I'm sure I'm part of a very small cross section of people who read both BWW and The Economist daily, so I figured I'd share a cool model they put together to predict Broadway grosses. My favorite is the drop down where you can select the lead actor and look at the grosses they predict they would bring in. Enjoy! http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/07/daily-chart-18
I don't understand why they just have Hollywood talent in the cast list and not Broadway talent as well. It's undeniable that Audra McDonald or Patti Lupone can help sell a show.
HogansHero said: "it is so fraught with flaws that it is best to think of it just as a game.
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Totally agree - they simply did regressions on all of the variables, and we all know correlation does not imply causation. But still fun to play around with
Reading the methodologies and metrics determinations behind this model is super interesting...but I would have hoped that the people behind this would have realized that the whole point of this industry is that you can't plug it into a system and determine your revenues or success. That's the entire point.
Thanks for posting though, GreenGables. Interesting to peruse.