland
#25Which of these popular shows will close first?
Posted: 7/28/17 at 1:41pm

I just can't imagine Phantom not being on Broadway. It's just always been there lol.