Not fully convinced about Eva. She didn't get the Olivier nomination in a weaker category.

I'd say Bette, Christine and Patti then two out of Christy, Denee and Phillipa (if Amelie comes in this season).

Updated On: 10/30/16 at 04:37 PM

BroadwayConcierge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#152
Posted: 10/30/16 at 5:24pm

I really feel like Phillipa Soo stands a strong chance if Amélie makes it in this season. Christy Altomare also got uniformly positive reviews out in Hartford. Natasha is a beautiful role, but I'm wondering if Denée will be left out by a strong spring showing.

We'll also have to see how War Paint does once it hits Broadway. We all thought Audra was a cinch for a Tony nom this past season because she was the seasoned veteran, and we all know what happened with Shuffle... It's just such a (blessedly) dense category.

usn120 said: "Really... REALLY...? It's been 8 years and you thought it was worth bumping to share that you THINK Broadway "Star" Alex Wyse is Jewish?"

Updated On: 10/30/16 at 05:24 PM

BroadwayConcierge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#153
Posted: 11/14/16 at 1:07pm

usn120 said: "Really... REALLY...? It's been 8 years and you thought it was worth bumping to share that you THINK Broadway "Star" Alex Wyse is Jewish?"

Updated On: 11/16/16 at 01:07 PM

BroadwayConcierge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#154
Posted: 11/16/16 at 9:50am

List updated with Amélie announcement.

Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint

Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Indecent
Oh, Hello
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
Significant Other

Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard

Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation

Confirmed, Ruling TBD
The Present (play: new or revival?)

Not Yet Announced
Half Time (new musical)
M. Butterfly (play revival)
The Master Builder (play revival)
Ride the Cyclone (new musical)
Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival)
SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical)
Sweat (new play)
Sweet Charity (musical revival)
To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?)
Whorehouse (musical revival)
The Wiz (musical revival)

usn120 said: "Really... REALLY...? It's been 8 years and you thought it was worth bumping to share that you THINK Broadway "Star" Alex Wyse is Jewish?"

Updated On: 11/16/16 at 09:50 AM

ACL2006

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#155
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:09am

BroadwayConcierge said: "List updated with Amélie announcement.

Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint
"

That's a lot of new shows this season(13!).

A Chorus Line played its final Broadway performance on August 17, 2008. The tour played its final performance on August 21, 2011. A new non-equity tour started in October 2012 played its final performance on March 23, 2013.

smidge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#156
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:27am

If it transfers, isn't Ride the Cyclone a new musical and not a new play?

BroadwayConcierge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#157
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:46am

smidge said: "If it transfers, isn't Ride the Cyclone a new musical and not a new play?"

Whoops, yup! Looks like I got that lost in the shuffle. Thanks for the correction; edited Way too early 2017 Tony predictions

usn120 said: "Really... REALLY...? It's been 8 years and you thought it was worth bumping to share that you THINK Broadway "Star" Alex Wyse is Jewish?"

neonlightsxo

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#158
Posted: 11/16/16 at 10:56am

Does Ride the Cyclone have commercial producers? I didn't realize there was interest in moving it.

TigerBait88

Understudy
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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#159
Posted: 11/17/16 at 3:54pm

Holy crap Ride the Cyclone sounds awesome! Had never heard about it until now. I'm sad it won't be playing off-broadway over the holidays so count me in with those who hope it transfers!

barcelona20

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#160
Posted: 11/17/16 at 3:58pm

Whatever happens, cheers to an incredible year of new musicals!

Tag

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#161
Posted: 11/22/16 at 4:52pm

James Cordon has been announced to host the 2017 Grammys, so I think it's safe to say he will not be back for the Tonys as well.

little_sally

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#162
Posted: 11/22/16 at 5:06pm

I would love for Nick Kroll and John Mulaney to host as their Oh, Hello characters.

A little swash, a bit of buckle - you'll love it more than bread.

