Apart from Hillary v Trump presumably, the US Senate races are where the action is. Democrats need to flip at least 4 seats and I'm seeing 3 strong possibles in OH, IL, and WI. Despite politics being local, the races there will most likely become nationalized in terms of media attention and fund raising. This subject deserves its own thread. Please weigh in with your thoughts on these races.
I think the opportunities for the Dems to flip senate seats are all over the country. In addition to those mentioned, I'd add Arizona, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Florida, with North Carolina and Missouri as longshots. Toughest seat for Dems to defend is probably Nevada.
"It does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are 20 gods or no god. It neither picks my pocket, nor breaks my leg."
-- Thomas Jefferson
I kind of like mark Kirk. He's the perfect example of what a republican should be.
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As a Florida resident, I can tell you that the seat formerly held by "Little Marco" is a strong shot for a Democratic flip. Rubio's popularity has plummeted, and the Republicans haven't offered up a logical alternative yet (there are currently 4 of them running). Carlos Beruff, a Republican candidate, supports banning all Muslims from the Middle East, except Israel, from entering the country. That'll play well in the rural counties here, but not on the I-4 Corridor (where I live), or down in Miami-Dade- both of which are areas very high in population.
Kirk is probably the most vulnerable Republican incumbent. I could see Toomey losing too. I live in Philadelphia, and he is campaigning heavily and spending a ton of money on advertising. I would love to see Russ Feingold returned to the senate, but I have a feeling that race will be trickier than some are predicting.
"You travel alone because other people are only there to remind you how much that hook hurts that we all bit down on. Wait for that one day we can bite free and get back out there in space where we belong, sail back over water, over skies, into space, the hook finally out of our mouths and we wander back out there in space spawning to other planets never to return hurrah to earth and we'll look back and can't even see these lives here anymore. Only the taste of blood to remind us we ever existed. The earth is small. We're gone. We're dead. We're safe."
-John Guare, Landscape of the Body
After losing the GOP nomination to Trump, Cruz will be even more miserable and bitter in the Senate. Wouldn't surprise me one bit if the party bosses tried to primary him out of office. It would be poetic justice if George P. Bush took him out at that level. Of course, my preference would be for one of the Castro Bros to send him packing in the 2018 mid-term elections.