Way too early 2017 Tony predictions

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Yes, they argued that it was a revival.  ...But lost.

[Valentina3]

There's good word about Groban's take on Pierre in The Great Comet thread. I'd keep him a strong contender for Best Supporting role (or would they try to justify him being lead since he got top billing?).

[aaaaaa15]

I think they could probably justify him going into either so will try and put him into whichever will be the easier category for him to potentially win in.

[Kad]

He and Denee Benton are prominently billed over the title. There is no way either would be lobbied as supporting (heck they even beefed up the role for Groban).

[BroadwayConcierge]

Reposting with edits based on comments, and Bandstand addition:

Best Musical – Confirmed
Anastasia
The Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint

Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Oh, Hello
Oslo
Significant Other

Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard

Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation

Confirmed, Ruling TBD
The Present (play: new or revival?)

Not Yet Announced
Amélie (new musical)
Half Time (new musical)
M. Butterfly (play revival)
The Master Builder (play revival)
Ride the Cyclone (new play)
Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival)
SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical)
Sweat (new play)
Sweet Charity (musical revival)
To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?)
Whorehouse (musical revival)
The Wiz (musical revival)

[Valentina3]

Sunset Boulevard ("confirmed" but no dates yet; musical revival) - I thought the January 2017 date was "confirmed" in the announcement article?

[neonlightsxo]

Is Paramour technically a new musical?

[little_sally]

The Best Play category is just dire.

[Kad]

I wouldn't be surprised if Sweat transferred from the Public, though.

[Green_Flash]

Anyone know which season holds the record for most new musicals?  This one mus be getting close.

[BroadwayConcierge]

List updated with the postponing of Burn This.

[BroadwayConcierge]

http://www.playbill.com/article/broadways-2016-17-season-looking-at-frantic-final-days

Y'all, April gon' be CRAY.

[gypsy101]

Green_Flash said: "Anyone know which season holds the record for most new musicals?  This one mus be getting close."

my guess would be back in the 20's when like a hundred shows opened on broadway every season

[quizking101]

SINGIN' IN THE RAIN is presumably off for this season because of a lack of theatres. This freed up Derek Hough to do DWTS this season. 

http://www.playbill.com/article/derek-hough-responds-to-singin-in-the-rain-broadway-delay

[BroadwayConcierge]

List updated with Sunset confirmation.

Best Musical – Confirmed
Anastasia
The Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint

Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Oh, Hello
Oslo
Significant Other

Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard

Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation

Confirmed, Ruling TBD
The Present (play: new or revival?)

Not Yet Announced
Amélie (new musical)
Half Time (new musical)
M. Butterfly (play revival)
The Master Builder (play revival)
Ride the Cyclone (new play)
Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival)
SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical)
Sweat (new play)
Sweet Charity (musical revival)
To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?)
Whorehouse (musical revival)
The Wiz (musical revival)

[curel1]

Does Christy Altomare have a chance of being nominated?

[HenryTDobson]

Everyone has a chance at being nominated.

[BroadwayConcierge]

List updated with Indecent transfer.

Best Musical – Confirmed
Anastasia
The Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint

Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Indecent
Oh, Hello
Oslo
Significant Other

Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard

Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation

Confirmed, Ruling TBD
The Present (play: new or revival?)

Not Yet Announced
Amélie (new musical)
Half Time (new musical)
M. Butterfly (play revival)
The Master Builder (play revival)
Ride the Cyclone (new play)
Smokey Joe's Café (musical revival)
SpongeBob: The Musical (new musical)
Sweat (new play)
Sweet Charity (musical revival)
To Kill a Mockingbird (play: new or revival?)
Whorehouse (musical revival)
The Wiz (musical revival)

[BroadwayConcierge]

Bumping this thread because other extraneous Tony threads are being started. We don't need multiple Tony threads until April at the earliest.

[Sauja]

little_sally said: "The Best Play category is just dire.

 

"

I know that was posted before Indecent was announced, but even so, with Heisenberg, Significant Other, and Oslo, I think it's a pretty solid year actually! And my guess on nominees will be those three plus Indecent. Maybe A Doll's House Part 2 will get raves and get in, but I'm letting my personal dislike of Hnath's work to prevent me from predicting it. :)

 

Play Revival, on the other hand, I'm finding pretty bleak. With The Cherry Orchard terrible, The Front Page meh, Liasons...fine, not being excited at all for this Menagerie, and hating Present Laughter, I'm leaning heavily on my hopes for Jitney, Six Degrees, and The Little Foxes. Let the Spring revivals be better than Fall! 

 

Best Musical is going to be nuts. My extremely early guesses: Dear Evan Hansen, Great Comet, Groundhog Day, Anastasia (with War Paint on the bubble)

[neonlightsxo]

I have a feeling the spring play revivals will be better than what we've had so far.

[RaisedOnMusicals]

"Best Musical is going to be nuts. My extremely early guesses: Dear Evan Hansen, Great Comet, Groundhog Day, Anastasia (with War Paint on the bubble)"

I think that if Amelie opens in the spring as I expect, it will replace one of the above (and not DEH or Comet)

 

 

 

"

 

[BroadwayConcierge]

http://www.broadwaybox.com/daily-scoop/lets-talk-about-the-leading-ladies-of-this-broadway-season/

Still can't believe how crazy Best Actress is going to be. 

[The Josh]

I hope Oh, Hello gets some recognition come Tony time!  It is pure joy.

[Jessetenny]

BroadwayConcierge said: "http://www.broadwaybox.com/daily-scoop/lets-talk-about-the-leading-ladies-of-this-broadway-season/

Still can't believe how crazy Best Actress is going to be. 

 

"

It's going to be a tough one but I think it's going to be Patti, Christine, Bette, Denee, and Eva.

 

[haterobics]

If Lucas Steele can't get a nomination this year, then I can't wait to see the five people who somehow block him...