BroadwayConcierge

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#163
Posted: 12/4/16 at 2:30pm

Bumping this thread since there's a bunch of traction on the Best Musical thread, in case anybody wants to raise other Tony prediction discussions Way too early 2017 Tony predictions

usn120 said: "Really... REALLY...? It's been 8 years and you thought it was worth bumping to share that you THINK Broadway "Star" Alex Wyse is Jewish?"

rg7759

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#164
Posted: 12/4/16 at 8:44pm

i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree

VanillaIceCream2

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#165
Posted: 12/4/16 at 8:58pm

I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!

wonderfulwizard11

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#166
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:06pm

rg7759 said: "i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree"

Not a chance. For starters, unless she is godawful, Bette Midler is probably getting that Tony. The female supporting roles are also probably too small- the only real chance the show has in an acting category is pros ably Lucas Steele, but there's not really a frontrunner at all. At this point, I would be shocked if it didn't take Best Direction, since I doubt anyone else will come even close to the level that Rachel Chavkin is working on.

I am a firm believer in serendipity- all the random pieces coming together in one wonderful moment, when suddenly you see what their purpose was all along.

little_sally

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#167
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:12pm

VanillaIceCream2 said: "I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!

Oh, me too. Me too.

A little swash, a bit of buckle - you'll love it more than bread.

Valentina3

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#168
Posted: 12/4/16 at 9:23pm

little_sally said: "I would love for Nick Kroll and John Mulaney to host as their Oh, Hello characters."

Their show is likely going to close by Tonys if it doesn't keep extending. So apart from getting good buzz to get an award, them agreeing to host depends on what their plan with the characters are - they might want to take the show on the road, or London maybe? I can see it being picked up as a television special.

pupscotch

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#169
Posted: 12/4/16 at 10:16pm

rg7759 said: "i see no reason why great comet wont pull a hamilton, aka all major awards and the 3 acting categories besides josh. anyone who's seen it would agree

"

I have a reason, and it's called Dear Evan Hansen. (With Bette Midler as a secondary reason)

WiCkEDrOcKS

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#170
Posted: 12/4/16 at 10:22pm

...and GROUNDHOG DAY.

Current Avatar: Cynthia Erivo, bringing down the house in The Color Purple.

ethan231h

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#171
Posted: 12/4/16 at 10:32pm

Based on these DEH reviews tonight...I'm thinking definite locks for tonys are the best Musical, Ben Platt, Rachel Bay Jones, Pasek/Paul, and Steve Levenson....IMO the only way set would be nominated is if the projection designer is nominated with Korins.

I think Natasha will get a number of noms

Robbie2

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#172
Posted: 12/4/16 at 11:33pm

As for now locks...
Best Musical
Great Comet
DEH
Best Play
Heisenberg
Musical Revival
Falsettos
Play Revival
Front Page
Score
DEH
Great Comet

and of course
Ben Platt

"Anything you do, let it it come from you--then it will be new." Sunday in the Park with George

Updated On: 12/4/16 at 11:33 PM

ELP

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#173
Posted: 12/5/16 at 1:31am

VanillaIceCream2 said: "I'd love to see Brandon Uranowitz get a nom for his gorgeous portrayal of Mendel in Falsettos!"

A shoe-in, for sure!!

NOWaWarning

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#174
Posted: 12/5/16 at 1:49am

Best Actress in a Musical- Susan Lucci in Dynasty! The Musical!

little_sally

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Way too early 2017 Tony predictions#175
Posted: 12/5/16 at 10:00am

Robbie2 said: "As for now locks...
Best Musical
Great Comet
DEH
Best Play
Heisenberg
Musical Revival
Falsettos
Play Revival
Front Page
Score
DEH
Great Comet

and of course
Ben Platt

I'm not really sure Heisenberg or The Front Page are locks. Lots of stuff has yet to open and those two will be long gone come Tony time. Neither got flat out raves either.

"